Peppery-Capital 0x7c3db7…1e5c6b
whale hot 12W streak
3Unusual bets: 3 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$711.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$35.5K
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
3,248
Trades
122,815
lifetime
Volume
$44.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$363
Open exposure
$310.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 02:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 289 days
Categories
Politics
65% 72% +$545,500
Other
25% 66% +$120,813
Crypto
6% 46% +$18,798
Sports
3% 70% +$24,784
Tech
2% 70% +$1,798
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +88,157 $87,788 100¢ $87.7K -$72 10-30 03:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30,799 $12,463 82¢ $25.3K +$12,792 10-30 03:43
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +25,038 $16,586 76¢ $19.2K +$2,568 10-29 23:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +17,957 $9,930 90¢ $16.3K +$6,322 10-30 00:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +66,388 $11,003 18¢ $11.9K +$947 10-24 16:07
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +15,531 $11,388 74¢ $11.4K +$28 10-29 23:25
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +11,168 $2,438 92¢ $10.3K +$7,836 07-30 23:34
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +10,000 $9,720 99¢ $9.9K +$200 10-30 00:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10,566 $10,653 94¢ $9.9K -$774 10-29 17:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -9,372 -$9,392 97¢ $-9072 +$320 10-29 17:16
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +11,094 $8,938 78¢ $8.7K -$285 10-30 00:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +10,598 $7,826 81¢ $8.6K +$791 10-29 23:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8,031 $6,955 98¢ $7.8K +$888 10-30 00:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +8,269 $6,395 84¢ $7.0K +$592 09-04 12:43
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +6,003 $5,095 98¢ $5.9K +$806 10-19 00:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +7,185 $4,845 76¢ $5.5K +$651 10-20 05:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +10,586 $5,483 48¢ $5.1K -$402 10-30 00:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +4,826 $4,512 95¢ $4.6K +$78 10-29 17:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5,376 $3,707 80¢ $4.3K +$620 10-23 20:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -4,395 -$4,229 98¢ $-4327 -$99 06-06 08:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,964 -$4,152 85¢ $-4239 -$87 06-15 21:19
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +9,148 $4,033 45¢ $4.2K +$129 10-29 17:16
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +5,843 $4,136 70¢ $4.1K -$17 10-29 17:16
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -3,896 -$3,703 99¢ $-3874 -$171 08-14 10:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4,383 $3,776 86¢ $3.8K +$15 10-21 13:17
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +3,724 $3,623 98¢ $3.6K +$12 10-30 00:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +10,278 $3,062 34¢ $3.5K +$484 10-29 17:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +11,687 $2,351 30¢ $3.4K +$1,096 10-29 22:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $3,400 68¢ $3.4K +$25 10-29 23:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,100 $2,809 99¢ $3.1K +$252 09-24 08:21