Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,577

lifetime

Volume

$476.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$302

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

51% 50% $-4,722

Other

39% 100% +$6

Sports

6% 100% +$14

Crypto

3% 100% +$14

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	101	$34.1K	34,913	0	+34,913	open	—	01-28 14:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	57	$23.3K	21,119	3,000	+18,119	open	—	05-03 08:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	19	$21.6K	21,983	0	+21,983	open	—	03-05 14:27
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	47	$19.3K	10,901	8,800	+2,101	open	—	03-31 13:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	91	$18.2K	19,413	0	+19,413	open	—	03-27 11:13
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	22	$17.1K	17,200	0	+17,200	open	—	02-21 19:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-01 15:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$11.7K	5,505	6,500	-995	open	—	04-07 10:55
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	43	$11.4K	8,105	3,500	+4,605	open	—	04-29 06:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	48	$11.1K	9,719	2,000	+7,719	open	—	04-29 06:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$10.6K	10,800	0	+10,800	open	—	04-05 18:53
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	3	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-13 01:14
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	15	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-18 01:35
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	3	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-16 09:34
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-15 13:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	15	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-07 23:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	94	$9.7K	9,977	0	+9,977	open	—	06-01 17:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	10	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	02-24 17:04
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	26	$8.6K	8,675	0	+8,675	open	—	02-07 01:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$8.4K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	02-06 14:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$8.1K	8,146	0	+8,146	open	—	04-08 08:21
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	33	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-30 09:28
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	17	$7.0K	3,313	3,800	-487	open	—	01-20 01:15
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	20	$6.5K	6,581	0	+6,581	open	—	04-10 03:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	11	$6.5K	3,321	3,321	+0	open	—	04-22 01:31
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$6.3K	6,388	0	+6,388	open	—	02-01 18:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	36	$6.3K	3,810	2,491	+1,319	open	—	03-03 07:42
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	11	$5.9K	5,960	0	+5,960	open	—	02-27 15:06
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	32	$5.7K	5,851	0	+5,851	open	—	04-28 13:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	13	$5.4K	5,452	0	+5,452	open	—	05-11 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 10:50:39	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x6878f7…
07-18 10:46:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x823e7c…
07-18 09:13:03	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	304	97¢	$296	0x7ea5ad…
07-18 09:06:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	169	97¢	$164	0x687a1e…
07-18 08:42:37	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	331	97¢	$322	0x0d89c7…
07-18 08:37:22	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0x038fb2…
07-18 08:32:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfca124…
07-12 03:32:04	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	500	93¢	$463	0xc08253…
07-11 23:11:13	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x993511…
07-11 23:11:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	122	95¢	$116	0xf578e0…
07-11 23:11:04	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0x6783fb…
07-11 23:10:44	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	163	96¢	$157	0xf00d9e…
07-11 23:10:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0xc080ad…
07-11 23:10:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	137	97¢	$132	0x7f29cc…
07-09 21:47:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x7f0682…
07-09 21:35:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	1,000	98¢	$982	0xecd910…
07-05 10:51:50	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Vinicius	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xb15e28…
07-05 00:17:34	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x732bb3…
07-04 22:53:10	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	215	97¢	$208	0x1bf2f0…
07-04 18:50:40	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x38efea…
07-04 17:31:59	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xbe4d85…
07-03 18:12:32	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x7171c7…
07-02 19:16:58	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x0d2ce8…
07-02 14:21:23	Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x58a7f7…
07-02 14:02:25	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0x5727ac…
07-02 08:34:35	Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x23371b…
07-02 08:34:08	Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x58121a…
07-02 08:19:35	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x246046…
07-02 08:19:10	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x6279fb…
07-02 06:42:05	Will Austria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x3a18d2…
07-02 03:43:47	Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x17c08d…
07-02 03:43:31	Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x9a4158…
07-01 17:59:50	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x40773a…
07-01 13:52:52	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x2826ca…
07-01 12:07:04	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa48c91…
07-01 11:16:19	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x81cd9c…
07-01 08:12:50	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5c5ace…
06-29 20:11:49	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd1f961…
06-29 17:57:52	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x7cd66d…
06-29 15:49:37	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	148	96¢	$142	0x88ab99…
06-29 13:33:59	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xd95d9e…
06-29 09:37:58	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x652cc4…
06-29 03:52:47	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	52	96¢	$51	0x52b145…
06-29 03:29:49	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	121	94¢	$113	0x12b445…
06-29 03:23:49	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0xa581dc…
06-27 23:36:19	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	365	97¢	$353	0xb696e1…
06-27 21:52:08	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x528cd3…
06-27 18:30:59	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x05af58…
06-27 16:51:07	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0x9c2174…
06-27 03:33:37	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	297	96¢	$284	0x84c4e6…
06-26 18:56:04	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$29	0xf5894c…
06-26 18:36:46	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x0cd621…
06-26 13:44:28	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xd1619e…
06-26 12:00:46	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x379dc1…
06-26 10:42:22	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x0dc55d…
06-26 10:07:43	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x553147…
06-26 09:34:50	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	306	97¢	$297	0x9ac040…
06-26 09:00:40	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x11e731…
06-26 08:39:38	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x20bf84…
06-26 08:24:59	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x04e3c1…
06-26 07:04:14	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xb791b8…
06-25 21:47:32	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x94f2e2…
06-25 21:47:31	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xd30575…
06-25 21:47:28	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xcf5183…
06-25 21:47:28	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x46226a…
06-25 16:22:40	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$60	0xf1f549…
06-25 12:17:26	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0xf34991…
06-25 09:48:46	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xb4c98d…
06-25 08:15:37	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x3e2b63…
06-25 05:51:02	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed7029…
06-03 14:49:10	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xee5526…
06-03 12:07:54	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa99150…
06-02 18:39:30	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x77b0d4…
06-01 17:33:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3,308	98¢	$3,231	0xb6b48c…
06-01 12:37:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb20ebd…
06-01 12:34:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa07fe0…
06-01 12:29:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3a957b…
06-01 12:29:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xd5ebbf…
06-01 12:29:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x102b15…
06-01 12:28:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcadff8…
06-01 12:27:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1728c…
06-01 12:26:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x82ffff…
06-01 12:23:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd754f8…
06-01 12:20:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x91f888…
06-01 12:20:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1fb701…
06-01 12:15:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x00591a…
06-01 12:15:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,885	0x23110d…
06-01 12:10:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x74090d…
06-01 12:10:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc07ae7…
06-01 12:10:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1b3e4…
06-01 12:08:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	962	98¢	$939	0xbb210c…
06-01 12:06:40	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf74860…
06-01 12:05:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x51de95…
06-01 12:04:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc1bf41…
06-01 12:04:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7943bc…
06-01 12:03:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8b944b…
06-01 12:03:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xff3686…
06-01 12:02:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x281625…
06-01 12:00:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52669e…
06-01 11:58:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	457	98¢	$447	0x25bd7b…