(anonymous) 0xe5ec24…575c81
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Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,539
lifetime
Volume
$3.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$27
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-03 02:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$29
Other
22% 33% $-6
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-04 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 06-15 04:27
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +3 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-06 22:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-08 01:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 $-0 06-16 13:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 06-16 17:03
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 06-06 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
Will Elon register any party before 2027? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-1 06-06 21:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-11 20:08
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-27 23:41
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +3 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-19 23:51