Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

9,365

lifetime

Volume

$31.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-21 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

67% 86% +$42

Other

21% 33% $-14

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	334	$2.3K	2,760	1,756	+1,005	open	—	06-17 23:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	108	$1.2K	1,293	1,134	+159	open	—	06-04 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	72	$1.0K	667	352	+315	open	—	04-10 18:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	310	$869	949	853	+96	open	—	08-13 21:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	51	$728	394	371	+22	open	—	04-20 14:49
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	73	$652	600	144	+456	open	—	07-22 12:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	93	$579	664	404	+261	open	—	04-23 00:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	108	$519	659	259	+400	open	—	06-16 03:25
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	27	$512	286	260	+26	open	—	04-16 03:53
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	349	$432	506	486	+20	open	—	07-07 19:46
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	30	$408	207	207	+0	open	—	04-12 22:31
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	25	$393	437	0	+437	open	—	07-08 10:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	201	$339	724	628	+96	open	—	05-31 07:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	262	$331	594	413	+181	open	—	06-28 05:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	71	$322	266	227	+39	open	—	04-24 15:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	258	$318	749	472	+276	open	—	06-22 06:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	64	$294	148	160	-12	open	—	04-16 19:54
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	70	$281	277	215	+63	open	—	04-16 02:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	32	$277	143	143	+0	open	—	04-17 20:47
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	66	$274	321	148	+172	open	—	04-16 19:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	27	$255	202	177	+25	open	—	06-16 05:26
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	150	$255	196	181	+15	open	—	06-18 18:40
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	44	$254	252	151	+101	open	—	04-14 00:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	48	$252	297	104	+193	Yes	+$5	05-09 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	63	$251	355	218	+137	open	—	04-22 13:40
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	51	$230	167	106	+61	open	—	04-11 06:07
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	31	$229	251	38	+213	open	—	07-14 01:48
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	22	$206	194	28	+166	open	—	07-28 00:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	11	$199	128	128	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	28	$193	175	63	+112	open	—	05-01 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 15:21:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x71e00a…
08-21 06:12:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x541aad…
08-21 06:08:19	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x002186…
08-21 03:37:45	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe2da5c…
08-21 02:32:46	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7f4610…
08-21 01:20:03	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x45a419…
08-21 00:48:03	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x3a5b65…
08-21 00:48:01	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xe7205c…
08-21 00:38:01	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x15bd2c…
08-21 00:38:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x306e3c…
08-21 00:20:12	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x57a235…
08-21 00:12:49	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x72e0fe…
08-21 00:10:57	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x74f30f…
08-21 00:10:45	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x3d6c06…
08-21 00:10:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x125306…
08-20 23:56:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x3556b3…
08-20 23:56:16	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x75e1bb…
08-20 23:48:04	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xe000a7…
08-20 23:47:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x504e69…
08-20 23:47:21	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x175df7…
08-20 23:45:19	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xf0de28…
08-20 23:31:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x94b024…
08-20 23:31:58	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x669865…
08-20 23:31:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x3453f9…
08-20 19:52:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x7710ee…
08-20 19:15:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x775af9…
08-20 18:48:00	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x343f0b…
08-20 18:18:36	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x9338f0…
08-20 17:52:06	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x9eecf3…
08-20 16:04:10	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x80f33f…
08-20 14:35:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xad1190…
08-20 14:09:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xddbbc5…
08-20 13:37:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2973b6…
08-20 13:26:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x29edb1…
08-20 12:18:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4ae99a…
08-20 12:16:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x27f0c7…
08-20 12:11:55	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe46fcd…
08-20 11:32:07	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xc2312b…
08-20 10:15:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xed9b5d…
08-20 09:46:09	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1ad9f6…
08-20 09:31:06	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfc429c…
08-20 09:20:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x19c61f…
08-20 09:06:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x4e5c18…
08-20 08:52:28	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf0275b…
08-20 08:52:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcfda16…
08-20 07:47:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x01b2fc…
08-20 07:14:45	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xcd489e…
08-20 06:31:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xf66a56…
08-20 04:03:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xdb27f7…
08-20 03:58:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xba1094…
08-20 03:57:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x7a7799…
08-20 03:56:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xd3649b…
08-20 03:55:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x357429…
08-20 03:54:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xd6ae16…
08-20 03:06:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x8b6596…
08-20 02:58:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x68a59a…
08-20 02:48:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xb38c00…
08-20 02:41:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xbe32b1…
08-20 02:40:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x46785f…
08-20 02:14:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xc4c6fc…
08-20 01:56:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x9f758a…
08-20 01:44:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x3838a3…
08-20 01:35:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x0e6ded…
08-20 01:06:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x60d2d7…
08-20 00:59:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x9a68ed…
08-20 00:34:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x10ce70…
08-20 00:21:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x433b28…
08-20 00:21:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xd3497e…
08-19 23:37:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x310432…
08-19 23:30:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x177f3d…
08-19 23:29:30	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xdcc6dd…
08-19 22:27:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xac32c9…
08-19 22:14:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x192dad…
08-19 22:12:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xe65273…
08-19 22:07:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xbd265e…
08-19 22:04:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x5ca4e9…
08-19 21:30:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x772dec…
08-19 21:28:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf10f96…
08-19 21:27:52	will bitcoin reach 71k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf40103…
08-19 21:25:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf9176a…
08-19 21:10:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x67258c…
08-19 21:09:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xbad5a8…
08-19 21:05:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x6a55d0…
08-19 20:47:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xbacbd9…
08-19 20:42:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xb7b76c…
08-19 20:36:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x66e61a…
08-19 20:34:27	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa4eb18…
08-19 20:28:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xedb13e…
08-19 20:19:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xb02c9c…
08-19 20:04:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x175909…
08-19 20:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x05b11c…
08-19 19:38:57	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xb3218f…
08-19 19:35:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4bb0f6…
08-19 19:32:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xddc633…
08-19 19:29:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xb75635…
08-19 19:01:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x614c43…
08-19 18:50:46	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x82b4fe…
08-19 18:31:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xacf97a…
08-19 18:30:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xcab7ee…
08-19 18:20:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x6119da…