Fearless-Aggression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.50K

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,838

lifetime

Volume

$460.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$336

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

84% 81% +$914

Other

14% 55% +$1,582

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,527	$207	10¢	$240	+$33	07-10 18:30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	+705	$49	11¢	$74	+$25	07-08 13:16
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?	Yes	+27	$20	82¢	$22	+$3	07-21 02:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	62	$39.3K	26,450	26,450	+0	open	—	03-26 00:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$12.3K	6,999	6,999	+0	open	—	04-05 01:08
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	40	$9.5K	11,999	11,999	+0	open	—	03-29 11:51
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$6.7K	4,999	4,999	+0	open	—	05-14 10:34
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	17	$5.2K	3,238	3,238	+0	open	—	06-08 06:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	8	$5.0K	19,999	0	+19,999	open	—	04-24 19:13
will trump visit china by march 31	29	$4.8K	9,999	9,999	+0	open	—	03-18 19:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$4.5K	2,724	2,724	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	52	$4.2K	2,431	2,498	-67	Yes	+$711	05-13 02:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$3.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-04 03:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$3.4K	8,079	8,079	+0	open	—	05-27 16:42
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3.2K	2,968	2,968	+0	open	—	05-15 20:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	28	$3.1K	7,012	0	+7,012	open	—	04-21 16:17
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	8	$2.9K	1,496	1,496	+0	open	—	04-28 17:03
dc airport ground stop lifted today	6	$2.7K	1,345	1,745	-400	open	—	03-14 05:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.4K	6,999	3,499	+3,500	open	—	05-30 13:57
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 4?	12	$2.4K	1,485	1,585	-100	Yes	+$688	05-04 22:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	18	$2.4K	2,048	2,048	+0	open	—	04-25 15:45
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	7	$2.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-13 07:38
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 19	16	$2.2K	3,947	0	+3,947	open	—	03-19 04:40
will trump say transgender during miami address	22	$2.1K	2,710	617	+2,092	open	—	03-09 21:33
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 20	18	$2.1K	2,129	309	+1,820	open	—	03-21 01:58
Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	7	$2.1K	1,856	412	+1,444	open	—	04-01 19:07
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	14	$2.0K	2,670	2,699	-29	open	—	05-18 03:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$2.0K	1,896	1,896	+0	open	—	05-15 20:10
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	9	$2.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-13 18:14
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	143	$1.7K	50,268	50,551	-283	open	—	02-04 20:54
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$1.6K	1,999	1,999	+0	open	—	07-07 19:47
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	7	$1.6K	874	874	+0	open	—	04-28 17:02
will trumps 2pm signing event not air	10	$1.6K	1,072	1,200	-128	open	—	02-03 21:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:56:55	will trump say supreme court during remarks in georgia 20260720190340724	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xa5e4d0…
07-21 18:56:06	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 22 20260717153521447	No	BUY	94	73¢	$68	0x3d64de…
07-21 17:59:31	will trump say supreme court during remarks in georgia 20260720190340724	Yes	BUY	249	27¢	$67	0xad8d00…
07-21 16:39:30	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x55d915…
07-21 16:39:13	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x9f9f07…
07-21 16:37:31	will trump say venezuela during remarks in georgia 20260720190340721	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x992c10…
07-21 16:32:52	will trump say gianni or infantino this week 20260719005322442	Yes	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xf2e5fc…
07-21 15:49:01	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xb93424…
07-21 15:44:22	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in georgia 20260720190340727	Yes	BUY	208	85¢	$176	0x46c05f…
07-21 15:44:03	will trump say venezuela during remarks in georgia 20260720190340721	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x82f0cf…
07-21 15:42:42	will trump say sleepy joe this week 20260719005322459	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x8de502…
07-21 15:37:25	will trump say sleepy joe this week 20260719005322459	Yes	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x62590b…
07-21 15:36:30	will trump say transgender this week 20260719005322461	Yes	BUY	60	76¢	$45	0xd4026e…
07-21 15:34:06	will trump say sleepy joe this week 20260719005322459	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x090f5d…
07-21 15:31:45	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260719005322456	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x6d6c24…
07-21 15:29:28	will trump say gianni or infantino this week 20260719005322442	Yes	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0x2a15c0…
07-21 15:11:37	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during remarks in georgia 20260720190340725	Yes	BUY	148	57¢	$84	0x684a69…
07-21 15:11:12	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	Yes	BUY	249	74¢	$183	0xb7e72f…
07-21 14:27:24	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 21 20260717153521446	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbc1353…
07-21 14:15:55	will trump say joe or biden 3 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340706	Yes	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0xfb5856…
07-21 11:34:19	will trump say save america act during remarks in georgia 20260720190340713	Yes	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x90ba1c…
07-21 11:31:54	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060	Yes	BUY	238	10¢	$25	0x8f9a74…
07-21 06:16:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 21 20260717153521446	No	BUY	326	45¢	$147	0x6e62dd…
07-21 06:01:22	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks in georgia 20260720190340727	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x13301c…
07-21 06:00:19	will trump say melania during remarks in georgia 20260720190340708	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x6ed78a…
07-21 05:58:46	will trump say melania during remarks in georgia 20260720190340708	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8a22ab…
07-21 05:54:42	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during remarks in georgia 20260720190340725	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc36eb2…
07-21 05:54:28	will trump say supreme court during remarks in georgia 20260720190340724	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xc74e59…
07-21 05:54:06	will trump say first term during remarks in georgia 20260720190340720	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xbcc62c…
07-21 05:53:40	will trump say communist or communism during remarks in georgia 20260720190340714	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4d43be…
07-21 05:53:24	will trump say save america act during remarks in georgia 20260720190340713	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3ad89e…
07-21 05:53:15	will trump say fake news during remarks in georgia 20260720190340716	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5b08ad…
07-21 05:52:18	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 21 20260717153521446	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xb02cef…
07-21 05:47:16	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on july 21 20260717153521446	No	BUY	164	60¢	$98	0x51d529…
07-21 05:44:15	will trump say million billion or trillion 10 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340704	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x676a41…
07-21 05:44:03	will trump say joe or biden 3 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340706	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x49c321…
07-21 05:41:25	will trump say big beautiful bill during remarks in georgia 20260720190340710	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xef5b98…
07-21 05:37:49	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	110	72¢	$79	0x6848dc…
07-21 05:31:39	will warsh say echo of history during july press conference 20260720204109034	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x044b93…
07-21 05:31:18	will warsh say groupthink or group think during july press conference 20260720204109032	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x585b71…
07-21 05:30:19	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060	Yes	BUY	307	10¢	$31	0x65decb…
07-21 05:26:03	will trump say trump account this week 20260719005322445	Yes	SELL	76	92¢	$69	0xe88a23…
07-21 04:00:19	will trump say transgender during remarks in georgia 20260720190340719	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8537b4…
07-21 02:35:40	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260719005322438	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0x61a779…
07-21 02:26:51	Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0x6a413d…
07-20 20:20:55	will trump say trump account this week 20260719005322445	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x7033e9…
07-20 19:42:39	will trump say trump account this week 20260719005322445	Yes	BUY	136	78¢	$107	0x605c2f…
07-20 16:04:36	will trump say ronaldo this week 20260719005322438	Yes	BUY	420	11¢	$45	0x2b7163…
07-20 15:32:28	will trump say messi this week 20260719005322433	Yes	BUY	194	18¢	$35	0xe0b59b…
07-19 19:11:36	will trump say cosmos in july 20260629200910965	Yes	BUY	308	99¢	$304	0xa7c5e6…
07-19 18:59:49	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	Yes	BUY	344	8¢	$26	0xeb4021…
07-19 18:59:37	will trump say predict this week 20260710153927803	Yes	BUY	171	7¢	$11	0x6db878…
07-19 02:46:39	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	120	28¢	$34	0xe59594…
07-18 21:29:24	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xd257c6…
07-17 21:51:57	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0xbcd0f4…
07-17 21:41:09	will trump praise lionel messi by july 31 20260626214328043	Yes	BUY	835	89¢	$745	0xd2644f…
07-17 21:40:16	will trump say melania this week 20260710153927804	Yes	BUY	330	97¢	$319	0x070d93…
07-17 21:39:40	will trump say spain this week 20260710153927807	Yes	BUY	296	98¢	$290	0x25915a…
07-17 21:23:33	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	Yes	BUY	195	7¢	$14	0x51c991…
07-17 11:14:00	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260710155725236	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xeb1373…
07-17 11:11:52	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	SELL	147	66¢	$97	0x72ca27…
07-17 01:08:19	will trump say middle east during speech to the nation 20260713200621425	Yes	SELL	141	28¢	$39	0xd48c2a…
07-17 00:58:22	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	Yes	BUY	277	18¢	$50	0x66487e…
07-16 23:38:55	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	299	23¢	$68	0x86bfd8…
07-16 23:37:53	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	263	73¢	$192	0x023356…
07-16 23:00:31	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x86cbca…
07-16 22:09:02	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	BUY	554	33¢	$183	0xe6fcc6…
07-16 22:05:37	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x06f9a2…
07-16 21:33:22	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	887	25¢	$222	0x439787…
07-16 21:27:44	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x522689…
07-16 17:57:56	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x110ef4…
07-16 17:57:16	will leavitt say russia or ukraine during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953935 615	Yes	BUY	128	93¢	$119	0x04c68f…
07-16 17:54:11	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953938 875	Yes	BUY	478	98¢	$469	0xfc74cb…
07-16 17:32:04	will leavitt say congress during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953939 693	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x75ba89…
07-16 17:26:47	will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953940 493	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9f1609…
07-16 15:55:26	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	Yes	SELL	137	56¢	$77	0xf3cb3f…
07-16 13:47:28	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	460	30¢	$140	0xfd5b43…
07-16 13:43:49	will leavitt say thing 10 times during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953930 832	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x16be3a…
07-16 10:10:58	will trump say movie star in july 20260629200910953	Yes	BUY	150	89¢	$133	0x84eba1…
07-16 09:47:19	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x377cad…
07-16 09:37:20	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	81	71¢	$58	0x7c159b…
07-16 09:14:44	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	BUY	62	55¢	$34	0xf9a842…
07-16 09:13:49	will trump say movie star in july 20260629200910953	Yes	BUY	95	81¢	$77	0xf64604…
07-16 01:11:20	will no press briefing air by july 31 20260625205251218 616	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$2	0xf862db…
07-16 00:20:50	will trump say transgender during speech to the nation 20260713200621428	Yes	BUY	2,175	15¢	$326	0xfc9a6b…
07-15 22:54:16	will trump say cuba or cuban this week 20260710153927793	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x4f8eed…
07-15 21:51:34	will no press briefing air by july 31 20260625205251218 616	Yes	BUY	169	2¢	$4	0x996f99…
07-15 20:45:26	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0xf453ce…
07-15 20:33:11	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0x813e55…
07-15 20:29:08	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xa4051d…
07-15 20:28:44	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0xcd80e2…
07-15 20:28:23	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xddc350…
07-15 20:28:13	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x9532fe…
07-15 20:27:56	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xe0ff41…
07-15 20:27:56	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	51	13¢	$7	0x714c1d…
07-15 20:27:31	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xf1189c…
07-15 20:23:25	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xc9d08d…
07-15 20:23:16	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb45275…
07-15 20:23:08	will trump say stock market at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716021	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x1265ab…
07-15 20:23:02	will trump say drone at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716011	Yes	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x02dbf4…