Realized P&L
+$979
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
76
Trades
7,664
lifetime
Volume
$1.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$31.8K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-30 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
45% 73% +$850
Other
39% 97% +$125
Crypto
10% 100% +$4
Sports
3%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +14,000 $13,658 100¢ $14.0K +$328 06-04 07:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +12,520 $7,174 70¢ $8.8K +$1,652 06-21 14:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8,561 $2,669 30¢ $2.5K $-143 06-26 09:19
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +2,030 $2,017 100¢ $2.0K +$10 06-27 21:03
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +2,128 $654 84¢ $1.8K +$1,129 06-30 16:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +728 $724 100¢ $728 +$4 06-21 17:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +600 $376 100¢ $599 +$223 06-19 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -500 $-400 84¢ $-417 $-17 06-24 07:49
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2,424 $1,352 16¢ $393 $-960 06-30 16:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +250 $196 100¢ $249 +$53 06-10 06:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +628 $249 28¢ $173 $-76 06-30 19:02
Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 06-12 07:56
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No -26 $-23 96¢ $-25 $-2 06-15 19:00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 06-30 17:47
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +7 $3 62¢ $4 +$1 06-06 16:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +600 $349 $2 $-348 06-19 19:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +980 $7 $1 $-6 06-27 21:29
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +0 $-6 99¢ $0 +$6 06-12 11:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $-16 100¢ $0 +$16 06-11 13:16