Clean-Repeat 0xe9ce22…bd711f
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Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
14
Trades
3,553
lifetime
Volume
$21.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$48
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 06-09 21:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
84% 91% +$39
Other
13% 33% $-2
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +142 $38 10¢ $14 $-25 06-08 01:21
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-07 22:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-08 09:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +28 $12 16¢ $5 $-7 06-09 21:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $4 28¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:58
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-01 21:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +19 $3 11¢ $2 $-1 06-09 17:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $-1 05-31 16:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-02 18:21
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +184 $3 1¢ $1 $-2 05-29 18:17
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-03 19:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 07:14