Peppery-Capital — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

90,500

lifetime

Volume

$34.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$377

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 03:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

67% 90% +$27,413

Other

24% 60% $-908

Crypto

7% 56% $-31

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 751 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	179	$1.57M	1,199,386	582,147	+617,239	open	—	06-04 00:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	939	$1.29M	748,961	713,978	+34,983	open	—	02-02 23:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	374	$1.18M	1,014,472	562,546	+451,926	open	—	06-17 23:58
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	273	$1.08M	608,668	471,913	+136,755	open	—	01-04 05:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	150	$978.6K	790,081	391,755	+398,326	open	—	04-20 20:32
will iran strike israel on march 10	201	$846.4K	434,050	438,739	-4,690	open	—	03-17 02:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	453	$773.9K	554,520	515,077	+39,442	open	—	04-08 20:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	804	$731.7K	629,834	358,725	+271,109	open	—	03-14 00:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	700	$651.6K	1,356,056	818,923	+537,133	open	—	03-03 21:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	388	$599.0K	487,922	378,896	+109,026	open	—	03-04 18:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	148	$586.4K	975,320	656,765	+318,555	Yes	+$1,206	05-09 19:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	321	$573.0K	500,405	267,513	+232,892	open	—	05-01 00:08
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	92	$570.9K	335,436	241,117	+94,319	open	—	02-03 20:03
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	573	$556.4K	597,147	72,722	+524,424	open	—	07-08 03:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	253	$555.2K	462,715	313,555	+149,160	open	—	04-23 01:48
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	489	$538.7K	563,686	36,370	+527,316	open	—	07-22 13:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	247	$535.5K	563,922	104,819	+459,103	open	—	04-08 23:55
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	148	$431.2K	322,551	144,116	+178,436	open	—	03-24 13:49
will israel nuke iran by january 31	7,207	$351.7K	187,602	166,300	+21,302	open	—	01-31 22:12
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	286	$335.6K	258,173	89,807	+168,366	open	—	06-17 22:18
iran closes its airspace by june 8	267	$330.4K	327,056	32,802	+294,254	open	—	06-09 08:24
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	52	$315.1K	316,131	3,026	+313,105	open	—	07-01 21:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	205	$294.8K	230,858	179,706	+51,152	open	—	04-22 11:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	143	$280.5K	181,805	177,582	+4,223	open	—	02-28 02:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	333	$276.9K	240,623	184,715	+55,907	open	—	06-16 03:25
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	131	$258.7K	238,859	32,474	+206,386	open	—	06-13 11:53
will the us strike somalia next 656	184	$256.6K	218,099	47,517	+170,582	open	—	01-25 21:15
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	403	$238.6K	161,799	103,869	+57,930	open	—	06-07 22:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	712	$221.6K	255,706	175,342	+80,364	open	—	04-08 01:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	578	$220.7K	387,000	226,138	+160,862	Yes	+$14,263	05-09 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 09:29:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,555	79¢	$4,388	0x3ba6da…
07-26 03:33:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	2,218	60¢	$1,331	0x0903e1…
07-25 23:20:07	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	196	12¢	$23	0x0ac4b7…
07-25 22:40:33	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x02ef9b…
07-25 21:33:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	632	74¢	$468	0x379c6f…
07-25 21:33:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xfd5457…
07-25 21:31:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,226	71¢	$867	0x9cd656…
07-25 20:00:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x84ac2c…
07-25 19:39:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	222	39¢	$87	0xc0d5e4…
07-25 17:49:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	222	37¢	$82	0xa4eff0…
07-25 17:42:15	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	128	10¢	$13	0x9ad7ac…
07-25 17:33:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	183	29¢	$53	0x67117d…
07-25 17:30:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0xdda11b…
07-25 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x84664b…
07-25 17:29:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	221	25¢	$55	0x2e285c…
07-25 17:25:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	222	20¢	$44	0x50dfe1…
07-25 16:52:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	222	18¢	$41	0x7c3529…
07-25 16:52:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	215	32¢	$69	0xf0c260…
07-25 16:51:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4dc3ba…
07-25 16:51:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb71330…
07-25 16:33:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	813	75¢	$610	0x900f31…
07-25 16:33:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0x48ebdc…
07-25 16:33:01	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x59a177…
07-25 16:32:30	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	3,121	88¢	$2,746	0x7187bc…
07-25 16:27:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,919	75¢	$5,190	0x03576e…
07-25 16:27:25	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0xf146c2…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xaf149f…
07-25 16:27:13	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x4e5c05…
07-25 16:27:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	102	11¢	$11	0xaa06db…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	34	11¢	$4	0xb2f700…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x4ba36e…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x46f1f7…
07-25 16:27:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x35648c…
07-25 16:27:06	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	222	11¢	$24	0xd070db…
07-25 16:04:55	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,108	64¢	$708	0xc611d2…
07-25 14:41:19	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0xf0cd34…
07-25 14:30:49	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xe869d9…
07-25 13:54:16	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd9d449…
07-25 11:29:12	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,005	79¢	$789	0x1d52bc…
07-25 11:08:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	1,179	79¢	$931	0x9d5c16…
07-25 11:06:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	134	79¢	$106	0x62546b…
07-25 11:06:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xc5a4e6…
07-25 11:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	115	79¢	$91	0xec2167…
07-25 11:05:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x72bb72…
07-25 11:05:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	16	79¢	$12	0x8135c8…
07-25 11:05:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	81	79¢	$64	0x2c9156…
07-25 11:05:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2636e8…
07-25 11:05:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x25c94a…
07-25 10:59:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x70f329…
07-25 10:56:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	1,192	79¢	$941	0x691034…
07-25 10:54:00	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x87e43c…
07-25 09:46:51	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x426246…
07-25 09:04:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	427	77¢	$329	0xfa8582…
07-25 08:48:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	2,079	95¢	$1,975	0x9da44f…
07-25 08:44:43	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	122	12¢	$15	0x867c35…
07-25 08:22:54	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0xbf1b90…
07-25 07:32:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0x624e60…
07-25 07:30:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	750	69¢	$518	0x88dcbc…
07-25 07:28:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	116	69¢	$80	0xac5f5a…
07-25 07:28:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	82	69¢	$57	0xcce7e2…
07-25 05:55:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	2,159	96¢	$2,073	0xb0ddac…
07-25 05:40:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x703718…
07-25 05:34:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x95dbb4…
07-25 05:32:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4885c0…
07-25 05:29:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	1,619	96¢	$1,554	0x668ed8…
07-25 05:11:24	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	51	77¢	$40	0xf9a957…
07-25 05:01:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	23	77¢	$18	0x0d5aa5…
07-25 04:15:10	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	98	77¢	$75	0xf6b64b…
07-25 04:10:21	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	145	12¢	$17	0x69b9e8…
07-25 03:44:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xf81866…
07-25 03:42:34	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	SELL	5,250	100¢	$5,224	0xc49b4a…
07-25 03:02:55	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1f0ba7…
07-25 03:02:54	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,005	85¢	$858	0xaf2d32…
07-25 02:31:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd8772a…
07-25 01:57:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	401	90¢	$361	0xe68ab7…
07-25 01:57:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x42a42c…
07-25 01:51:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	1,361	3¢	$46	0xdfa2e2…
07-25 01:46:22	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x5d3789…
07-25 01:46:19	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	254	99¢	$252	0xee473d…
07-25 01:46:19	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xb9884a…
07-25 01:31:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xbec4a2…
07-25 01:31:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	246	90¢	$221	0xfaee02…
07-25 01:28:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	1,077	94¢	$1,017	0x514c8f…
07-25 01:02:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0xe41895…
07-25 01:00:55	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	851	89¢	$757	0x18631c…
07-25 01:00:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	4,036	89¢	$3,592	0x6fe15f…
07-25 00:55:54	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x58d23a…
07-25 00:53:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xac2648…
07-25 00:46:28	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x19086d…
07-25 00:44:43	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	130	15¢	$19	0x767e6b…
07-25 00:44:40	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	355	20¢	$70	0xff88d7…
07-25 00:41:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd28e6a…
07-25 00:36:58	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x48bb6b…
07-25 00:35:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,462	0x695117…
07-25 00:33:04	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xfab6aa…
07-25 00:32:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x5e0c7b…
07-25 00:00:40	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc88817…
07-24 23:56:40	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	721	97¢	$698	0xa903a6…
07-24 23:53:16	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	143	16¢	$23	0x62689b…
07-24 23:43:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	191	90¢	$172	0xf19a38…