Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
3,399
lifetime
Volume
$22.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$56
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-03 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
85% 44% $-8
Other
8% 0% $-3
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -26 $-24 88¢ $-22 +$2 06-11 17:45
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $12 100¢ $13 +$1 06-20 15:09
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +22 $6 24¢ $5 $-0 06-04 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-8 100¢ $-5 +$3 07-03 21:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $-0 06-13 14:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -11 $0 12¢ $-1 $-1 07-03 21:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +12 $2 11¢ $1 $-0 06-22 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +5 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-13 01:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +31 $3 $0 $-3 06-25 20:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -109 $9 $-0 $-9 07-03 21:33
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +40 $27 $0 $-27 06-19 23:52