Realized P&L (90d)
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
71
71 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$357
$357 lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$264
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Tech
22%
Sports
19% 75% +$20
Politics
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +75 $58 76¢ $57 $-1 05-06 00:29
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +46 $15 96¢ $45 +$30 05-05 12:47
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 +$0 05-04 21:34
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? No +40 $33 88¢ $35 +$2 05-05 22:35
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May? No +30 $20 49¢ $15 $-5 05-05 18:31
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 05-05 00:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$0 05-05 07:05
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 +$0 05-05 09:20
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 05-05 22:30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +10 $6 69¢ $7 +$2 05-05 17:47
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +15 $7 38¢ $6 $-1 05-05 21:59
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? Yes +25 $1 11¢ $3 +$2 05-04 21:44
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +5 $3 48¢ $2 $-0 05-05 08:41
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +4 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 05-05 19:28
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? No +47 $14 $2 $-12 05-04 21:34
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 05-04 22:44
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +31 $1 $0 $-0 05-05 12:47
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-05 19:17
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 12:47