(anonymous) 0x3d03c4…249d52
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
917
Trades
12,991
lifetime
Volume
$44.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$711
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 10-27 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Politics
66% 64% +$160
Other
24% 63% -$74
Crypto
6% 74% +$134
Sports
4% 51% -$253
Tech
1% 76% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +159 $138 92¢ $145 +$7 09-30 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +109 $97 82¢ $89 -$9 09-29 15:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +58 $44 94¢ $55 +$12 05-02 04:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +35 $34 98¢ $34 +$1 10-21 02:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +235 $59 14¢ $33 -$26 10-23 20:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +33 $31 100¢ $32 +$2 09-28 17:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +46 $22 66¢ $31 +$9 09-29 06:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $25 94¢ $28 +$4 07-13 13:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -28 -$26 99¢ $-28 -$2 05-25 15:25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +27 $21 97¢ $26 +$5 08-05 14:56
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +63 $23 27¢ $17 -$6 06-24 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $16 72¢ $17 +$0 10-06 20:13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $13 73¢ $15 +$1 06-24 17:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +76 $28 18¢ $14 -$14 10-24 16:07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +12 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 06-16 14:20
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 06-22 14:01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $19 56¢ $11 -$8 05-01 17:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +15 $13 76¢ $11 -$2 10-20 21:57
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +12 $4 93¢ $11 +$7 07-30 23:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 05-16 00:10
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 07-25 11:29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 09-29 07:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +9 $3 96¢ $9 +$6 05-14 18:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $14 37¢ $9 -$5 10-26 08:51
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +268 $11 3¢ $9 -$3 10-15 03:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +12 $8 66¢ $8 +$0 10-21 05:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +14 $8 57¢ $8 +$0 09-08 19:59
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +36 $20 18¢ $7 -$13 07-11 18:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +74 $16 8¢ $6 -$10 10-25 22:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +56 $31 11¢ $6 -$25 07-17 11:43