(anonymous) 0x3d03c4…249d52
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
20
Trades
7,575
lifetime
Volume
$27.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$238
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 07-10 04:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
67% 86% +$42
Other
20% 33% $-14
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +38 $36 97¢ $37 +$1 06-04 06:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +145 $33 18¢ $25 $-8 07-03 09:35
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +21 $18 92¢ $19 +$1 06-26 06:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-16 94¢ $-16 +$0 06-22 14:01
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $13 76¢ $15 +$2 06-24 17:00
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +63 $23 24¢ $15 $-8 06-24 16:57
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +74 $20 17¢ $13 $-7 06-24 06:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 84¢ $12 $-0 07-09 10:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -68 $-11 16¢ $-11 $-0 06-21 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $12 40¢ $11 $-1 06-29 08:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -11 $-9 88¢ $-9 $-0 07-10 04:58
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +8 $8 96¢ $7 $-0 06-26 03:16
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +7 $6 80¢ $5 $-0 06-03 08:51
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-16 17:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 06-12 17:44
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-17 13:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +28 $5 12¢ $4 $-1 06-11 19:07
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +42 $7 8¢ $3 $-3 06-27 07:34
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 +$0 06-24 10:01
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +11 $3 24¢ $3 $-1 07-02 23:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +12 $3 15¢ $2 $-1 07-04 11:51
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +30 $2 5¢ $1 $-1 06-15 18:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 18:36
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:31
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +14 $2 3¢ $0 $-1 06-04 00:49
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +5 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-19 23:52