Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,685
Trades
75
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$658
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-10-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 06:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $2 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $13 | $152 | $139 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $8 | $128 | $120 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $28 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $284 | $283 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $153 | $153 |
| Below median | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | $128 | $127 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $204 | $203 |
| unranked | 9 | $13 | $854 | $841 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x753b…9f35 | No | +852 | $849 | $849 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +452 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Showy-Hedgehog 0xd9f6…4790 | Yes | +366 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-21 15:17 |
| ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | +286 | $284 | $284 | 5 | 06-30 19:10 |
| Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | +277 | $12 | $12 | 10 | 05-28 20:05 |
| Unique-Primary 0xe95e…61f2 | No | +208 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 06-21 15:17 |
| Gleeful-Gran 0x3af2…7bfc | No | +148 | $147 | $147 | 4 | 06-21 11:55 |
| Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | +130 | $128 | $128 | 3 | 05-28 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +129 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 19:10 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 11:34 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +91 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 06-30 19:10 |
| Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | Yes | +57 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 11:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fe9…33e1 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 19:10 |
| Colorless-Hesitation 0xa2d1…62c2 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 16:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 19:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-28 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 08:26 |
| Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 06:25 |
| Stormy-Authority 0xb673…b674 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 06:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 06:25:31 | Stormy-Authority 0xb673…b674 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb3e0d6… |
| 07-01 06:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3e0d6… |
| 06-30 19:10:34 | ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xeee6c7… |
| 06-30 19:10:34 | (anonymous) 0xfab1…f0cc | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeee6c7… |
| 06-30 19:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x1fe9…33e1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x414424… |
| 06-30 19:10:26 | ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x414424… |
| 06-30 19:10:17 | ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | BUY | 147 | 100¢ | $146 | 0x249198… |
| 06-30 19:10:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x249198… |
| 06-30 19:10:17 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 129 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x249198… |
| 06-30 19:10:07 | ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $73 | 0x50f534… |
| 06-30 19:10:07 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x50f534… |
| 06-30 19:09:53 | ke1pie 0xf007…d94a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x593996… |
| 06-30 19:09:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x593996… |
| 06-30 08:28:14 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9dba86… |
| 06-30 08:28:14 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9dba86… |
| 06-21 15:17:58 | Showy-Hedgehog 0xd9f6…4790 | Yes | BUY | 208 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x17f506… |
| 06-21 15:17:58 | Unique-Primary 0xe95e…61f2 | No | BUY | 208 | 98¢ | $204 | 0x17f506… |
| 06-21 15:17:47 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x58db8f… |
| 06-21 15:17:47 | Showy-Hedgehog 0xd9f6…4790 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x58db8f… |
| 06-21 11:55:52 | Frightening-Stencil 0xd663…c21b | Yes | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d5025… |
| 06-21 11:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d5025… |
| 06-21 11:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d5025… |
| 06-21 11:55:52 | Gleeful-Gran 0x3af2…7bfc | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x9d5025… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 452 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x753b…9f35 | No | BUY | 852 | 100¢ | $849 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-21 11:34:29 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97396c… |
| 06-20 06:11:58 | Gleeful-Gran 0x3af2…7bfc | No | BUY | 73 | 99¢ | $72 | 0xfd2fbb… |
| 06-20 06:11:58 | Showy-Hedgehog 0xd9f6…4790 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd2fbb… |
| 06-20 06:11:58 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfd2fbb… |
| 06-17 09:41:13 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77e3f8… |
| 06-17 09:41:13 | Gleeful-Gran 0x3af2…7bfc | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x77e3f8… |
| 06-17 09:40:50 | Gleeful-Gran 0x3af2…7bfc | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xc54144… |
| 06-17 09:40:50 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc54144… |
| 06-16 05:27:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0602ec… |
| 06-16 05:27:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0602ec… |
| 06-16 05:26:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x45865b… |
| 06-16 05:26:30 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45865b… |
| 06-06 16:27:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x596b77… |
| 06-06 16:27:48 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x596b77… |
| 06-06 16:25:31 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xab4aa8… |
| 06-06 16:25:31 | Colorless-Hesitation 0xa2d1…62c2 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xab4aa8… |
| 06-05 08:26:43 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc07df9… |
| 06-05 08:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc07df9… |
| 06-03 21:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7f35f… |
| 06-03 21:43:43 | Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf7f35f… |
| 05-28 20:05:14 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9c0f3… |
| 05-28 20:05:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd9c0f3… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76c3b4… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaf9200… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaf9200… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76c3b4… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4f330… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdefcaf… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdefcaf… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4f330… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 72 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2ee228… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 72 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x2ee228… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 73 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 48 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 15:14:03 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96bec6… |
| 05-28 15:14:03 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96bec6… |