Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$184
Trades
39
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$658
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-10-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 05:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $12 | $128 | $116 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $128 | $128 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | +277 | $12 | $12 | 10 | 05-28 20:05 |
| Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | +130 | $128 | $128 | 3 | 05-28 18:19 |
| Colorless-Hesitation 0xa2d1…62c2 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 16:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-28 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 08:26 |
| Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 21:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 05:27:52 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0602ec… |
| 06-16 05:27:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0602ec… |
| 06-16 05:26:30 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45865b… |
| 06-16 05:26:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x45865b… |
| 06-06 16:27:48 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x596b77… |
| 06-06 16:27:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x596b77… |
| 06-06 16:25:31 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xab4aa8… |
| 06-06 16:25:31 | Colorless-Hesitation 0xa2d1…62c2 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xab4aa8… |
| 06-05 08:26:43 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc07df9… |
| 06-05 08:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc07df9… |
| 06-03 21:43:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e5d…40cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7f35f… |
| 06-03 21:43:43 | Modest-Incandescence 0xe47c…642a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf7f35f… |
| 05-28 20:05:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xd9c0f3… |
| 05-28 20:05:14 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9c0f3… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76c3b4… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76c3b4… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaf9200… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0db562… |
| 05-28 18:19:30 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaf9200… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdefcaf… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4f330… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb4f330… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdefcaf… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:28 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x74546a… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 48 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 73 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Shimmering-Harmonize-Netball 0x3803…7eaf | Yes | BUY | 72 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2ee228… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 72 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x2ee228… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x475caa… |
| 05-28 18:19:26 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9dc854… |
| 05-28 15:14:03 | Shabby-Team 0xc3f5…697b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96bec6… |
| 05-28 15:14:03 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96bec6… |