(anonymous) 0x3d03c4…249d52
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
20
Trades
6,219
lifetime
Volume
$24.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$599
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-20 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
71% 86% +$42
Other
18% 33% $-14
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 583 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +125 $60 94¢ $118 +$58 06-19 21:00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +91 $88 98¢ $89 +$1 06-19 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +76 $52 92¢ $69 +$17 06-19 10:42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +59 $19 64¢ $38 +$19 06-18 09:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -39 $-41 95¢ $-37 +$4 06-18 03:23
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +38 $36 97¢ $37 +$1 06-04 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +179 $19 14¢ $24 +$5 06-16 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +243 $48 8¢ $21 $-27 06-20 03:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $19 46¢ $19 +$1 06-11 20:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +371 $27 5¢ $19 $-7 06-18 06:01
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-15 96¢ $-15 $-0 06-19 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 06-14 21:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +221 $119 6¢ $12 $-107 06-19 22:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-13 07:32
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-15 16:38
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -8 $-7 88¢ $-7 $-0 06-19 18:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +24 $6 28¢ $7 +$0 06-19 22:58
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +7 $6 84¢ $6 $-0 06-03 08:51
Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-17 09:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-03 08:19
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No -5 $-4 97¢ $-5 $-1 06-11 20:02
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-15 05:59
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-18 09:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-16 17:03
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +33 $11 12¢ $4 $-8 06-01 07:27
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-17 13:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 06-12 17:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +5 $2 65¢ $3 +$1 06-19 23:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +28 $5 12¢ $3 $-1 06-11 19:07
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes +30 $2 6¢ $2 $-0 06-15 18:20