Untimely-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$407

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

1,956

Trades

11,508

lifetime

Volume

$1.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

54% 22% +$114

Sports

24% 19% +$140

Politics

18% 28% +$159

Tech

2% 43% +$18

Crypto

1% 5% -$18

Pop-Culture

1% 6% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-17 20:31
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+12	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-16 03:01
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?	Yes	+7	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-12 00:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	8	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$99	05-17 03:26
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	16	$50	300	299	+1	Yes	+$50	09-26 01:32
Will Mohamed Salah join Paris Saint-Germain?	6	$39	402	348	+54	No	+$39	08-03 12:59
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	12	$37	500	500	+0	open	—	08-12 00:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	18	$30	528	285	+243	No	+$29	06-20 11:27
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	12	$27	500	500	+0	open	—	10-28 00:40
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$23	500	500	+0	No	+$22	07-08 09:53
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$21	196	196	+0	No	+$21	06-08 14:41
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	10	$17	59	59	+0	Yes	+$16	08-02 14:21
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	13	$17	196	196	-0	No	+$16	06-28 00:44
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	17	$14	300	299	+1	open	—	06-18 00:34
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?	21	$14	276	276	+0	open	—	09-23 00:09
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?	17	$11	500	500	+0	No	+$10	08-01 15:10
Will Douglas Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	11	$11	491	290	+201	No	+$10	07-20 21:51
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$11	300	140	+160	No	+$11	07-19 22:03
Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	19	$11	662	362	+300	No	+$10	06-28 20:51
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	6	$10	76	75	+1	open	—	09-17 17:23
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	10	$9	349	349	+0	No	+$8	06-24 13:34
will loktantrik samajwadi party nepal win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 121	29	$9	300	271	+29	No	+$8	02-13 09:53
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?	10	$8	186	176	+10	No	+$8	06-30 23:51
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	33	$8	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$6	07-10 21:51
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	10	$8	300	300	+0	open	—	09-29 09:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	16	$8	286	256	+30	No	+$7	06-20 21:18
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	6	$8	146	146	+0	No	+$8	06-30 07:07
Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	6	$8	180	180	+0	No	+$7	09-05 13:40
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	24	$8	342	342	+0	No	+$7	07-12 07:43
Will Hannibal Mejbri record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$7	988	725	+264	No	+$6	06-22 08:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	12	$7	300	258	+42	No	+$7	07-07 12:46
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?	12	$7	392	392	+0	No	+$6	07-20 14:08
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$7	700	500	+200	No	+$5	07-10 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:22:59	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Mauricio Ruffy next?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x8069ba…
10-28 13:57:13	Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1661c9…
10-28 12:09:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x98e151…
10-28 11:59:43	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe1a276…
10-28 11:37:17	Will Carlos Coronel win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xb2d93d…
10-28 11:20:23	Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x76addd…
10-28 11:20:23	Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x12c8d6…
10-28 09:42:47	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x071412…
10-28 09:21:47	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x3fc0fc…
10-28 06:25:13	Will Sunderland finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x034bd3…
10-28 06:07:31	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x961bee…
10-28 05:34:52	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x63ca17…
10-28 05:34:52	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x384b62…
10-28 05:27:11	Will kiNgg play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x815463…
10-28 05:27:11	Will kiNgg play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x45a313…
10-28 05:23:43	Will Sunderland finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x2bab4c…
10-28 04:20:28	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdc3ea0…
10-28 04:20:28	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd6dc12…
10-28 04:20:28	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x0c9128…
10-28 04:16:07	Will Yashar win 22-24% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x2911c9…
10-28 02:05:41	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x112204…
10-28 02:05:27	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe5f12d…
10-28 02:05:27	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x89176a…
10-28 02:05:27	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3a08e1…
10-28 01:48:59	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xcc5ae1…
10-28 01:48:57	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xabb245…
10-28 01:48:57	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x08c906…
10-28 01:03:35	Will Matz Sels (Nottingham Forest) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xdd07ba…
10-28 01:02:39	Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xda0f42…
10-28 00:47:24	Will Matz Sels (Nottingham Forest) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x3fca8f…
10-28 00:40:14	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xf0d001…
10-28 00:40:02	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x839c6c…
10-28 00:39:11	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x1bf505…
10-28 00:38:56	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x8a07ab…
10-28 00:34:47	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x93f773…
10-28 00:34:45	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x427cdf…
10-28 00:32:08	Will Stefan Frei win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf0bc8c…
10-28 00:32:00	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa26669…
10-28 00:16:15	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x37e46a…
10-28 00:00:24	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb35647…
10-27 23:44:42	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xa5afd6…
10-27 23:32:06	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x7f50cb…
10-27 23:32:06	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6930a6…
10-27 23:31:51	Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe3dbe6…
10-27 20:33:54	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x8af16a…
10-27 19:34:56	Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x362ee5…
10-27 19:26:38	Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8a9a9c…
10-27 19:26:36	Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x0e467f…
10-27 18:59:17	Will TSG Hoffenheim finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xa7f9c1…
10-27 18:18:47	Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xf418f1…
10-27 17:29:11	Will Amen Thompson lead the NBA in assists per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xa422b9…
10-27 17:24:29	Will Atlético Madrid be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x5f676d…
10-27 16:04:41	Will VfL Osnabrück win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x44357a…
10-27 15:10:32	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x1cff8b…
10-27 14:48:50	Will Sean Nealis win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x8f4df5…
10-27 12:52:09	Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x23ad48…
10-27 12:27:33	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xc6fd07…
10-27 12:26:42	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xb2bf89…
10-27 12:02:36	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9aa6a4…
10-27 10:06:20	Will Hizto win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb53ffb…
10-27 09:14:51	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	436	0¢	$0	0x46a575…
10-27 08:46:53	Will Chronicle play for Karmine Corp in 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x44cf29…
10-27 08:46:42	Will Chronicle play for Karmine Corp in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcb7ff3…
10-27 08:46:32	Will Chronicle play for Karmine Corp in 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x71e1e8…
10-27 07:20:20	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x6847e7…
10-27 06:22:53	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x9593e8…
10-27 04:00:32	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0xa06341…
10-27 03:28:42	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xf6c681…
10-27 03:28:42	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x37a63d…
10-27 02:38:54	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x800d87…
10-27 01:39:35	Will Ann-Marie Zammit win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x704480…
10-27 00:01:45	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x67881a…
10-26 23:52:54	Will Shas win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x323668…
10-26 23:44:35	Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x922da3…
10-26 23:05:02	Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9bf7d6…
10-26 23:04:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	394	0¢	$0	0x2170e4…
10-26 23:04:32	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$0	0x81bc9a…
10-26 23:03:15	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xbe7876…
10-26 23:02:56	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x272b0b…
10-26 23:02:47	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$0	0x2e3b05…
10-26 23:01:20	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x3d6dc6…
10-26 23:00:38	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xa59163…
10-26 23:00:08	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x579a70…
10-26 23:00:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3e728f…
10-26 22:59:48	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xf260a7…
10-26 22:59:47	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0xbe821c…
10-26 22:59:47	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	461	0¢	$0	0xaefad8…
10-26 22:59:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xeea0e3…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb560b8…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9723c0…
10-26 22:59:06	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x29dcb0…
10-26 22:58:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xc1eee9…
10-26 22:58:57	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x72ea82…
10-26 22:58:56	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa05c87…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Lionel Messi finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe2ebbb…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x72a41a…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x515ac8…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x35ca6e…
10-26 22:58:33	Will Rodri finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	154	0¢	$0	0x299682…
10-26 22:57:56	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xf076e9…