Realized P&L
-$90
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
41.9%
Resolved
569
Trades
1,080
lifetime
Volume
$325
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$15
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-09 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
36% 30% -$28
Politics
27% 33% -$28
Sports
27% 21% -$37
Crypto
9% 44% +$2
Tech
1% 50% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 -$1 07-07 18:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +6 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 05-12 20:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 05-01 16:16
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 25¢ $1 +$0 05-28 19:50
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No -5 -$1 20¢ $-1 +$0 07-07 18:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 06-05 16:19
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $0 8¢ $1 +$0 05-10 14:47
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +5 $1 9¢ $0 $0 05-06 00:36
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6 $1 7¢ $0 $0 05-04 21:08
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 05-03 19:21
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +7 $0 5¢ $0 $0 06-16 18:46
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 $0 04-28 20:24
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 $0 05-04 06:54
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-03 20:29
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +6 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-02 05:34
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-17 02:51
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 04-30 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-02 13:10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +6 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-07 04:28
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-07 21:20
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-02 10:51
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-03 10:03
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-27 06:09
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 04-29 05:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-03 06:44
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-04 03:38
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-04 19:26
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-03 13:02
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-28 18:26
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-16 11:56