Mixed-Entity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$449

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$556.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-20 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-449

Other

13% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	11	$104.8K	345,010	345,010	+0	open	—	02-28 21:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$68.7K	42,757	42,757	+0	open	—	03-08 21:11
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	11	$30.1K	20,845	20,845	+0	open	—	03-03 14:26
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$24.9K	17,345	17,345	+0	open	—	02-26 15:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$24.3K	32,002	32,002	+0	open	—	06-01 14:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$23.4K	22,270	22,270	+0	open	—	03-02 22:10
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	10	$17.6K	20,349	20,349	+0	open	—	02-04 20:46
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$17.0K	98,567	98,567	+0	open	—	03-20 17:38
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	12	$13.8K	15,441	15,441	+0	open	—	02-20 15:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	34	$13.5K	23,038	23,038	+0	open	—	02-02 13:16
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	6	$11.5K	29,755	29,755	+0	open	—	02-27 22:15
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	16	$11.4K	11,337	10,471	+865	open	—	05-26 13:00
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	31	$10.9K	11,236	11,236	+0	open	—	07-07 11:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	11	$10.8K	10,314	10,314	+0	open	—	04-16 18:05
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$10.3K	21,955	21,955	+0	open	—	03-03 20:38
will no qualifying us iran meeting occur by february 13 2026	4	$9.0K	5,411	5,411	+0	open	—	02-06 23:16
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$9.0K	6,042	6,042	+0	open	—	02-06 23:17
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$8.2K	5,817	5,817	+0	open	—	02-20 18:20
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$8.0K	5,630	5,630	+0	open	—	02-09 15:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$7.7K	18,194	18,194	+0	open	—	04-16 15:53
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	19	$7.1K	3,792	3,792	+0	open	—	06-09 17:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	7	$7.0K	4,534	4,534	-0	open	—	01-16 15:39
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	16	$6.5K	8,234	8,234	+0	open	—	04-21 20:33
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	3	$6.4K	3,529	3,528	+0	open	—	05-15 18:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$5.8K	12,120	12,120	+0	open	—	02-28 18:24
iran closes its airspace by june 15	7	$5.6K	4,286	4,286	+0	open	—	06-07 20:36
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	4	$5.5K	7,636	7,636	+0	open	—	04-08 20:18
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	3	$5.1K	9,524	9,524	+0	open	—	06-17 17:48
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	4	$5.0K	2,617	2,617	+0	open	—	04-23 16:37
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	9	$4.6K	4,338	4,338	+0	open	—	05-15 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 17:06:01	USDC depeg by December 31?	Yes	SELL	513	1¢	$6	0x265871…
07-20 17:05:45	USDC depeg by December 31?	Yes	BUY	513	2¢	$10	0xa06ec0…
07-08 15:44:11	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x77275e…
07-07 11:11:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3,283	82¢	$2,694	0xf07d21…
07-06 21:29:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3,282	72¢	$2,373	0x84c73d…
07-06 21:10:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0xb7d1cd…
07-06 21:10:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0xdb96c4…
07-06 21:10:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0x9037af…
07-06 21:10:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	153	65¢	$99	0x368863…
07-06 21:07:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5,953	34¢	$2,000	0xce2a07…
07-06 21:05:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3,239	3¢	$90	0xb5aae9…
07-06 20:58:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xbabad1…
07-06 20:58:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x8d9a24…
07-06 20:58:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	196	49¢	$95	0xc839c2…
07-06 20:58:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x23ca01…
07-06 20:58:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x052502…
07-06 20:58:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,226	45¢	$1,000	0x64bc73…
07-06 20:57:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,432	62¢	$884	0x3e6290…
07-06 12:04:37	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin by september 30 2026 20260702185708572	Yes	SELL	354	99¢	$350	0x782344…
07-06 11:56:02	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin by september 30 2026 20260702185708572	Yes	BUY	354	87¢	$307	0x990260…
07-06 11:01:23	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	861	6¢	$53	0xfb3e77…
07-06 11:01:07	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	861	12¢	$100	0x4ffee6…
06-30 15:04:25	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	SELL	2,097	100¢	$2,095	0x4b71f6…
06-23 14:27:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x77b2c5…
06-23 14:27:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xf739ce…
06-23 14:27:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x59ce20…
06-23 14:27:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xe0f3a7…
06-23 14:27:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xbc86b6…
06-23 14:27:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xfc6c25…
06-23 14:27:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x42d61f…
06-23 14:27:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xd2fcc7…
06-23 14:27:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x3bc67e…
06-23 14:27:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x328c7e…
06-23 14:27:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xf01955…
06-23 14:27:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x99bb01…
06-23 14:27:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x516ff7…
06-23 14:27:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf07ccb…
06-23 14:27:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6d7042…
06-23 14:27:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x9c554e…
06-18 16:14:08	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	1,055	92¢	$971	0xae19f2…
06-18 13:28:07	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xe9bbfa…
06-18 13:28:07	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xa9862c…
06-18 13:28:05	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x852ba9…
06-18 13:28:04	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xa16415…
06-18 13:28:01	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x194fed…
06-18 13:27:59	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$99	0x5adb2f…
06-18 13:27:53	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	136	72¢	$98	0xa4dc6b…
06-18 13:27:53	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x514e03…
06-17 21:29:05	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	SELL	1,247	44¢	$544	0x747698…
06-17 21:29:04	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	524	31¢	$163	0xb727f1…
06-17 21:28:35	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x887a53…
06-17 21:28:05	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xa625d5…
06-17 21:28:05	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x57e6d2…
06-17 21:28:02	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x811fdd…
06-17 21:28:01	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xc8e216…
06-17 21:27:56	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	BUY	1,247	80¢	$1,000	0xff1a9f…
06-17 21:27:49	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	1,713	28¢	$481	0x7a5c72…
06-17 21:27:49	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	SELL	299	24¢	$72	0x2e6db8…
06-17 21:27:44	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	SELL	899	24¢	$219	0x3923b1…
06-17 21:27:29	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xd1456b…
06-17 21:27:29	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	1,713	57¢	$972	0xae9e11…
06-17 21:27:28	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	BUY	1,160	66¢	$770	0x350da0…
06-17 19:28:26	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	SELL	214	98¢	$210	0x7fb4c5…
06-17 19:13:58	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	SELL	416	99¢	$413	0xce2826…
06-17 18:59:10	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	SELL	566	5¢	$30	0x0f85ea…
06-17 18:58:40	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x97a795…
06-17 18:58:34	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	No	BUY	107	93¢	$99	0x7b5f97…
06-17 18:58:29	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	BUY	566	18¢	$100	0x2ee00a…
06-17 18:30:55	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xc82b15…
06-17 18:30:49	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xe29038…
06-17 18:30:49	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x0b5c77…
06-17 18:30:47	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	104	96¢	$99	0x08e67e…
06-17 18:30:44	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xc1daba…
06-17 18:30:32	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	105	94¢	$98	0x32f465…
06-17 17:48:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	9,524	22¢	$2,137	0xb813d6…
06-17 17:44:38	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	3,204	31¢	$999	0x5d12fa…
06-17 17:40:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	6,320	32¢	$1,999	0x4fe14b…
06-17 17:10:49	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	812	41¢	$334	0x9c448f…
06-17 17:09:23	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	220	84¢	$185	0x0031d0…
06-17 17:09:04	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,032	73¢	$757	0x596e44…
06-17 16:51:52	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0x68bda5…
06-17 16:21:10	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xbe9c03…
06-09 17:03:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	1,551	97¢	$1,510	0x2699c1…
06-09 17:02:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x7ad578…
06-09 17:00:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x9eb8fc…
06-09 17:00:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb15611…
06-09 17:00:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd8ed8f…
06-09 16:59:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xbdb143…
06-09 16:59:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x58a1a9…
06-09 16:59:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x39cf0c…
06-09 16:59:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe78884…
06-09 16:59:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x88f784…
06-09 16:59:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x28a37f…
06-09 16:59:06	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe265b5…
06-09 16:58:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x7ed5e9…
06-09 16:57:13	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xa2dbef…
06-09 16:57:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0x5229ac…
06-09 16:57:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	796	97¢	$772	0xe39773…
06-09 16:56:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x6c187b…
06-09 16:28:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1,841	85¢	$1,556	0x3550d9…