Will Elon register any party before 2027?
open
Total volume
$601
Trades
136
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$10,359
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 08-19 13:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.9¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $128
vs crowd: 8% YES on $418)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $4 | $129 | $125 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $2 | $175 | $173 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $10 | $53 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $16 | $28 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | $126 | $125 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $4 | $40 | $36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $19 | $14 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| Below median | 12 | $10 | $31 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $8 | $37 | $29 |
| unranked | 8 | $2 | $131 | $129 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +137 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +60 | $2 | $5 | 19 | 08-17 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +54 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 06-25 12:57 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-05 09:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-07 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-17 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:26 |
| Adored-Curio 0x4a46…118c | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 21:19 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 21:19 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:26 |
| Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 22:51 |
| Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-12 10:39 |
| Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 21:36 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | +5 | $5 | $9 | 3 | 08-11 15:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-05 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-27 15:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +3 | $0 | $6 | 7 | 08-19 13:47 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-04 01:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Funny-Tattoo 0xf3ef…ec86 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 13:47:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9b4d02… |
| 08-19 13:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xe4c4…3bc1 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x9b4d02… |
| 08-17 04:21:31 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe6c1f4… |
| 08-17 04:21:31 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe6c1f4… |
| 08-17 04:06:24 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43ff50… |
| 08-17 04:06:24 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43ff50… |
| 08-17 04:06:24 | Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x43ff50… |
| 08-17 02:54:22 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbfa239… |
| 08-17 02:54:22 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbfa239… |
| 08-17 02:54:22 | Popular-Recommendation 0xd0ae…73dd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbfa239… |
| 08-17 02:54:22 | Stable-Blowgun 0x1e25…8e9b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xbfa239… |
| 08-11 15:55:45 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaaed9c… |
| 08-11 15:55:45 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xaaed9c… |
| 08-10 15:24:46 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x8ae1eb… |
| 08-10 15:24:46 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ae1eb… |
| 08-05 09:25:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb77689… |
| 08-05 09:25:53 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb77689… |
| 08-04 01:20:02 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3030de… |
| 08-04 01:20:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3030de… |
| 08-04 01:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3030de… |
| 08-04 01:20:02 | Stable-Blowgun 0x1e25…8e9b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3030de… |
| 07-23 01:03:28 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dd411… |
| 07-23 01:03:28 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dd411… |
| 07-20 07:36:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7b4a15… |
| 07-20 07:36:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b4a15… |
| 07-20 07:36:40 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | Yes | SELL | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7b4a15… |
| 07-17 05:38:12 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xceee2b… |
| 07-17 05:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xceee2b… |
| 07-17 05:38:12 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xceee2b… |
| 07-13 19:25:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xccab40… |
| 07-13 19:25:19 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xccab40… |
| 07-13 10:03:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xce6e05… |
| 07-13 10:03:50 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xce6e05… |
| 07-07 14:10:41 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x534aa9… |
| 07-07 14:10:41 | (anonymous) 0xf959…9f09 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x534aa9… |
| 07-07 14:10:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x534aa9… |
| 07-07 14:10:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x06c98f… |
| 07-07 14:10:14 | (anonymous) 0xf959…9f09 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x06c98f… |
| 07-06 18:11:52 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd95317… |
| 07-06 18:11:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd95317… |
| 07-02 09:51:55 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc19b2e… |
| 07-02 09:51:55 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | SELL | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xc19b2e… |
| 07-02 09:51:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc19b2e… |
| 06-27 15:40:29 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x73823a… |
| 06-27 15:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x73823a… |
| 06-27 15:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1db359… |
| 06-27 15:13:55 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x1db359… |
| 06-26 09:43:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb3ac1a… |
| 06-26 09:43:52 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb3ac1a… |
| 06-26 09:43:52 | Playful-Badger 0x86ba…3694 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xb3ac1a… |
| 06-25 12:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d0f19… |
| 06-25 12:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d0f19… |
| 06-25 12:57:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5d0f19… |
| 06-24 11:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x134fcc… |
| 06-24 11:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x134fcc… |
| 06-22 11:19:38 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x871b1e… |
| 06-22 11:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x871b1e… |
| 06-22 11:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x871b1e… |
| 06-19 21:00:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x40a388… |
| 06-19 21:00:23 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x40a388… |
| 06-12 18:27:07 | (anonymous) 0xf86c…abfa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe47b63… |
| 06-12 18:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe47b63… |
| 06-12 15:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7834d4… |
| 06-12 15:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x7834d4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-08 11:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdebf58… |
| 06-08 11:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x2511…290a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdebf58… |
| 06-07 08:37:34 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x82ab4c… |
| 06-07 08:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x82ab4c… |
| 06-06 22:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x48acbb… |
| 06-06 22:51:24 | Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x48acbb… |
| 06-06 22:18:13 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xab62e2… |
| 06-06 22:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xab62e2… |
| 06-06 21:36:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x47c9f9… |
| 06-06 21:36:33 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x47c9f9… |
| 06-06 21:34:54 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x62201b… |
| 06-06 21:34:54 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x62201b… |
| 06-06 21:34:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x22a99d… |
| 06-06 21:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x22a99d… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd4f577… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd4f577… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88335b… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x88335b… |
| 06-06 21:32:09 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3db955… |
| 06-06 21:32:09 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x3db955… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8d9e15… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 52 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 82 | 94¢ | $76 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x8d9e15… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd9d9b4… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9d9b4… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 52 | 90¢ | $47 | 0xb81fca… |
| 06-06 21:31:51 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | Yes | BUY | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb81fca… |
| 06-06 21:31:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x83c909… |