Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$4,381
Trades
35
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$326
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-11 21:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.1K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | — | $3.2K | $3.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $233 | $232 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $21 | $6 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 5 | $20 | $234 | $214 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $49 | $48 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7d39…c505 | Yes | +1,918 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 20:17 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +1,284 | $1,279 | $1,279 | 3 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +869 | $859 | $859 | 1 | 06-09 20:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 15:32 |
| Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | +232 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 06-10 07:34 |
| Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | +220 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +101 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 15:32 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-11 21:17 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-05 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 22:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 21:17:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc16320… |
| 06-11 21:17:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc16320… |
| 06-11 17:10:37 | Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdc03f8… |
| 06-11 17:10:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xdc03f8… |
| 06-11 17:10:37 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xdc03f8… |
| 06-11 15:32:39 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 101 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad9af5… |
| 06-11 15:32:39 | Muffled-Pelican 0x33bc…37dc | No | SELL | 733 | 100¢ | $730 | 0xad9af5… |
| 06-11 15:32:39 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 1,084 | 100¢ | $1,080 | 0xad9af5… |
| 06-11 15:32:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xad9af5… |
| 06-10 22:19:19 | Muffled-Pelican 0x33bc…37dc | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x5aeda6… |
| 06-10 22:19:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x5aeda6… |
| 06-10 07:34:42 | Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | BUY | 232 | 100¢ | $231 | 0x78e8be… |
| 06-10 07:34:42 | Muffled-Pelican 0x33bc…37dc | No | SELL | 232 | 100¢ | $231 | 0x78e8be… |
| 06-09 22:17:18 | Muffled-Pelican 0x33bc…37dc | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x76463c… |
| 06-09 22:17:18 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x76463c… |
| 06-09 20:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x7d39…c505 | Yes | BUY | 1,918 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x3af686… |
| 06-09 20:17:10 | Muffled-Pelican 0x33bc…37dc | No | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0x3af686… |
| 06-09 20:17:10 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3af686… |
| 06-09 20:17:10 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 869 | 99¢ | $859 | 0x3af686… |
| 06-05 06:29:12 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6b599f… |
| 06-05 06:29:12 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b599f… |
| 06-05 06:28:54 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc59d70… |
| 06-05 06:28:54 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc59d70… |
| 06-03 05:47:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc434e6… |
| 06-03 05:47:46 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc434e6… |
| 06-03 05:44:42 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04a2a0… |
| 06-03 05:44:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x04a2a0… |
| 06-02 03:48:56 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x89fbd2… |
| 06-02 03:48:56 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x89fbd2… |
| 06-02 03:39:32 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5a2ed7… |
| 06-02 03:39:32 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a2ed7… |
| 06-02 03:34:52 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xc429ed… |
| 06-02 03:34:52 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc429ed… |
| 06-01 13:14:32 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x594d74… |
| 06-01 13:14:32 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x594d74… |