Realized P&L (30d)
-$72
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
31.0%
Resolved (30d)
354
Trades (30d)
1,431
11,875 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$233
$1.96K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$11
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-06 00:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
55% 22% +$98
Sports
23% 18% +$137
Politics
18% 28% +$158
Tech
2% 43% +$18
Crypto
1% 5% -$19
Pop-Culture
1% 11% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +120 $0 3¢ $3 +$3 11-05 01:57
Will Terry McLaurin be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes +354 -$1 1¢ $2 +$3 11-05 00:43
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +286 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 10-08 17:47
Will tkzin play for Team Envy in 2027? Yes +65 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-05 17:25
Will Cryocells play for Sentinels in 2027? Yes +1 -$10 47¢ $0 +$10 11-06 01:54
Will Cryocells play for NRG in 2027? Yes +1 -$10 38¢ $0 +$10 11-05 14:44
Will kyeahoo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? Yes +300 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-31 10:01
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes +300 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 00:13
Will Besiktas finish first in UEL league phase? Yes — +27 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 10:47
Will Rennes finish first in UEL league phase? Yes +195 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 16:04
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes — +22 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-04 21:24
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +97 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-04 10:14
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes +124 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 09:23
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +37 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-17 16:28
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-17 20:31
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +13 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-03 11:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? Yes +0 -$4 9¢ $0 +$4 09-19 00:08
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes +7 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-12 00:25
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-12 11:14
Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-30 09:01
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? Yes +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 19:06
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD? Yes — +1 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-12 16:05
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 15:38
Will Bie win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-01 10:14
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? Yes +1 -$10 0¢ $0 +$10 09-17 17:23
Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-24 16:01