Untimely-Macrofauna — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$41

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

20.6%

Resolved (7d)

135

Trades (7d)

387

11,613 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$99

$1.91K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

54% 21% +$104

Sports

23% 19% +$140

Politics

18% 28% +$159

Tech

2% 43% +$18

Crypto

1% 5% -$18

Pop-Culture

1% 6% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+10	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-17 20:31
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+12	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-16 03:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	8	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$99	05-17 03:26
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	16	$50	300	299	+1	Yes	+$50	09-26 01:32
Will Mohamed Salah join Paris Saint-Germain?	6	$39	402	348	+54	No	+$39	08-03 12:59
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	12	$37	500	500	+0	open	—	08-12 00:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	18	$30	528	285	+243	No	+$29	06-20 11:27
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	12	$27	500	500	+0	open	—	10-28 00:40
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$23	500	500	+0	No	+$22	07-08 09:53
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$21	196	196	+0	No	+$21	06-08 14:41
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	10	$17	59	59	+0	Yes	+$16	08-02 14:21
Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	13	$17	196	196	-0	No	+$16	06-28 00:44
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	17	$14	300	299	+1	open	—	06-18 00:34
Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?	21	$14	276	276	+0	open	—	09-23 00:09
Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?	17	$11	500	500	+0	No	+$10	08-01 15:10
Will Douglas Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	11	$11	491	290	+201	No	+$10	07-20 21:51
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$11	300	140	+160	No	+$11	07-19 22:03
Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	19	$11	662	362	+300	No	+$10	06-28 20:51
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	6	$10	76	75	+1	open	—	09-17 17:23
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	10	$9	349	349	+0	No	+$8	06-24 13:34
will loktantrik samajwadi party nepal win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 121	29	$9	300	271	+29	No	+$8	02-13 09:53
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?	10	$8	186	176	+10	No	+$8	06-30 23:51
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	33	$8	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$6	07-10 21:51
Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	10	$8	300	300	+0	open	—	09-29 09:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	16	$8	286	256	+30	No	+$7	06-20 21:18
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	6	$8	146	146	+0	No	+$8	06-30 07:07
Will Emily Engstler have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	6	$8	180	180	+0	No	+$7	09-05 13:40
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	24	$8	342	342	+0	No	+$7	07-12 07:43
Will Hannibal Mejbri record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$7	988	725	+264	No	+$6	06-22 08:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	12	$7	300	258	+42	No	+$7	07-07 12:46
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?	12	$7	392	392	+0	No	+$6	07-20 14:08
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	7	$7	700	500	+200	No	+$5	07-10 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:37:54	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x25f473…
11-01 01:49:22	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x3058f0…
11-01 01:41:43	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x508df1…
11-01 01:06:42	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x399da1…
11-01 01:06:30	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xe54a55…
11-01 00:53:04	Will Qiyana be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x876b40…
10-31 23:36:48	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0x8488d7…
10-31 23:36:43	Will Zeus win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x870c6a…
10-31 23:36:27	Will Zeka win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	264	0¢	$0	0x99dff8…
10-31 23:36:22	Will Zeka win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xff5d61…
10-31 22:36:09	Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe2eb21…
10-31 22:32:57	Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x4de8ba…
10-31 22:25:31	Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9dd6a0…
10-31 22:09:07	Will Auburn have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xa2535e…
10-31 21:38:13	Will LOS Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x88fd74…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Daniel Jones finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe58a88…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Daniel Jones finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xada054…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Jacoby Brissett finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8df166…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Kirk Cousins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7a6a2a…
10-31 15:20:18	Will Jacoby Brissett finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x302a34…
10-31 13:44:34	Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0x50d401…
10-31 10:43:19	Will Fred VanVleet play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xb65534…
10-31 10:01:13	Will kyeahoo have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x52d0c0…
10-31 10:01:00	Will Yike have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe667c4…
10-31 08:00:09	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7a8179…
10-31 06:47:19	Will Ty Majeski win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x8a023b…
10-31 03:10:13	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x646ee0…
10-31 02:40:13	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xab08e8…
10-31 02:05:15	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x0d5112…
10-31 01:27:03	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x6cae16…
10-31 00:29:36	Will G2 Esports Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9ae789…
10-31 00:25:52	Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xe8b1ec…
10-30 22:48:31	Will Team Liquid Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x04256b…
10-30 22:48:00	Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x29ec03…
10-30 21:28:12	Will Boaster play for Eternal Fire in 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa7a511…
10-30 20:15:36	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6590ce…
10-30 20:13:22	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xe478dd…
10-30 20:12:49	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf46b3d…
10-30 17:53:19	Will Borac Banja Luka win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf5e111…
10-30 17:38:31	Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x572fa9…
10-30 14:08:19	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7c4e18…
10-30 13:58:21	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x7fd1d1…
10-30 13:43:28	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	66	5¢	$3	0xf21d63…
10-30 12:09:25	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x1988e7…
10-30 10:20:40	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xfc8c5a…
10-30 10:03:46	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0433e6…
10-30 10:03:31	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xb5a607…
10-30 10:03:31	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xa5266c…
10-30 09:08:49	Will Gnar be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	0¢	$0	0x990071…
10-30 09:01:25	Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$0	0xf5492f…
10-30 08:00:09	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x023be4…
10-30 06:34:45	Will Jeyson Lopez win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x657aa6…
10-30 06:32:10	Will Giovanni Ruggiero win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x229d1f…
10-30 06:26:54	Will Rajah Caruth win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xd48142…
10-30 06:26:30	Will Taylor Gray win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x914182…
10-30 06:16:46	Will Bubba Wallace win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x776f52…
10-30 02:45:01	Will Jeyson Lopez win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6c0927…
10-30 02:42:06	Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xc6ecea…
10-30 02:41:13	Will Dumo Lulu-Briggs win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x77b8f1…
10-30 02:37:57	Will Cryocells play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xde5fc8…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for LOUD in 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd89da1…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xd38df9…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xb19e45…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for NRG in 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4528c2…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for Team Envy in 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x22515b…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x18a7ae…
10-30 02:37:55	Will Cryocells play for Sentinels in 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x093c7a…
10-30 01:01:36	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa9dd45…
10-30 00:37:27	Will Dak Prescott be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xfcc7fd…
10-30 00:33:25	Will Dumo Lulu-Briggs win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb3b997…
10-30 00:03:36	Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xeb2b8e…
10-29 22:11:45	Will CTBC Flying Oyster Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x436e96…
10-29 21:07:39	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe4e141…
10-29 20:55:31	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xcd3577…
10-29 20:45:31	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x71125a…
10-29 20:35:25	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x057817…
10-29 20:13:57	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xf6146e…
10-29 20:04:49	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7a7242…
10-29 20:04:39	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x9a45ad…
10-29 20:01:00	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x60b6a1…
10-29 19:15:34	Will Carlos Peña Badillo win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc0eea2…
10-29 17:44:28	Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x50d345…
10-29 17:32:52	Will Borac Banja Luka win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x8c8298…
10-29 16:17:43	Will FC St. Pauli win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x855789…
10-29 16:17:10	Will Greuther Fürth win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x5fdcf1…
10-29 16:13:17	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x24c315…
10-29 15:38:13	Will TSG Hoffenheim win the 2026-27 DFB-Pokal?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x711f56…
10-29 15:21:53	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7adae0…
10-29 15:21:50	Will Shengshu have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x229891…
10-29 13:35:13	Will Ryze be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xcd1d65…
10-29 13:35:11	Will Ryze be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xea3eb0…
10-29 13:35:10	Will Ryze be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf77a5f…
10-29 13:35:10	Will Ryze be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf3b358…
10-29 08:31:05	Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2f329f…
10-29 08:00:05	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xb0c42e…
10-29 07:50:07	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x4dbd50…
10-29 07:43:56	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$0	0x261cd3…
10-29 07:38:34	Will Sunderland finish first in UEL league phase?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x1dec7a…
10-29 07:05:58	Will Scottie Barnes lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9cc1d3…
10-29 05:16:28	Will Scottie Barnes lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x845d40…