Utter-Orient 0xe90fe0…02131e
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,167
lifetime
Volume
$26.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$522
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-24 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
81% 44% $-8
Other
9% 0% $-3
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +464 $355 72¢ $337 $-18 07-24 06:37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -83 $-6 28¢ $-23 $-17 07-22 04:14
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +21 $20 94¢ $19 $-0 07-06 18:11
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes +15 $15 100¢ $15 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +14 $14 96¢ $14 $-0 07-06 18:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $16 36¢ $14 $-3 07-21 21:10
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 $-0 07-06 18:11
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +11 $11 98¢ $11 $-0 07-06 18:11
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 07-16 01:14
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-06 18:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-13 14:11
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 07-06 18:11
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -11 $1 28¢ $-3 $-4 07-13 18:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -4 $-3 66¢ $-3 +$0 07-20 23:13
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +3 $3 82¢ $3 +$0 07-06 18:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +5 $6 40¢ $2 $-3 07-19 02:29
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-06 18:11
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-06 18:11
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +13 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-06 00:43
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 06-13 01:05
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-06 18:11
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 $-0 07-06 18:18
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 07-06 18:11
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-06 18:11