Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$64
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
2,016
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$135
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-11 11:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
78% 44% $-8
Crypto
13%
Other
10% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $21 74¢ $23 +$2 06-11 14:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +66 $21 29¢ $19 $-2 06-01 17:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +83 $26 22¢ $18 $-8 06-05 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $16 44¢ $15 $-1 06-09 23:54
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -36 $-6 39¢ $-14 $-8 05-29 19:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +17 $14 83¢ $14 +$0 06-09 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +149 $34 $11 $-22 06-08 01:21
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +22 $6 24¢ $5 $-0 06-04 21:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +176 $4 $5 +$0 06-02 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $8 17¢ $3 $-5 06-10 22:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +74 $8 $3 $-5 06-01 04:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $4 34¢ $2 $-2 06-07 19:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +14 $5 10¢ $1 $-4 06-09 17:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$1 06-07 18:37
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +53 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 23:03
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? Yes +2 $5 $0 $-5 06-10 19:39