Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
14
Trades
4,243
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$468
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 06-30 22:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
83% 91% +$39
Other
14% 33% $-2
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +274 $273 100¢ $274 +$1 06-29 18:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -141 $-121 86¢ $-121 +$0 06-17 05:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $17 44¢ $17 +$0 06-29 08:30
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-19 08:10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-7 94¢ $-7 +$0 06-22 14:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 06-12 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-15 04:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -31 $-3 15¢ $-4 $-1 06-21 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-02 18:21
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +29 $7 $1 $-6 06-30 16:53
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +184 $3 $0 $-3 05-29 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -32 $23 $-0 $-23 06-30 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +35 $4 $0 $-4 06-15 18:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $-40 100¢ $0 +$40 06-23 09:04
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +7 $4 $0 $-4 06-19 23:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-1 30¢ $0 +$1 06-20 08:26