Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$30
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 07:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
99%
Other
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 05-05 00:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +186 $11 $11 $-0 05-06 06:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 05-05 23:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 03:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -2 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 05-06 07:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -0 $-0 44¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 23:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 18¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 17:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 16:52