Clean-Repeat 0xe9ce22…bd711f
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$85
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
61.2%
Resolved
605
Trades
7,656
lifetime
Volume
$33.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$482
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 10-30 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Politics
77% 65% +$178
Other
18% 56% -$166
Crypto
3% 75% +$33
Sports
1% 67% +$40
Tech
1% 80% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -124 -$103 82¢ $-102 +$1 10-29 17:16
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -64 -$59 95¢ $-61 -$2 10-29 17:16
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No -58 -$58 99¢ $-58 +$0 05-03 12:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -37 -$34 98¢ $-37 -$3 05-03 12:07
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +26 $25 95¢ $25 -$1 10-29 22:33
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -24 -$22 97¢ $-23 -$1 05-03 12:07
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -19 -$18 99¢ $-19 -$1 05-03 12:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +22 $17 82¢ $18 +$0 10-29 23:58
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +17 $7 94¢ $16 +$9 07-30 22:38
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +17 $14 78¢ $14 $0 10-30 00:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +14 $11 76¢ $10 -$1 10-29 17:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +14 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 10-29 23:55
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029 No +13 $10 70¢ $9 $0 10-29 23:25
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-29 23:53
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +7 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-29 22:33
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +7 $7 95¢ $6 $0 10-29 17:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 10-29 23:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +21 $6 29¢ $6 +$0 10-29 22:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +12 $7 48¢ $6 -$1 10-30 06:27
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 10-30 05:22
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 10-29 23:54
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +5 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 08-02 18:32
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes +9 $5 45¢ $4 -$1 10-29 17:16
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $0 10-29 17:16
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 08-18 00:16
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 09-10 18:32
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-20 23:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 10-11 19:53
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 09-12 17:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 10-29 23:57