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bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$98
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved (90d)
217
Trades (90d)
2,534
13,325 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.15K
$45.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$280
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-03 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 179 days
Categories
Politics
66% 63% +$155
Other
24% 62% -$95
Crypto
6% 74% +$134
Sports
4% 51% -$253
Tech
1% 76% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +58 $44 98¢ $57 +$13 05-02 04:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -64 -$44 90¢ $-57 -$13 11-03 16:53
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -30 -$28 98¢ $-29 -$1 11-03 16:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -28 -$26 99¢ $-28 -$2 05-25 15:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +28 $23 98¢ $28 +$5 11-03 16:55
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$14 94¢ $-14 $0 11-03 16:53
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +20 $13 60¢ $12 -$1 06-24 17:00
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 11-03 16:53
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $8 40¢ $8 +$0 11-03 16:53
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +14 $8 55¢ $8 $0 09-08 19:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +14 $7 45¢ $6 $0 11-03 17:15
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 11-03 16:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 08-25 23:54
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -4 -$3 100¢ $-4 $0 11-03 17:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +34 $21 11¢ $4 -$17 11-03 16:53
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -24 $26 10¢ $-2 -$28 11-03 16:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +58 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 05-20 22:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -25 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 11-03 17:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $12 12¢ $1 -$11 11-03 16:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +28 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-11 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $4 8¢ $0 -$3 09-11 02:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 11-03 17:15
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? No -10 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 11-03 17:14
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 10-20 16:07
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 $0 10-26 06:53