Loving-Hate 0x48c4eb…7219e5
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$23
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
845
lifetime
Volume
$2.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$129
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-30 07:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
43% 75% +$2
Politics
29% 33% $-25
Tech
18% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -21 $-15 80¢ $-17 $-2 06-17 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +11 $9 99¢ $11 +$2 06-13 18:29
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-04 20:35
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-14 03:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-04 20:54
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 06-13 18:47
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-13 18:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-13 18:51
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-04 20:35
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 06-14 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-27 20:09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 06-16 09:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $2 70¢ $4 +$2 05-31 02:37
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-14 03:52
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-04 20:52
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $-0 06-27 20:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 $-0 06-13 18:43
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4 $1 76¢ $3 +$2 06-07 20:09
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 06-14 03:54
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-14 03:48
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026? Yes +3 $3 72¢ $2 $-1 06-13 18:47
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-14 03:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:56
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-07 20:21
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-27 20:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 06-04 20:52
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 06-13 18:51
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-27 20:16
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-07 20:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-17 22:09