Gleeful-Gran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$189

Open exposure

$159

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-24 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$54

Crypto

33% 100% +$17

Politics

15% 100% +$51

Tech

5% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No		+160	$158	100¢	$159	+$1	10-24 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$985	999	0	+999	No	+$14	04-14 06:05
will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	1	$982	983	0	+983	No	+$1	04-10 06:22
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 380 399	1	$980	981	0	+981	No	+$1	04-06 11:15
solana above 130 on april 9	1	$978	979	0	+979	No	+$1	04-08 07:01
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 180 199	1	$975	977	0	+977	No	+$2	04-03 12:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$961	962	0	+962	Yes	+$1	02-26 05:14
trump out as president by march 31	1	$957	971	0	+971	No	+$14	03-09 09:16
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	4	$950	952	0	+952	No	+$2	02-07 12:39
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	1	$949	955	0	+955	No	+$6	02-10 06:30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	8	$937	675	355	+320	No	+$7	05-02 01:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on february 9	1	$931	932	0	+932	No	+$1	02-09 08:38
will ethereum reach 2700 march 2 8	1	$916	920	0	+920	No	+$4	03-04 13:32
will ethereum reach 2600 february 2 8	3	$839	840	0	+840	No	+$1	02-08 18:36
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	2	$683	388	388	+0	No	+$16	05-23 14:12
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$646	327	327	+0	No	+$6	05-08 19:56
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$497	252	252	+0	No	+$5	05-25 01:01
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 25?	1	$351	351	0	+351	No	+$0	05-25 11:09
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$329	330	0	+330	No	+$1	05-16 12:15
nflx above 120 on july 24 2026	1	$276	276	0	+276	No	+$0	07-18 00:00
open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	1	$258	258	0	+258	Yes	+$0	08-17 23:49
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$232	233	0	+233	No	+$1	07-04 09:45
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	2	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$1	05-10 07:40
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$217	218	0	+218	No	+$1	08-22 08:33
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	09-20 01:12
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	10-10 07:34
nflx above 40 on september 18 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	09-12 04:31
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$198	198	0	+198	No	+$0	09-03 09:55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$4	05-25 00:00
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?	1	$179	184	0	+184	No	+$6	05-31 05:32
will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	1	$168	169	0	+169	No	+$2	06-17 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:32:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xe8f76b…
10-24 02:59:11	Will Solana reach $170 in October?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xfada91…
10-24 02:57:23	Will Chainlink dip to $6 in October?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x291a18…
10-21 13:24:32	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x14d32f…
10-21 13:22:06	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xa36724…
10-18 04:45:35	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcbd8e0…
10-17 16:42:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xd27cb5…
10-10 07:36:12	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xceb4ee…
10-10 07:34:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd6b62d…
09-26 02:19:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x390bba…
09-26 02:18:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbfd563…
09-26 02:18:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $270 end of September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3c0e6d…
09-26 02:16:50	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $190 end of September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc6765f…
09-26 02:16:29	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $200 end of September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4c55e7…
09-26 02:16:08	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdad06e…
09-26 02:14:42	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of September?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3267df…
09-26 02:12:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x5268b1…
09-20 01:12:09	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3479e8…
09-19 15:05:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3be695…
09-12 04:31:06	nflx above 40 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4539a0…
09-06 08:36:06	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0bbd1…
09-06 01:56:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x43f7dc…
09-05 07:34:57	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f3122…
09-05 07:27:52	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1decef…
09-03 09:55:00	Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x3901a7…
09-03 08:58:21	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	169	99¢	$167	0x628b3b…
08-22 08:45:18	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0xdc59ea…
08-22 08:33:12	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0x1108d1…
08-17 23:55:45	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfd5eeb…
08-17 23:49:42	open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x20c8f4…
08-10 11:41:40	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 13?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x5bf07b…
08-08 04:31:28	open above 0pt5 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x07152d…
08-08 04:31:10	open above 1 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x464f1d…
08-08 04:30:43	nflx above 10 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2099ce…
08-08 04:30:28	nflx above 20 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x11d48d…
08-06 05:58:12	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 8?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x811d7a…
08-02 18:24:32	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c1ea7…
08-02 18:23:41	xrp above 1pt6 on august 5 2026	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x442741…
08-02 16:59:42	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x86bd0f…
07-26 09:04:58	will chainlink reach 14 in july	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa44971…
07-26 09:03:48	will xrp reach 2 in july 2026	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xae0432…
07-22 04:35:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xf7386a…
07-18 00:00:03	nflx above 120 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0xc82e35…
07-16 06:56:58	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8134a7…
07-16 06:56:34	Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9823ce…
07-12 08:01:19	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on July 14?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf9ffeb…
07-12 07:59:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xeb9251…
07-12 07:59:16	will wti reach 105 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe99991…
07-12 07:57:25	open above 7pt5 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x7a8ef5…
07-08 08:12:38	solana above 30 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x5e2287…
07-07 08:29:58	will wti dip to 40 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa2c7db…
07-07 08:28:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5e8c06…
07-04 09:46:22	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x509787…
07-04 09:45:43	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0xcb28bd…
06-21 11:55:52	Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9d5025…
06-20 06:11:58	Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xfd2fbb…
06-17 20:02:29	will relay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x60546f…
06-17 09:41:13	Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x77e3f8…
06-17 09:40:50	Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xc54144…
06-16 18:24:34	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x15eca0…
06-16 17:26:56	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xdc5142…
06-16 08:49:13	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf0b249…
06-16 08:48:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4d7d99…
06-13 12:05:12	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 15?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xff6216…
06-13 12:03:55	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 15?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb69e0d…
06-13 12:02:15	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 16?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x157e69…
06-09 10:04:27	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x91d997…
06-07 06:45:15	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaed00e…
06-07 06:44:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xc59a43…
06-07 06:44:15	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xe5f61d…
06-07 06:43:19	will wti dip to 60 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8a7991…
06-07 06:39:48	will xrp reach 1pt7 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c67f5…
06-04 08:21:58	will xrp reach 1pt7 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xf9d7de…
06-02 15:04:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$102	0xa3349f…
06-02 13:18:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	115	96¢	$111	0xb96b0a…
06-02 13:15:17	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$135	0x5ffaff…
05-31 05:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x91910e…
05-31 05:32:31	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?	No	BUY	184	97¢	$179	0x5de43a…
05-31 05:24:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2af7dd…
05-26 08:28:02	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x3cdec5…
05-26 08:27:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x387738…
05-26 08:26:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xffc120…
05-25 11:09:49	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 25?	No	BUY	351	100¢	$351	0x086897…
05-25 01:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x9c44bf…
05-25 00:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x0453e2…
05-25 00:00:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$99	0x28fc56…
05-24 12:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x537818…
05-24 12:21:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb87122…
05-24 12:17:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x3003af…
05-23 14:12:43	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	388	90¢	$349	0x47e92c…
05-17 15:59:02	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	388	86¢	$334	0x90e9ab…
05-16 12:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x06ccb4…
05-16 12:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x36d253…
05-10 07:40:21	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x6b64d6…
05-10 07:38:46	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x69b8dc…
05-10 07:38:22	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb9e605…
05-10 07:27:52	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0xaa530d…
05-10 06:49:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x64d53b…
05-08 19:56:13	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	327	100¢	$326	0x4793e3…
05-02 08:02:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	327	98¢	$320	0x343dcc…