Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?
open
Total volume
$144
Trades
39
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$29
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-01-01
First seen
2026-06-17
last 08-08 09:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $9 | $61 | $52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 9 | $9 | $56 | $47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x548a…de8f | No | +63 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 08-08 09:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 08-08 09:30 |
| Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +2 | $2 | $5 | 3 | 07-21 06:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 14:35 |
| Milky-Developing 0xe8e6…cb46 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 14:13 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f0b…e9c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 12:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 09:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x548a…de8f | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x98ee48… |
| 08-08 09:30:37 | (anonymous) 0xe168…7380 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x98ee48… |
| 08-08 09:30:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x98ee48… |
| 08-05 14:13:56 | Milky-Developing 0xe8e6…cb46 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6b359b… |
| 08-05 14:13:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b359b… |
| 07-21 06:27:58 | (anonymous) 0xe168…7380 | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x7f5a8f… |
| 07-21 06:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x7f5a8f… |
| 07-21 06:27:04 | (anonymous) 0xe168…7380 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x2cf365… |
| 07-21 06:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x2cf365… |
| 07-08 11:15:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xef72cf… |
| 07-08 11:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xef72cf… |
| 07-08 11:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xef72cf… |
| 07-08 11:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x548a…de8f | No | BUY | 42 | 72¢ | $30 | 0xef72cf… |
| 07-04 15:45:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa63bf2… |
| 07-04 15:45:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa63bf2… |
| 07-04 15:35:58 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0b2833… |
| 07-04 15:35:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0b2833… |
| 07-04 14:27:59 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa84056… |
| 07-04 14:27:59 | Vibrant-Foam 0xd33b…44cb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa84056… |
| 07-03 15:52:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x3667b5… |
| 07-03 15:52:02 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x3667b5… |
| 07-02 07:50:08 | Vibrant-Foam 0xd33b…44cb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xb50cef… |
| 07-02 07:50:08 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xb50cef… |
| 07-02 01:26:38 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xc66573… |
| 07-02 01:26:38 | Loving-Hate 0x48c4…19e5 | No | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xc66573… |
| 07-01 18:32:23 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0x43f0d7… |
| 07-01 18:32:23 | Vibrant-Foam 0xd33b…44cb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 45¢ | $0 | 0x43f0d7… |
| 07-01 14:35:59 | Humongous-Settlement 0x17b7…1ecc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x3b56a7… |
| 07-01 14:35:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x3b56a7… |
| 07-01 09:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x3362…02b9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7bce7d… |
| 07-01 09:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7bce7d… |
| 07-01 08:35:53 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xe63304… |
| 07-01 08:35:53 | (anonymous) 0x3362…02b9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xe63304… |
| 06-22 06:58:08 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3071e8… |
| 06-22 06:58:08 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3071e8… |
| 06-22 06:16:01 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6a9440… |
| 06-22 06:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6a9440… |
| 06-17 12:14:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9933a3… |
| 06-17 12:14:38 | (anonymous) 0x3f0b…e9c9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9933a3… |