Realized P&L
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
15
Trades
3,326
lifetime
Volume
$41.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$397
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 06-30 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
91% 85% +$26
Other
6% 0% $-6
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +185 $183 100¢ $185 +$3 06-29 23:28
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +32 $31 100¢ $32 +$1 05-27 21:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +28 $19 99¢ $28 +$9 06-15 04:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +28 $24 86¢ $24 +$1 06-30 20:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$1 06-03 08:55
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +12 $12 99¢ $12 +$0 06-17 19:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +12 $11 93¢ $11 +$0 06-05 04:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $9 44¢ $9 $-0 06-29 08:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 05-27 21:38
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +29 $9 26¢ $8 $-1 06-04 22:20
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 05-27 21:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 +$1 06-15 18:18
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +7 $6 98¢ $7 +$0 05-27 21:39
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 05-27 21:39
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-17 13:12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 05-27 21:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +10 $11 30¢ $3 $-8 06-20 08:26
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes +4 $3 64¢ $3 $-1 05-27 21:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$0 05-27 21:39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-27 21:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +12 $2 11¢ $1 $-0 05-27 21:39
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-16 17:03
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +22 $25 $1 $-24 06-30 16:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 05-27 21:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 05-27 21:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-1 05-27 21:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +123 $40 $1 $-39 06-21 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-8 86¢ $-1 +$8 06-17 05:43
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 05-27 21:39