Untimely-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$407

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

1,949

Trades

11,440

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-27 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

53% 22% +$114

Sports

24% 19% +$140

Politics

18% 28% +$159

Tech

2% 43% +$18

Crypto

1% 5% -$18

Pop-Culture

1% 6% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+500	$0	0¢	$2	+$2	10-26 22:43
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-17 20:31
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+12	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-16 03:01
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	+7	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-12 00:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	8	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$99	05-17 03:26
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	16	$50	300	299	+1	Yes	+$50	09-26 01:32
Will Mohamed Salah join Paris Saint-Germain?	6	$39	402	348	+54	No	+$39	08-03 12:59
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	12	$37	500	500	+0	open	—	08-12 00:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	18	$30	528	285	+243	No	+$29	06-20 11:27
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$23	500	500	+0	No	+$22	07-08 09:53
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$21	196	196	+0	No	+$21	06-08 14:41
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	10	$17	59	59	+0	Yes	+$16	08-02 14:21
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	13	$17	196	196	-0	No	+$16	06-28 00:44
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	17	$14	300	299	+1	open	—	06-18 00:34
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?	21	$14	276	276	+0	open	—	09-23 00:09
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?	17	$11	500	500	+0	No	+$10	08-01 15:10
Will Douglas Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	11	$11	491	290	+201	No	+$10	07-20 21:51
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$11	300	140	+160	No	+$11	07-19 22:03
Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	19	$11	662	362	+300	No	+$10	06-28 20:51
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	6	$10	76	75	+1	open	—	09-17 17:23
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	10	$9	349	349	+0	No	+$8	06-24 13:34
will loktantrik samajwadi party nepal win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 121	29	$9	300	271	+29	No	+$8	02-13 09:53
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?	10	$8	186	176	+10	No	+$8	06-30 23:51
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	33	$8	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$6	07-10 21:51
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	10	$8	300	300	+0	open	—	09-29 09:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	16	$8	286	256	+30	No	+$7	06-20 21:18
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	6	$8	146	146	+0	No	+$8	06-30 07:07
Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	6	$8	180	180	+0	No	+$7	09-05 13:40
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	24	$8	342	342	+0	No	+$7	07-12 07:43
Will Hannibal Mejbri record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$7	988	725	+264	No	+$6	06-22 08:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	12	$7	300	258	+42	No	+$7	07-07 12:46
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?	12	$7	392	392	+0	No	+$6	07-20 14:08
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$7	700	500	+200	No	+$5	07-10 20:59
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	8	$7	152	152	+0	open	—	10-20 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:20:20	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x6847e7…
10-27 06:22:53	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x9593e8…
10-27 04:00:32	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0xa06341…
10-27 03:28:42	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xf6c681…
10-27 03:28:42	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x37a63d…
10-27 02:38:54	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x800d87…
10-27 01:39:35	Will Ann-Marie Zammit win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x704480…
10-27 00:01:45	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x67881a…
10-26 23:52:54	Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x323668…
10-26 23:44:35	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x922da3…
10-26 23:05:02	Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9bf7d6…
10-26 23:04:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	394	0¢	$0	0x2170e4…
10-26 23:04:32	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$0	0x81bc9a…
10-26 23:03:15	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xbe7876…
10-26 23:02:56	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x272b0b…
10-26 23:02:47	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$0	0x2e3b05…
10-26 23:01:20	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x3d6dc6…
10-26 23:00:38	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xa59163…
10-26 23:00:08	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x579a70…
10-26 23:00:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3e728f…
10-26 22:59:48	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xf260a7…
10-26 22:59:47	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0xbe821c…
10-26 22:59:47	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	461	0¢	$0	0xaefad8…
10-26 22:59:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xeea0e3…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb560b8…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9723c0…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x29dcb0…
10-26 22:58:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xc1eee9…
10-26 22:58:57	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x72ea82…
10-26 22:58:56	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa05c87…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe2ebbb…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x72a41a…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x515ac8…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x35ca6e…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	154	0¢	$0	0x299682…
10-26 22:57:56	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf076e9…
10-26 22:57:27	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x762231…
10-26 22:57:27	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x630cfa…
10-26 22:56:48	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x9e25cc…
10-26 22:56:48	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x97fa82…
10-26 22:56:24	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x48411c…
10-26 22:55:35	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xd422c5…
10-26 22:55:35	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd0358b…
10-26 22:55:35	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0xb92c5a…
10-26 22:55:35	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x396596…
10-26 22:55:12	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd5d0d0…
10-26 22:55:12	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x90ab95…
10-26 22:55:11	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd8a4f7…
10-26 22:55:06	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf762c9…
10-26 22:55:05	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x74e623…
10-26 22:55:05	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x38ba51…
10-26 22:54:59	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x406089…
10-26 22:54:14	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7dcdea…
10-26 22:54:12	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xa1ea17…
10-26 22:53:21	Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	379	0¢	$0	0x58ed51…
10-26 22:53:09	Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$0	0xcf896f…
10-26 22:53:09	Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0x53675e…
10-26 22:53:00	Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x124d71…
10-26 22:52:51	Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x67134a…
10-26 22:52:42	Will Alessia Russo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x4eb921…
10-26 22:52:38	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x85e3e6…
10-26 22:50:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x348023…
10-26 22:50:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$0	0x62a443…
10-26 22:50:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	222	0¢	$0	0xeec335…
10-26 22:43:08	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xab5d60…
10-26 21:46:33	Will Kenneth Walker III be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc01ea6…
10-26 21:46:33	Will Rashee Rice be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb73a52…
10-26 21:46:33	Will Terry McLaurin be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5edb21…
10-26 21:46:33	Will Christian McCaffrey be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1a07c6…
10-26 21:46:32	Will Ashton Jeanty be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa5596a…
10-26 21:16:51	Will KuPS Kuopio finish first in UECL league phase?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x7c8ec6…
10-26 20:16:02	Will Erling Haaland finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3f5f04…
10-26 20:16:00	Will Erling Haaland finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x01d6b6…
10-26 20:06:00	Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd9f51e…
10-26 19:58:26	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$0	0x85eca1…
10-26 18:20:47	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x51e232…
10-26 17:58:36	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9c35a9…
10-26 17:55:36	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x5cc2a6…
10-26 17:55:17	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x1ef191…
10-26 17:51:42	Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x037b35…
10-26 17:51:11	Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x4708a0…
10-26 17:49:09	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x86228b…
10-26 17:45:51	Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	499	0¢	$0	0x00da57…
10-26 17:45:38	Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcd0cd2…
10-26 17:43:47	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xeedd73…
10-26 17:43:42	Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x422231…
10-26 17:29:36	Will Willian Pacho finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x2c1228…
10-26 17:20:53	Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf92473…
10-26 17:20:23	Will Kerstin Casparij finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x87d0bb…
10-26 17:20:20	Will Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xdea94f…
10-26 17:20:20	Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x42a2e9…
10-26 17:20:18	Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xb652e9…
10-26 17:20:18	Will Mapi León finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xabdcfe…
10-26 17:20:17	Will Lorena finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xd91afe…
10-26 17:20:14	Will Alex Greenwood finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x829851…
10-26 17:20:12	Will Cata Coll finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x81fdef…
10-26 17:20:11	Will Barbra Banda finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x2ab1f6…
10-26 17:20:00	Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xde4d74…
10-26 17:19:57	Will Rose Lavelle finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9c47ee…
10-26 17:19:54	Will Scarlett Camberos finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xa59ffb…