Realized P&L
-$23
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
885
lifetime
Volume
$2.41K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$123
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-13 22:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
45% 75% +$2
Politics
28% 33% $-25
Tech
17%
Crypto
8%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-15 86¢ $-18 $-3 06-17 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +11 $11 99¢ $10 $-0 07-13 18:35
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 07-02 01:30
Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? No +9 $5 69¢ $6 +$1 07-02 01:26
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 07-12 20:42
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-04 20:35
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-13 18:46
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +6 $5 79¢ $5 +$0 06-13 18:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +8 $5 60¢ $5 +$0 07-12 20:42
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-12 20:42
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-02 01:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +12 $5 38¢ $5 $-0 07-13 18:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $2 78¢ $4 +$2 05-31 02:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 06-13 18:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6 $5 54¢ $3 $-2 07-07 04:08
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-04 20:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4 $1 82¢ $3 +$2 06-07 20:09
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026? Yes +3 $3 74¢ $2 $-1 06-13 18:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-13 18:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:56
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-27 20:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 29¢ $-2 $-1 06-18 06:58
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? No +2 $2 77¢ $2 $-0 07-02 01:18
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 06-13 18:37
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2 $2 64¢ $1 $-1 06-07 20:28
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? Yes +2 $2 52¢ $1 $-1 06-23 23:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -4 $-1 32¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-07 20:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-13 18:51