Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
3,658
lifetime
Volume
$43.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$294
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 07-21 23:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
89% 85% +$26
Other
7% 0% $-6
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +289 $225 72¢ $210 $-15 07-15 22:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $14 90¢ $14 +$0 07-21 04:08
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 +$0 06-05 04:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +9 $9 96¢ $9 +$0 05-27 21:38
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +29 $9 30¢ $9 +$0 06-04 22:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $9 36¢ $7 $-2 06-29 08:31
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$0 05-27 21:39
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 05-27 21:39
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-17 13:12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +12 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 05-27 21:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 05-27 21:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-1 05-27 21:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +8 $1 $0 $-1 05-27 21:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +13 $1 $0 $-1 07-11 18:56