Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$422

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

6,282

Trades

34,876

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-19 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

78% 16% -$244

Sports

9% 13% -$88

Crypto

7% 9% -$112

Politics

3% 27% +$2

Tech

2% 44% +$15

Pop-Culture

0% 10% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp bonzi diallo 2026 06 29 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$98	200	200	+0	cancelled	+$98	06-30 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 29?	43	$17	924	682	+242	No	+$11	06-29 04:06
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	82	$15	943	943	+0	No	+$6	07-02 10:36
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?	28	$10	377	230	+147	No	+$8	07-02 21:29
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	67	$9	751	751	+0	No	+$4	06-30 17:04
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Morocco?	29	$9	324	324	+0	No	+$3	07-04 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 27?	36	$8	370	267	+103	No	+$3	06-26 21:43
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?	28	$8	339	339	+0	No	+$6	07-02 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?	52	$8	432	432	+0	No	+$3	06-30 06:27
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?	11	$7	287	287	+0	No	+$2	07-02 05:46
will ethereum reach 1700 on june 29	3	$7	133	133	+0	No	+$6	06-29 17:46
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	16	$7	114	114	+0	No	+$6	07-04 01:29
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	9	$7	990	790	+200	No	+$4	07-04 00:45
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	21	$7	393	248	+145	No	+$4	06-30 04:46
will kanye west attend taylor swifts wedding	6	$7	450	450	+0	No	+$4	07-04 14:14
ethereum above 1800 on july 2 2026	18	$7	624	624	+0	No	+$3	07-02 10:01
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	29	$7	440	440	-0	No	+$1	07-01 05:16
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$6	237	232	+5	No	+$4	06-27 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?	27	$6	253	151	+102	No	+$3	07-02 23:59
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	5	$6	500	498	+2	No	+$4	07-04 16:31
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?	9	$6	306	305	+0	No	+$2	06-27 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on July 5?	14	$6	283	283	+0	No	+$3	07-04 11:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	14	$6	319	184	+135	No	+$1	06-30 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 4?	14	$6	269	91	+178	No	+$3	07-04 02:08
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	38	$6	369	369	+0	No	+$4	07-02 03:39
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$6	406	406	+0	No	+$3	06-27 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 30?	51	$6	429	189	+240	No	+$1	06-30 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?	19	$6	308	208	+100	No	+$1	06-29 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 1?	35	$6	511	205	+306	No	+$1	07-01 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on July 1?	32	$6	174	174	+0	No	+$3	07-01 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:41:17	Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x1d8b47…
09-30 08:05:45	Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xb6de89…
09-30 08:05:45	Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1553ff…
09-28 19:59:51	Will Jalen Duren play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xb591ff…
09-26 17:17:23	Will Awa Fam win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xd0b18e…
09-22 18:48:55	Will Jalen Duren play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xbb6a5b…
08-28 07:56:00	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd1b0b7…
08-28 07:56:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbb9135…
08-28 07:55:58	Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8cf8d0…
08-28 07:55:58	Will Gil Vicente win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7f4a18…
08-28 07:55:58	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x26a6d6…
08-28 07:55:57	Will Famalicão win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe349d4…
08-28 07:55:57	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x29646f…
08-28 07:55:55	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x082374…
08-28 07:55:54	Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x1e4cd7…
08-28 07:55:52	Will Joe Espada win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe2388d…
08-28 07:55:52	Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc52d34…
08-28 07:55:52	Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xc3ae58…
08-28 07:55:52	Will Nneka Ogwumike win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x384251…
08-28 07:55:51	Will the Vancouver Canucks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa3b3c4…
08-28 07:55:51	Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2a5124…
08-28 07:55:49	Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x06f9d0…
08-28 07:55:48	Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xa8e98e…
08-28 07:55:48	Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x43cb88…
08-28 07:55:48	Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x3efb09…
08-28 07:55:48	Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x2e2116…
08-28 07:55:46	Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x8b22eb…
08-28 07:55:46	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x2c8e3d…
08-28 07:55:45	Will Jalen Duren play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xaa3aa3…
08-28 07:55:43	Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xdbedc0…
08-28 07:55:43	Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4d4a00…
08-28 07:55:42	Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8932e8…
08-28 07:55:40	Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xebfc33…
08-28 07:55:40	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xd27248…
08-28 07:55:40	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xac3ebc…
08-28 07:55:40	Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x01142d…
08-28 07:55:39	Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xce639f…
08-28 07:55:37	Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x79a461…
08-28 07:55:36	Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x172a84…
08-28 07:55:34	Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xd06617…
08-28 07:55:34	Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x9fd6b1…
08-28 07:55:33	Will Jalen Duren play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xe580a0…
08-28 07:55:33	Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xc5ed51…
08-28 07:55:33	Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xa0769c…
08-28 07:55:33	Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4942da…
08-28 07:55:33	Will Logan Gilbert strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x07050c…
08-28 07:55:31	Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xfa896f…
08-28 07:55:31	Will Jalen Duren play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x74e33e…
08-28 07:55:31	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2fe8a4…
08-28 07:55:30	Will Jalen Duren play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xc1fd22…
08-28 07:55:30	Will the Brooklyn Nets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x704419…
08-28 07:55:28	Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x5eed2d…
08-28 07:55:28	Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x21e9f7…
08-28 07:55:27	Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x64d3a2…
08-28 07:55:27	Will Jalen Duren play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x0d3323…
08-25 07:23:12	Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x20d316…
08-20 19:27:58	Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x4b454a…
08-14 13:51:10	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be at least 4.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd44bd4…
08-13 13:32:31	Will Jalen Duren play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x7abb0c…
08-11 19:02:09	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$0	0x0aeb29…
08-11 06:53:03	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x36b849…
08-11 06:38:31	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x521422…
08-11 01:06:04	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x34ac71…
08-09 19:55:55	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x106114…
08-08 01:54:55	Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xb31662…
08-07 08:25:40	Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x2298c2…
08-04 11:27:56	Will Don Ufford be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x0fbcda…
08-04 04:18:05	Will OG Win The International 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3693a0…
08-03 02:42:21	Will Jalen Duren play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xdef506…
07-31 17:14:53	Will James Harden play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x6bb442…
07-31 07:50:08	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xa53fb9…
07-31 05:07:39	Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x418428…
07-31 01:26:17	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x281b59…
07-30 15:53:09	Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3113e2…
07-30 14:27:08	Will James Harden play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4e0f2d…
07-28 17:06:37	Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xaf0d06…
07-28 14:03:04	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x560d44…
07-28 14:03:02	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x23c16c…
07-28 12:47:46	Will James Harden play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x6bc2c2…
07-25 10:15:52	Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xd2addc…
07-25 10:15:51	Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xca2f62…
07-25 10:15:51	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x407a04…
07-25 10:15:49	Will Lambda have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x89fc70…
07-25 10:15:49	Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x57b5bb…
07-25 10:15:48	Will Rhyne Howard win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xc114d6…
07-25 10:15:48	Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xa6eed4…
07-25 10:15:48	Will Jalen Duren play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0xa1a339…
07-25 10:15:48	will clmentine autain advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x423cc5…
07-25 10:15:46	Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x4cff18…
07-25 10:15:46	Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x312561…
07-25 10:15:46	Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x272c72…
07-25 10:15:43	Will Marlon Scott West win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xce1ccb…
07-25 10:15:42	Will Arooj Shah win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x1c1f4d…
07-25 10:15:40	Will Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x69bac1…
07-25 00:09:45	Will Hannah Spencer win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x476ba5…
07-23 21:59:43	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x84652a…
07-22 01:44:57	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x816b8b…
07-22 01:44:51	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x74e1d3…
07-22 01:43:01	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x5f56c9…
07-22 01:42:48	Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1c53e2…