Realized P&L
+$51.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$340
Hit rate
79.4%
Resolved
1,343
Trades
22,999
lifetime
Volume
$2.21M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$34.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
60% 72% +$43,285
Sports
37% 55% +$13,337
Politics
4% 52% -$5,786
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$389
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,500 $9,049 94¢ $9.8K +$768 10-21 15:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -2,338 -$1,757 97¢ $-2271 -$514 06-15 21:01
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,000 $1,908 100¢ $2.0K +$89 09-09 10:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -2,500 -$1,827 78¢ $-1950 -$123 06-15 20:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2,000 -$1,898 96¢ $-1919 -$21 06-11 16:44
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,000 $1,881 94¢ $1.9K -$6 10-29 15:11
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? No +1,500 $1,146 72¢ $1.1K -$74 10-25 11:16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,127 $1,024 95¢ $1.1K +$44 05-02 01:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,500 $775 70¢ $1.0K +$267 10-26 20:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,000 -$870 96¢ $-961 -$91 06-10 22:58
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $870 86¢ $865 -$5 10-26 08:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,000 $761 84¢ $835 +$74 06-09 22:01
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? No +1,499 $984 54¢ $817 -$167 10-21 11:48
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +800 $581 97¢ $774 +$193 07-30 22:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -791 -$676 91¢ $-717 -$42 06-11 18:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $690 70¢ $705 +$15 10-28 05:18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $690 70¢ $705 +$15 10-28 03:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $630 70¢ $695 +$65 10-26 20:53
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,752 $496 14¢ $684 +$188 10-29 17:49
Panthers vs. Packers Packers — +1,000 $640 64¢ $635 -$5 10-29 15:41
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +500 $469 95¢ $476 +$7 10-03 16:59
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +500 $451 95¢ $473 +$22 10-29 15:58
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +500 $455 92¢ $462 +$8 09-24 14:04
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -412 -$391 97¢ $-399 -$8 06-13 20:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,575 -$142 17¢ $-263 -$121 06-10 11:12
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5,000 -$200 5¢ $-242 -$42 09-17 03:39
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,796 $181 10¢ $180 $0 10-22 13:53
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -3,152 -$34 5¢ $-169 -$135 10-24 18:05
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -2,448 -$121 6¢ $-153 -$32 10-22 00:21
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,862 -$108 4¢ $-137 -$29 06-09 22:19