(anonymous) 0x3d03c4…249d52
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$44
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved (7d)
25
Trades (7d)
220
13,192 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$482
$44.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$736
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-01 21:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Politics
66% 64% +$129
Other
24% 63% -$98
Crypto
6% 74% +$134
Sports
4% 51% -$253
Tech
1% 76% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +159 $138 94¢ $150 +$12 09-30 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +120 $107 82¢ $99 -$8 10-30 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +58 $44 96¢ $56 +$12 05-02 04:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +51 $26 70¢ $36 +$10 10-30 16:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +235 $59 12¢ $29 -$30 10-23 20:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +30 $25 96¢ $29 +$4 07-13 13:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -28 -$26 98¢ $-28 -$1 05-25 15:25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +27 $21 99¢ $26 +$6 08-05 14:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +61 $29 41¢ $25 -$4 10-30 19:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-30 03:27
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +63 $23 30¢ $19 -$4 06-24 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +23 $16 72¢ $17 +$0 10-06 20:13
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +17 $16 97¢ $16 +$0 10-30 07:47
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$1 06-24 17:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +26 $14 52¢ $14 -$1 10-30 11:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +76 $28 18¢ $13 -$14 10-24 16:07
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +15 $13 82¢ $12 -$1 10-20 21:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 06-16 14:20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $19 60¢ $12 -$7 05-01 17:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$12 96¢ $-12 $0 06-22 14:01
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +15 $12 78¢ $12 $0 10-29 17:17
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +14 $8 80¢ $11 +$3 09-08 19:59
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +12 $4 94¢ $11 +$7 07-30 23:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +36 $10 28¢ $10 +$0 10-31 14:25
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$1 07-25 11:29
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-30 05:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +9 $3 97¢ $9 +$6 05-14 18:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +13 $8 65¢ $9 +$0 10-30 06:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +12 $8 70¢ $9 +$1 10-21 05:10
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +10 $8 76¢ $8 $0 10-29 17:16