Realized P&L
+$26.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$37.1K
Hit rate
97.3%
Resolved
41
Trades
84,822
lifetime
Volume
$29.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$350
Open exposure
$158.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
66%
90%
+$27,413
Other
26%
60%
$-908
Crypto
8%
56%
$-31
Tech
1%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 1613 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 179 | $1.57M | 1,199,386 | 582,147 | +617,239 | open | — | 06-04 00:17 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 939 | $1.29M | 748,961 | 713,978 | +34,983 | open | — | 02-02 23:17 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 273 | $1.08M | 608,668 | 471,913 | +136,755 | open | — | 01-04 05:46 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 150 | $978.6K | 790,081 | 391,755 | +398,326 | open | — | 04-20 20:32 |
| will iran strike israel on march 10 | 201 | $846.4K | 434,050 | 438,739 | -4,690 | open | — | 03-17 02:03 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 453 | $773.9K | 554,520 | 515,077 | +39,442 | open | — | 04-08 20:38 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 804 | $731.7K | 629,834 | 358,725 | +271,109 | open | — | 03-14 00:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 700 | $651.6K | 1,356,056 | 818,923 | +537,133 | open | — | 03-03 21:33 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 388 | $599.0K | 487,922 | 378,896 | +109,026 | open | — | 03-04 18:33 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 148 | $586.4K | 975,320 | 656,765 | +318,555 | Yes | +$1,206 | 05-09 19:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 321 | $573.0K | 500,405 | 267,513 | +232,892 | open | — | 05-01 00:08 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 92 | $570.9K | 335,436 | 241,117 | +94,319 | open | — | 02-03 20:03 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 253 | $555.2K | 462,715 | 313,555 | +149,160 | open | — | 04-23 01:48 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 247 | $535.5K | 563,922 | 104,819 | +459,103 | open | — | 04-08 23:55 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 148 | $431.2K | 322,551 | 144,116 | +178,436 | open | — | 03-24 13:49 |
| will israel nuke iran by january 31 | 7,207 | $351.7K | 187,602 | 166,300 | +21,302 | open | — | 01-31 22:12 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 309 | $330.6K | 511,422 | 205,408 | +306,014 | open | — | 06-15 14:45 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 267 | $330.4K | 327,056 | 32,802 | +294,254 | open | — | 06-09 08:24 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 205 | $294.8K | 230,858 | 179,706 | +51,152 | open | — | 04-22 11:13 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 143 | $280.5K | 181,805 | 177,582 | +4,223 | open | — | 02-28 02:34 |
| will trump restart project freedom by june 30 | 131 | $258.7K | 238,859 | 32,474 | +206,386 | open | — | 06-13 11:53 |
| will the us strike somalia next 656 | 184 | $256.6K | 218,099 | 47,517 | +170,582 | open | — | 01-25 21:15 |
| israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7 | 403 | $238.6K | 161,799 | 103,869 | +57,930 | open | — | 06-07 22:55 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 712 | $221.6K | 255,706 | 175,342 | +80,364 | open | — | 04-08 01:13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 578 | $220.7K | 387,000 | 226,138 | +160,862 | Yes | +$14,263 | 05-09 19:39 |
| will melania say career during ai talk on friday | 38 | $217.2K | 217,064 | 924 | +216,140 | open | — | 01-20 14:48 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 65 | $215.7K | 216,756 | 0 | +216,756 | open | — | 01-04 01:36 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | 63 | $203.7K | 183,457 | 23,383 | +160,074 | open | — | 02-04 22:27 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 204 | $201.0K | 129,376 | 129,376 | +0 | open | — | 03-07 14:26 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 318 | $199.5K | 228,153 | 118,422 | +109,730 | open | — | 06-15 01:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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