Will Elon register any party before 2027?
open
Total volume
$465
Trades
76
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$10,359
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-12 18:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $128
vs crowd: 6% YES on $370)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $4 | $129 | $125 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | — | $171 | $171 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $6 | $33 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $13 | $15 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | $126 | $125 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $27 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $19 | $14 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $2 | +$0 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $11 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $7 | $45 | $38 |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | $118 | $116 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +137 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | Yes | +52 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 21:31 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +49 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 06-06 21:34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +46 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 06-12 18:27 |
| Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:26 |
| Adored-Curio 0x4a46…118c | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 21:19 |
| Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-01 21:19 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:26 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:26 |
| Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 22:51 |
| Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-12 10:39 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-12 10:39 |
| Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 21:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-05 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 15:04 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:32 |
| Funny-Tattoo 0xf3ef…ec86 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 21:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 18:27:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe47b63… |
| 06-12 18:27:07 | (anonymous) 0xf86c…abfa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe47b63… |
| 06-12 15:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7834d4… |
| 06-12 15:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x7834d4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-12 10:39:58 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x861ee4… |
| 06-08 11:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x2511…290a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdebf58… |
| 06-08 11:33:04 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdebf58… |
| 06-07 08:37:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x82ab4c… |
| 06-07 08:37:34 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x82ab4c… |
| 06-06 22:51:24 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x48acbb… |
| 06-06 22:51:24 | Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x48acbb… |
| 06-06 22:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xab62e2… |
| 06-06 22:18:13 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xab62e2… |
| 06-06 21:36:33 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x47c9f9… |
| 06-06 21:36:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x47c9f9… |
| 06-06 21:34:54 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x62201b… |
| 06-06 21:34:54 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x62201b… |
| 06-06 21:34:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x22a99d… |
| 06-06 21:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x22a99d… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x88335b… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88335b… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd4f577… |
| 06-06 21:32:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd4f577… |
| 06-06 21:32:09 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x3db955… |
| 06-06 21:32:09 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3db955… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8d9e15… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd9d9b4… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd9d9b4… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcd12a6… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 82 | 94¢ | $76 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xb4f6…eada | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x8d9e15… |
| 06-06 21:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 52 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xefdb22… |
| 06-06 21:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 52 | 90¢ | $47 | 0xb81fca… |
| 06-06 21:31:51 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | Yes | BUY | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xb81fca… |
| 06-06 21:31:49 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x83c909… |
| 06-06 21:31:49 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x83c909… |
| 06-06 21:31:46 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa7f9a3… |
| 06-06 21:31:46 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa7f9a3… |
| 06-06 21:31:45 | Funny-Tattoo 0xf3ef…ec86 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xca9072… |
| 06-06 21:31:45 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xca9072… |
| 06-06 21:31:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc24e28… |
| 06-06 21:31:43 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x60a392… |
| 06-06 21:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x60a392… |
| 06-06 21:31:43 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc24e28… |
| 06-06 21:31:43 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x60a392… |
| 06-06 21:28:12 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7ab398… |
| 06-06 21:28:12 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7ab398… |
| 06-06 21:28:01 | Gentle-Nectar 0x6066…ac8f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3b5ea3… |
| 06-06 21:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x3b5ea3… |
| 06-06 21:28:00 | Peppery-Nurse 0x5f0b…2305 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x4c6475… |
| 06-06 21:28:00 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x4c6475… |
| 06-06 21:26:54 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xda3bd7… |
| 06-06 21:26:54 | Peppery-Nurse 0x5f0b…2305 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xda3bd7… |
| 06-06 21:26:42 | Gentle-Nectar 0x6066…ac8f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x084c0c… |
| 06-06 21:26:42 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x084c0c… |
| 06-06 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xab75e9… |
| 06-06 21:26:33 | (anonymous) 0xe5ec…5c81 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xab75e9… |
| 06-06 21:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x224401… |
| 06-06 21:26:30 | Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x224401… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x2511…290a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5a6a73… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x5a6a73… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x628bbd… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8b8f96… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x8b8f96… |
| 06-06 21:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x628bbd… |
| 06-05 08:13:22 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | SELL | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x74ef2d… |
| 06-05 08:13:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x74ef2d… |
| 06-04 15:21:55 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xa4c649… |
| 06-04 15:21:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa4c649… |
| 06-01 21:19:45 | Adored-Curio 0x4a46…118c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7523fa… |
| 06-01 21:19:45 | Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14…5358 | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x7523fa… |