Decent-Drop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$515

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,383

lifetime

Volume

$718.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$520

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$509

Politics

24% 100% +$6

Tech

11% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	54	$58.5K	29,795	29,795	+0	open	—	04-17 10:32
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	34	$34.2K	20,170	14,569	+5,602	open	—	03-31 07:03
Trump out as President by April 30?	25	$34.0K	19,845	14,500	+5,345	open	—	04-27 11:11
New pandemic in 2026?	74	$29.9K	2,284	29,749	-27,465	open	—	08-11 22:50
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$29.6K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	02-17 19:41
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	57	$26.8K	29,697	21,836	+7,861	open	—	05-30 18:25
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	20	$25.8K	25,996	0	+25,996	open	—	07-20 06:44
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	39	$24.6K	11,573	13,427	-1,855	open	—	04-30 09:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	11	$21.4K	17,000	7,000	+10,000	open	—	07-31 16:20
trump out as president by march 31	29	$21.4K	10,598	11,025	-428	open	—	03-31 07:03
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	76	$20.7K	10,500	10,500	+0	No	+$42	04-26 16:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$20.2K	16,000	5,000	+11,000	open	—	03-17 19:58
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	19	$19.6K	12,832	7,000	+5,832	open	—	03-31 08:42
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	100	$18.9K	10,000	9,000	+1,000	open	—	07-29 16:53
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	13	$17.9K	13,000	4,969	+8,031	open	—	02-03 18:24
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	15	$15.6K	10,500	5,750	+4,750	Yes	+$468	04-26 12:09
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	47	$15.2K	7,812	7,629	+183	open	—	03-19 21:19
will gta 6 cost 100	33	$11.3K	11,408	0	+11,408	open	—	02-27 19:33
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	88	$10.9K	5,966	5,000	+966	open	—	06-28 18:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$10.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	02-08 18:59
cilia flores released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$10.0K	10,064	0	+10,064	open	—	01-30 05:59
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-27 11:11
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	08-11 08:01
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$10.0K	0	10,000	-10,000	open	—	01-10 18:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	69	$9.9K	10,150	0	+10,150	open	—	04-13 11:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	37	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-23 15:06
Netanyahu out by May 31?	25	$9.9K	8,000	2,000	+6,000	open	—	05-22 13:04
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-13 05:12
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	22	$9.6K	9,750	0	+9,750	open	—	01-02 17:29
will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	8	$9.4K	8,199	1,452	+6,747	open	—	08-04 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 22:50:46	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x12da2d…
08-11 14:58:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	46	93¢	$43	0xe4b1db…
08-11 12:52:58	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	286	93¢	$266	0x786a3f…
08-11 08:01:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x75f755…
08-11 08:00:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0xdf1916…
08-10 17:13:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	808	99¢	$798	0x782181…
08-09 18:47:54	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x20067b…
08-09 15:42:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	553	93¢	$514	0x50f5a7…
08-04 09:54:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6f87d5…
08-04 09:53:50	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	1,452	100¢	$1,445	0x5e9a0f…
08-04 06:46:23	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	236	93¢	$219	0xf4d3ba…
08-04 06:42:38	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,850	0x69c3ea…
08-04 06:38:44	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0x1add9e…
08-04 06:36:33	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1,464	100¢	$1,458	0xbc904c…
08-04 01:58:50	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	207	94¢	$195	0x4c0770…
08-03 20:59:47	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xc20d50…
08-03 20:23:18	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x05c0b6…
08-03 20:06:08	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0x5df44a…
08-02 23:50:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x93b168…
08-02 22:50:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x4d3b4f…
08-02 15:21:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x0e56ac…
08-01 06:55:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7520ea…
07-31 19:53:29	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	88	92¢	$80	0xdda02b…
07-31 19:52:35	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x374e3d…
07-31 19:52:09	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x42ab0f…
07-31 18:34:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x4edaba…
07-31 16:20:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0xb310b4…
07-30 21:49:50	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd03c91…
07-30 21:39:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xc91431…
07-29 16:54:09	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	715	100¢	$714	0x2fbf98…
07-29 16:53:56	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0xd55490…
07-22 07:58:15	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	715	100¢	$711	0xebac61…
07-20 06:44:09	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,996	100¢	$4,971	0xea61a6…
07-19 20:26:28	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	819	100¢	$815	0xff768d…
07-19 15:43:57	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5a769c…
07-19 15:33:34	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe586d0…
07-19 08:49:09	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x551ebf…
07-19 08:13:22	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x08cb0d…
07-18 18:56:15	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xc97f03…
07-18 10:56:00	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x1c6af2…
07-18 03:15:06	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x4085d8…
07-18 03:13:34	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,944	100¢	$2,929	0xa8d17b…
07-17 08:46:15	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x1b501a…
07-15 21:25:25	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	652	99¢	$648	0x43e787…
07-15 21:19:53	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	348	99¢	$345	0x47d32b…
07-15 18:14:31	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x3c0821…
07-15 03:34:46	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0xf5b9ac…
07-14 13:41:29	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	291	99¢	$288	0x46c308…
07-13 19:00:44	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	432	95¢	$411	0x314f65…
07-13 07:59:40	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	874	99¢	$868	0x13a00f…
07-13 06:37:07	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	273	99¢	$271	0x8ca0b7…
07-13 06:01:16	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x7f4ea9…
07-12 22:10:31	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x702508…
07-12 20:41:20	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x5d820f…
07-12 20:41:01	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,490	0x992525…
07-12 20:40:46	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,241	0x066d28…
07-12 18:40:49	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x7a5354…
07-12 18:21:41	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xb6bfc1…
07-12 14:03:41	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xca1638…
07-11 18:29:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x33e23a…
07-11 17:52:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,965	0x187ec9…
07-11 17:21:14	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfb802c…
07-11 14:11:17	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbdd8ee…
07-11 14:05:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xe17cd4…
07-11 10:02:34	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc6b274…
07-11 05:38:08	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	906	95¢	$861	0xbbffe8…
07-10 22:06:25	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$58	0xbb9a16…
07-10 19:54:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd74704…
07-10 19:49:10	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x940ebc…
07-10 18:44:08	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	667	95¢	$633	0xae9379…
07-10 18:12:25	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x03a531…
07-10 17:40:59	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,823	94¢	$1,714	0xa51aa9…
07-10 15:16:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	900	95¢	$855	0x109270…
07-10 15:15:41	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xde0408…
07-10 14:52:29	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdbce23…
07-10 14:46:29	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xed1a61…
07-10 14:03:31	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf1c5e3…
07-10 13:41:25	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9a1b2a…
07-10 12:29:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1869db…
07-10 01:43:14	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xe56110…
07-09 20:12:28	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd304fd…
07-09 18:09:49	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x04c139…
07-09 17:28:22	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x19ff86…
07-09 16:59:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7f749c…
07-09 16:38:50	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4a3cdc…
07-09 15:37:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	760	100¢	$756	0xdb82a2…
07-09 15:25:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	202	100¢	$201	0xe536d7…
07-09 15:04:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb69b12…
07-09 14:56:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b9d81…
07-09 14:48:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94094d…
07-09 14:42:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1acef3…
07-09 14:40:05	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe47c46…
07-09 14:27:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7144e3…
07-09 14:12:08	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb1d5…
07-09 14:08:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	503	99¢	$500	0x46d313…
07-09 13:55:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x246117…
07-09 13:51:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfdf3cb…
07-09 13:48:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x907716…
07-09 13:48:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbc83a5…
07-09 13:38:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x757d63…