Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
14
Trades
4,731
lifetime
Volume
$26.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$144
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 07-20 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
82% 91% +$39
Other
14% 33% $-2
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +124 $91 74¢ $91 +$0 07-20 14:26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 06-20 15:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $17 36¢ $14 $-3 06-29 08:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -31 $-3 26¢ $-8 $-6 07-13 18:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +9 $5 80¢ $7 +$2 06-12 17:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 $-0 06-22 14:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 89¢ $2 $-0 07-21 04:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +70 $4 $1 $-3 07-13 04:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +7 $4 $0 $-4 06-19 23:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-1 20¢ $0 +$1 06-20 08:26