Subdued-Pasta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$979

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,857

lifetime

Volume

$1.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$144

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-10 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

43% 73% +$850

Other

41% 97% +$125

Crypto

9% 100% +$4

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	51	$52.4K	53,994	4,864	+49,129	open	—	06-03 13:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	32	$30.6K	12,772	18,000	-5,228	open	—	05-28 16:14
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	59	$29.4K	42,095	0	+42,095	open	—	06-28 20:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	52	$24.9K	16,554	14,454	+2,100	open	—	02-28 08:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$19.2K	13,554	7,425	+6,129	open	—	06-16 02:39
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	18	$14.3K	16,022	2,222	+13,800	open	—	06-11 19:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	46	$13.9K	8,028	9,774	-1,745	open	—	05-27 03:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	54	$13.7K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	06-04 07:36
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	12	$13.4K	13,600	0	+13,600	open	—	06-18 00:03
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	60	$13.2K	15,776	634	+15,142	open	—	05-31 18:38
will trump praise allah again by june 30	4	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	06-10 13:05
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?	7	$11.4K	11,510	0	+11,510	open	—	05-02 08:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	44	$10.9K	25,053	13	+25,040	open	—	07-08 12:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	35	$10.8K	10,134	11,134	-1,000	open	—	03-08 17:50
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 80 and 85	10	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-24 15:05
will trump praise allah by june 30	4	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-10 11:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	61	$9.6K	7,515	7,515	+0	open	—	03-13 18:49
will trump say sleepy joe or biden during the white house easter egg roll	31	$9.1K	4,657	4,581	+76	open	—	04-06 17:50
Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?	8	$8.8K	8,925	0	+8,925	open	—	04-27 17:30
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be between 85 and 90	10	$8.8K	4,391	4,391	+0	open	—	04-24 15:05
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	04-07 14:00
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$7.9K	8,613	1,225	+7,388	open	—	08-01 04:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	23	$7.8K	7,850	0	+7,850	open	—	05-27 08:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	25	$7.6K	4,562	7,160	-2,598	open	—	05-26 18:06
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	34	$7.5K	6,029	2,729	+3,300	open	—	06-09 17:35
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	13	$7.5K	3,899	3,899	+0	open	—	02-28 06:34
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	21	$7.3K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	03-17 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$7.2K	4,400	3,650	+750	open	—	05-28 15:26
israel closes its airspace by june 9	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	06-10 06:03
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	10	$6.7K	4,712	2,050	+2,662	open	—	04-25 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:36:18	will phygitals launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727144541112	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xbf48f3…
08-10 17:09:42	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	782	99¢	$772	0xa44774…
08-10 17:09:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0x32c02b…
08-10 17:02:16	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x675ac1…
08-10 09:19:43	will novak djokovic attend the us open finals 20260807052019174	No	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xc72815…
08-10 09:17:40	will jessica alba attend the us open finals 20260807052019169	No	BUY	156	60¢	$94	0x6593f4…
08-10 09:16:18	will danny devito attend the us open finals 20260807052019167	No	BUY	463	49¢	$227	0x535976…
08-09 09:38:31	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x8f0f11…
08-09 06:11:37	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa09444…
08-09 02:54:07	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x480ffc…
08-09 02:54:06	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0xd2be59…
08-07 21:01:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	249	14¢	$35	0x9b11fe…
08-07 20:54:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	14¢	$21	0x6ad2aa…
08-07 16:43:42	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	No	SELL	196	64¢	$125	0xf7f89d…
08-06 20:07:02	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x0a16f4…
08-06 09:08:42	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	18¢	$72	0x23294b…
08-06 03:16:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcb6164…
08-06 03:15:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x74d5fa…
08-06 03:15:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	453	4¢	$19	0x75c4b2…
08-05 19:53:03	will over 55 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533308	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xef3297…
08-05 16:45:39	will nvidia nvda q2 data center revenue be above 100b 20260803225408749	No	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0x47b364…
08-05 16:41:50	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	233	85¢	$197	0xa025be…
08-05 12:43:20	will uber say doordash during earnings call 20260803163025076	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x613e98…
08-05 12:42:53	will uber say doordash during earnings call 20260803163025076	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xca22cf…
08-05 09:46:57	will uber say waymo during earnings call 20260803163025072	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x37e29f…
08-05 08:58:09	will uber say doordash during earnings call 20260803163025076	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0xb2dc61…
08-05 08:57:11	will uber say waymo during earnings call 20260803163025072	Yes	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0x6e391c…
08-04 16:42:06	situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663	No	SELL	95	95¢	$91	0x23b195…
08-04 10:14:21	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x93398f…
08-03 23:00:17	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0304ff…
08-03 18:57:29	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by august 15 1785441877172	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xdfe6ea…
08-03 09:17:29	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x3d2a38…
08-03 09:13:39	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x405116…
08-03 09:00:11	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	56	85¢	$47	0xfedc07…
08-03 09:00:11	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0xd106ae…
08-03 09:00:11	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	49	84¢	$42	0x525464…
08-03 08:57:59	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	105	78¢	$82	0x5a2c05…
08-02 21:51:51	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	161	44¢	$71	0xf71ae6…
08-02 16:31:44	will phygitals launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727144541112	No	SELL	172	86¢	$148	0xb7dcaa…
08-01 19:03:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xdb2425…
08-01 19:01:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xea147f…
08-01 18:59:50	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x4769e4…
08-01 18:59:27	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x216f63…
08-01 18:58:50	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x8995fe…
08-01 18:18:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0x778b3d…
08-01 16:35:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xfb1e30…
08-01 15:05:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	889	77¢	$688	0x7d3a7a…
08-01 14:25:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	500	64¢	$318	0xa3cf1c…
08-01 13:38:51	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xa947e4…
08-01 13:16:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2973ee…
08-01 13:16:15	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0ec1f8…
08-01 13:16:14	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbaf1f9…
08-01 13:16:14	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x552c30…
08-01 13:16:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x160756…
08-01 13:16:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe3ef1e…
08-01 13:16:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd4c27b…
08-01 13:16:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x78fd33…
08-01 13:16:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x509991…
08-01 13:16:06	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xb09046…
08-01 10:14:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	48	79¢	$38	0x2c9ced…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf440f0…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xb4235b…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x9b090b…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x85284b…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	36	79¢	$28	0x744486…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x59df7c…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x4e34cb…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x4da3c0…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x2f2d8f…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x28f856…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0e122d…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x09430e…
08-01 10:14:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x02ddc9…
08-01 08:42:20	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt2t by august 31 20260730182630759	Yes	BUY	165	43¢	$71	0x059fe1…
08-01 08:33:17	will krakens valuation hit low 9b by august 31 20260731173400618	Yes	BUY	64	54¢	$34	0x5cdf3f…
08-01 08:00:08	will amd say meta during earnings call 20260730164425709	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbd563e…
08-01 07:58:32	will amd say helios during earnings call 20260730164425706	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x93dd76…
08-01 07:57:50	will amd say china during earnings call 20260730164425707	Yes	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0x65778e…
08-01 07:57:48	will amd say china during earnings call 20260730164425707	Yes	BUY	156	84¢	$131	0xe1cbc8…
08-01 07:57:02	will amd say helios during earnings call 20260730164425706	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$105	0xdb2ab5…
08-01 07:34:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0x8e62aa…
08-01 07:34:08	will over 50 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533307	No	SELL	62	58¢	$36	0x5451cf…
08-01 06:07:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21e188…
08-01 06:06:59	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xca44a9…
08-01 06:04:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x623706…
08-01 05:33:32	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	118	61¢	$72	0x5d2e2e…
08-01 05:08:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	420	61¢	$256	0xfb7e0f…
08-01 05:02:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	321	61¢	$196	0x0ecaa4…
08-01 04:52:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	125	61¢	$76	0x431794…
08-01 04:52:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x7fe85e…
08-01 04:19:30	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x37f054…
08-01 04:18:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,984	0x143391…
08-01 04:15:47	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0xcfa686…
08-01 04:14:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8459d0…
08-01 04:13:12	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdebdc0…
08-01 04:11:18	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9d957d…
08-01 04:09:27	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xc06a9c…
08-01 04:05:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x58bd91…
08-01 04:00:00	will jpmorgan jpm close at usd 1 trillion or more market cap by august 31 20260715163827894	No	SELL	205	73¢	$150	0x222e6e…
08-01 03:41:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	3,388	100¢	$3,378	0x642573…