Utter-Orient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

5,754

lifetime

Volume

$42.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 08-13 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

71% 44% $-8

Other

21% 0% $-3

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	244	$5.0K	3,500	3,194	+306	open	—	08-13 00:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	151	$3.4K	2,439	2,164	+276	open	—	06-17 23:58
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	21	$2.2K	2,332	2,206	+126	open	—	07-30 02:36
iran closes its airspace by june 8	209	$2.1K	1,489	820	+669	open	—	06-08 04:23
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	134	$1.7K	1,728	1,665	+62	open	—	08-11 22:58
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	97	$1.6K	836	756	+80	open	—	06-17 22:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$1.4K	772	762	+10	open	—	06-01 21:29
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	85	$1.3K	801	624	+177	open	—	06-07 22:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	64	$774	784	645	+139	open	—	08-12 03:04
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	55	$718	523	433	+90	open	—	08-11 15:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	51	$689	391	341	+50	open	—	05-20 07:51
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	42	$661	672	217	+455	open	—	08-12 22:16
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	25	$621	535	195	+340	open	—	08-12 22:19
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	234	$584	1,943	1,937	+6	open	—	07-20 21:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	198	$569	1,105	1,066	+39	open	—	05-31 01:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	25	$527	699	747	-48	open	—	08-11 15:55
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	9	$525	529	0	+529	open	—	06-29 23:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	116	$481	523	535	-12	open	—	06-16 02:41
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	70	$479	354	239	+115	open	—	06-11 01:00
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	82	$448	709	509	+200	open	—	08-12 22:00
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	21	$357	359	10	+349	open	—	07-01 21:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	81	$356	660	591	+68	open	—	06-23 09:04
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	12	$324	537	623	-86	open	—	08-11 15:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	45	$324	335	170	+165	open	—	08-12 16:23
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	42	$300	192	112	+80	open	—	05-20 07:40
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	6	$292	5,812	5,735	+77	open	—	07-27 01:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	29	$290	158	158	+0	open	—	05-15 12:39
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	153	$286	514	391	+123	open	—	06-14 21:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	11	$284	1,650	1,695	-45	open	—	07-30 02:36
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	84	$272	238	236	+2	open	—	04-27 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 18:30:54	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x875661…
08-13 18:24:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x8510a8…
08-13 18:20:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xc9dcee…
08-13 18:17:55	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x6b6954…
08-13 18:13:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xab0066…
08-13 18:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x3f0a5b…
08-13 17:55:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xfeaf05…
08-13 16:47:31	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a9d26…
08-13 16:21:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xeffcd6…
08-13 16:14:42	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x7abfae…
08-13 16:14:37	will kai or speed die to a hoglin 20260808122751351	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x024392…
08-13 16:05:28	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x1a77d1…
08-13 16:00:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x753cda…
08-13 15:58:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3a013b…
08-13 15:55:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x44cb7f…
08-13 15:38:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2082d8…
08-13 15:38:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf61d56…
08-13 15:37:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa7fc84…
08-13 15:29:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa1a8d9…
08-13 15:19:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x293f72…
08-13 15:19:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x13132e…
08-13 15:15:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3b8183…
08-13 15:11:21	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd228ba…
08-13 14:42:01	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x446cd0…
08-13 13:50:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x051afa…
08-13 12:13:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xdb89d3…
08-13 11:51:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf00455…
08-13 10:28:18	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$4	0x320b6f…
08-13 09:52:12	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	465	1¢	$6	0xd4be18…
08-13 09:24:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x7305b1…
08-13 09:18:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x46a793…
08-13 07:48:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x70e833…
08-13 07:46:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x5a2b58…
08-13 03:47:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xd2ff4d…
08-13 03:35:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x85ab46…
08-13 03:15:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x11a42f…
08-13 02:58:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x889f6f…
08-13 02:48:48	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6d6691…
08-13 01:50:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x9a180e…
08-13 01:50:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x492fe8…
08-13 01:48:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0xb9c777…
08-13 01:48:22	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x31c20a…
08-13 01:32:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x043619…
08-13 01:30:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0x4a7248…
08-13 01:16:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x62885c…
08-13 01:16:04	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x39e530…
08-13 01:08:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x20295e…
08-13 00:58:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x67ba25…
08-13 00:40:40	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xfa0d39…
08-13 00:40:24	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xe41c73…
08-13 00:40:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xd2e996…
08-13 00:40:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x42b690…
08-13 00:10:30	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8d9de6…
08-13 00:06:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x729388…
08-12 23:30:54	will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1d8e77…
08-12 23:30:52	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdcef86…
08-12 23:19:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x1b3b9f…
08-12 22:56:18	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260812010037210	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd604f2…
08-12 22:56:15	will kai or speed die to a phantom 20260806175301191	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f2624…
08-12 22:56:12	will kai or speed die to a witch 20260808122756578	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd555ca…
08-12 22:36:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9056ca…
08-12 22:19:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x60ec47…
08-12 22:16:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xb47a05…
08-12 22:15:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xba80bb…
08-12 22:15:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x7c5fd2…
08-12 22:09:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x38a9b8…
08-12 22:09:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x2ac85b…
08-12 22:06:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x376f4f…
08-12 22:05:54	will kai or speed die to a slime 20260808122810984	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x323da4…
08-12 22:05:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf9d394…
08-12 22:04:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5b3800…
08-12 22:04:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x2bb54e…
08-12 22:04:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1083a7…
08-12 22:04:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xd15a58…
08-12 22:03:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x6a03dd…
08-12 22:01:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xe2a695…
08-12 22:00:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16316d…
08-12 21:59:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xdc1518…
08-12 21:57:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	120	87¢	$105	0x631dc3…
08-12 21:56:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa95654…
08-12 21:56:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x230fd4…
08-12 21:53:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x986a7d…
08-12 21:53:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xddd9c0…
08-12 21:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x13f162…
08-12 21:49:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x482ad5…
08-12 21:38:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb4be9e…
08-12 21:35:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x7542a5…
08-12 21:30:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd7f910…
08-12 21:30:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xea684b…
08-12 21:29:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xe9a4ed…
08-12 21:28:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x95c962…
08-12 21:28:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x091e36…
08-12 21:27:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x994f46…
08-12 21:27:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xd60a4d…
08-12 21:27:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xcb4906…
08-12 21:27:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x2a5fed…
08-12 21:27:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xd416eb…
08-12 21:21:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x77aee0…
08-12 21:17:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x45f28b…
08-12 21:12:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x9220c5…