Realized P&L
-$401
Unrealized P&L
+$3.47K
Hit rate
41.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,362
lifetime
Volume
$567.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$417
Open exposure
$27.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 20:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
42%
Crypto
36% 29% $-401
Tech
12%
Politics
9%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +6,617 $3,344 82¢ $5.4K +$2,082 06-20 12:40
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +5,212 $4,416 88¢ $4.6K +$196 06-25 14:05
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -2,733 $-2,392 88¢ $-2391 +$1 07-19 16:30
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -2,230 $-2,147 95¢ $-2108 +$39 07-15 09:13
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,739 $1,674 95¢ $1.7K $-14 07-04 21:31
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -1,173 $-968 96¢ $-1123 $-154 06-16 15:25
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +1,550 $578 71¢ $1.1K +$524 07-19 10:53
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -5,000 $-1,976 20¢ $-975 +$1,001 06-10 16:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $900 92¢ $915 +$15 07-04 12:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $820 84¢ $835 +$15 07-04 12:33
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No -832 $-760 96¢ $-802 $-42 07-12 11:47
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +838 $771 95¢ $796 +$26 06-30 13:40
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +790 $741 93¢ $731 $-9 07-04 21:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -733 $-396 80¢ $-590 $-194 06-16 10:14
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +570 $464 80¢ $453 $-11 07-09 14:41
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +700 $448 55¢ $382 $-66 06-21 15:27
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No +558 $309 59¢ $331 +$22 06-24 12:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +500 $345 60¢ $302 $-42 07-17 13:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,023 $368 30¢ $302 $-67 06-21 15:26
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +359 $264 84¢ $301 +$37 07-04 12:39
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -726 $-254 42¢ $-301 $-47 06-20 15:34
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +337 $236 86¢ $292 +$56 06-25 20:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -211 $-175 90¢ $-191 $-16 07-01 10:09
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? No +484 $164 35¢ $170 +$5 06-17 01:08
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +159 $149 94¢ $150 +$1 07-01 10:07
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No -206 $-122 68¢ $-141 $-19 07-18 15:14
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +178 $86 52¢ $92 +$5 07-18 13:26
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -122 $-241 66¢ $-81 +$160 06-13 10:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +342 $115 24¢ $80 $-34 06-01 15:52
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -366 $-55 15¢ $-53 +$2 06-10 16:03