Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
809
Trades
1,074
lifetime
Volume
$3.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$153
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 09-09 05:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
43% 78% +$5
Tech
26% 77% +$21
Politics
23% 64% -$70
Crypto
6% 88% +$3
Sports
2% 67% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +14 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 08-15 18:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 91¢ $-9 $0 06-17 07:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +24 $16 36¢ $9 -$7 08-15 18:45
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +8 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 07-24 07:11
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +8 $7 92¢ $8 +$1 07-24 07:10
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -17 -$2 44¢ $-7 -$5 06-07 20:25
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +7 $7 93¢ $7 $0 07-24 07:14
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 07-12 20:42
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 Anthropic +7 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 06-09 23:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 06-13 20:33
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-16 20:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-09 18:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-09 18:06
New pandemic in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-09 18:14
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-09 18:09
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +7 $5 73¢ $5 +$0 06-09 23:48
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $0 06-09 23:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 06-13 18:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $2 91¢ $5 +$3 05-31 02:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8 $7 54¢ $4 -$3 06-14 03:45
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 08-04 02:30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 06-07 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-04 20:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $5 28¢ $3 -$2 09-09 05:37
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +3 $1 86¢ $3 +$2 07-12 20:34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3 $2 82¢ $3 +$1 06-13 18:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +6 $5 43¢ $2 -$2 08-09 18:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 07-24 07:14