Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

44.0%

Resolved

119

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$956

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-24 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 38% -$54

Politics

31% 30% -$8

Other

24% 13% -$54

Sports

5% 25% -$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	+21	$1	8¢	$2	+$1	10-21 12:01
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+182	$2	1¢	$2	$0	06-03 08:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+18	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	10-21 21:19
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	+909	$2	0¢	$1	$0	10-11 18:49
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+18	$1	7¢	$1	$0	10-21 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+18	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	10-21 14:06
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+74	$1	1¢	$1	$0	06-03 14:44
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+91	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-03 14:45
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+20	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-21 02:25
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+1	$2	18¢	$0	-$2	10-19 09:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	19	$77	240	135	+105	Yes	-$19	10-15 08:23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	26	$57	346	346	+0	No	+$3	10-21 15:23
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	17	$34	207	207	+0	open	—	10-20 16:21
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	14	$24	167	167	+0	No	+$1	10-20 00:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	8	$22	22	22	+0	No	$0	04-10 16:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	8	$21	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	10-19 12:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	8	$21	123	123	-0	open	—	10-20 12:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	10	$18	145	145	+0	Yes	+$2	10-19 15:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	8	$17	95	95	+0	open	—	10-19 06:45
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	8	$16	108	65	+43	No	-$3	10-16 01:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$16	96	77	+18	open	—	10-21 21:19
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	6	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-20 01:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	4	$15	220	220	+0	No	+$0	10-17 16:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$15	750	0	+750	No	-$15	05-26 12:05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$14	51	44	+7	No	-$1	10-15 15:47
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	6	$14	909	909	+0	open	—	10-11 18:25
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	11	$14	1,641	0	+1,641	No	-$14	06-10 04:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	5	$11	74	55	+18	open	—	10-21 14:06
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	8	$11	1,196	0	+1,196	No	-$11	06-10 04:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	5	$11	98	98	+0	Yes	-$4	10-18 13:10
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	5	$10	74	53	+21	open	—	10-21 12:01
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	4	$10	101	101	+0	open	—	10-19 03:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	5	$9	81	33	+48	Yes	-$4	10-21 03:38
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	11	$9	1,468	0	+1,468	No	-$9	06-10 05:02
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	4	$9	181	81	+100	Yes	-$1	10-14 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	7	$9	116	116	+0	open	—	10-20 10:07
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-10-15?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-15 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	3	$8	16	8	+7	Up	-$2	10-16 11:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	4	$8	62	62	+0	Yes	-$2	10-18 13:10
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	4	$8	11	11	+0	Yes	-$2	10-20 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 13:17:45	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x7e7b2c…
10-24 13:17:45	Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x1c8f2e…
10-21 21:49:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xb8de16…
10-21 21:19:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xc66103…
10-21 15:23:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0x76b363…
10-21 14:06:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x8e9793…
10-21 12:01:21	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x21aeda…
10-21 03:38:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	48	5¢	$3	0x0ff4b1…
10-21 02:25:39	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$1	0xd06817…
10-21 00:56:42	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x2ae22f…
10-21 00:22:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x3f9eaf…
10-20 23:38:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0x501bdd…
10-20 23:20:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x906ecd…
10-20 23:19:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xda2698…
10-20 23:06:35	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x26c339…
10-20 20:55:47	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x0cac7d…
10-20 20:08:59	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x7d9477…
10-20 18:47:00	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xa7e87c…
10-20 18:12:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x230a0f…
10-20 17:51:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x773626…
10-20 17:22:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x1d94e4…
10-20 17:06:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0x0c87c9…
10-20 16:56:23	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x0b5cae…
10-20 16:49:54	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x788741…
10-20 16:42:42	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9abe90…
10-20 16:21:35	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xbcc00c…
10-20 16:19:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x840fd7…
10-20 13:41:11	Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x7eb34f…
10-20 12:45:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x239cec…
10-20 12:00:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x52dcd0…
10-20 11:30:26	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xf012cf…
10-20 11:15:20	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x1bfdfb…
10-20 10:44:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0xde1b5d…
10-20 10:28:44	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x2bcad6…
10-20 10:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xb5b821…
10-20 09:22:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xf37903…
10-20 07:22:16	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0xdcd4d1…
10-20 05:40:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x077d82…
10-20 05:33:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xe2db38…
10-20 04:47:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0xe823b2…
10-20 04:17:56	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$3	0x47b55a…
10-20 04:14:42	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x1d7b4e…
10-20 03:55:54	Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	2¢	$3	0xd798a4…
10-20 03:28:20	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x906791…
10-20 03:19:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xd93267…
10-20 03:13:57	Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x7f8ea9…
10-20 02:41:57	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x4d6339…
10-20 01:35:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xd7441c…
10-20 01:00:05	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x0e1483…
10-20 00:34:30	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xa295a6…
10-20 00:28:41	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x410f25…
10-20 00:28:33	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x2ccdc4…
10-20 00:28:32	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xd12478…
10-20 00:28:30	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x38b002…
10-20 00:26:06	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb233b…
10-20 00:26:06	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x9bf47f…
10-19 22:58:41	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x519edc…
10-19 22:45:36	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe0c63c…
10-19 22:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x312255…
10-19 22:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x429bc7…
10-19 21:35:25	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xcfe7d1…
10-19 21:19:58	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x00a6ff…
10-19 21:11:27	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x0fabd3…
10-19 19:49:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xf86c51…
10-19 19:48:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x65bce9…
10-19 19:17:27	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xef6f45…
10-19 18:51:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x1ab3ad…
10-19 18:50:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xcff876…
10-19 18:50:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x43740c…
10-19 17:44:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xfedba4…
10-19 16:52:20	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf31ef3…
10-19 16:31:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4614d4…
10-19 16:27:26	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x935340…
10-19 16:15:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6c0062…
10-19 16:08:44	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa255f8…
10-19 16:04:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0x8f13bd…
10-19 15:59:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xb47b53…
10-19 15:58:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x6adb3b…
10-19 13:20:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$3	0x6ed202…
10-19 13:10:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x2a7b2a…
10-19 12:19:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x9d562b…
10-19 12:06:14	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$3	0xc80fc3…
10-19 11:38:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$3	0x45b97f…
10-19 10:59:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xb253f4…
10-19 09:30:08	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	245	1¢	$2	0x73f8a8…
10-19 09:23:30	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x80af3e…
10-19 07:34:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xa0c717…
10-19 06:45:56	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x389186…
10-19 05:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x2f73ca…
10-19 04:49:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0x698bac…
10-19 03:02:39	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x95b223…
10-19 03:02:26	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x512c20…
10-19 02:55:32	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x27960b…
10-19 02:55:17	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x11337c…
10-19 01:53:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x5da304…
10-19 01:32:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xbc4aed…
10-19 00:04:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$3	0xcbb35b…
10-18 23:27:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x69a3a2…
10-18 22:20:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x7ecf30…
10-18 21:29:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x588c31…