(anonymous) 0xe5ec24…575c81
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Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,372
lifetime
Volume
$2.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$47
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-09 23:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$29
Other
22% 33% $-6
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-04 07:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $9 46¢ $9 $-0 06-01 19:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +28 $9 28¢ $8 $-1 06-02 11:22
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 06-06 22:34
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $-0 06-01 21:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-08 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +25 $6 10¢ $2 $-4 06-01 17:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +10 $3 20¢ $2 $-1 06-05 18:32
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 06-06 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 06-09 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-02 13:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $2 10¢ $1 $-0 06-02 21:20
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-1 06-06 21:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 05-31 16:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2 $1 24¢ $0 $-1 06-07 19:01