US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$2,846,870

Trades

9,427

Unique wallets

2,690

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-31

First seen

2026-02-09

last 02-13 07:10

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +691,470 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 +82,885 (anon) +60,000 (anon) +52,000 (anon) +50,488 (anon) +49,223 (anon) +40,084 (anon) +36,000

NO holders

Whimsical-Terminal +274,650 (anon) +214,270 Extra-Large-Begonia +170,000 Last-Greatgrandmother +105,372 (anon) +103,850 (anon) +48,330 Short-Rise +42,522 Gullible-Grassland +41,000

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.1¢ (top1%: 1% YES on $819.1K vs crowd: 1% YES on $2.41M)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	119	$4.9K	$1.81M	$1.81M
🐬 Dolphin	500	$14.2K	$279.1K	$264.9K
🐟 Fish	584	$7.1K	$163.2K	$156.1K
🦐 Shrimp	1,488	$8.2K	$120.6K	$112.5K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	117	$11.3K	$807.9K	$796.6K
🏆 Top 5%	254	$1.3K	$128.7K	$127.4K
✅ Top 10%	152	$461	$78.1K	$77.7K
Median	591	$362	$52.8K	$52.4K
Below median	891	$3.0K	$78.5K	$75.5K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	257	$2.6K	$88.8K	$86.2K
🔻 Bottom 5%	301	$5.8K	$99.2K	$93.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	128	$9.6K	$1.04M	$1.03M

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x5ed3…b19e	Yes	+691,470	$3,969	$3,969	284	02-12 22:25
Whimsical-Terminal 0x9648…6825	No	+274,650	$270,185	$270,185	201	02-12 21:28
(anonymous) 0x50de…c9b7	No	+214,270	$210,538	$210,538	183	02-11 18:51
Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf	No	+170,000	$169,300	$169,300	2	02-12 15:35
Last-Greatgrandmother 0xf38e…a38a	No	+105,372	$104,951	$104,951	1	02-12 07:37
(anonymous) 0xa671…7716	No	+103,850	$103,480	$103,480	1	02-12 09:58
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029	Yes	+82,885	$311	$1,250	284	02-12 20:13
(anonymous) 0x292d…036a	Yes	+60,000	$60	$60	78	02-13 02:35
(anonymous) 0x9b13…ee28	Yes	+52,000	$54	$54	35	02-13 03:39
(anonymous) 0x6987…8ea0	Yes	+50,488	$303	$303	4	02-12 15:36
(anonymous) 0xd024…dc82	Yes	+49,223	$250	$250	1	02-12 16:00
(anonymous) 0xf919…128e	No	+48,330	$47,702	$47,702	21	02-11 17:18
Short-Rise 0xc13c…a202	No	+42,522	$41,200	$41,200	17	02-10 12:15
Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65	No	+41,000	$40,898	$44,880	10	02-13 03:00
(anonymous) 0x1abe…6497	Yes	+40,084	$370	$370	6	02-12 20:09
(anonymous) 0xc11e…dfcd	Yes	+36,000	$180	$180	1	02-12 14:32
Previous-Jodhpurs 0x9d3e…eec6	No	+35,922	$35,742	$35,742	17	02-12 22:34
Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0	Yes	+35,750	$49	$2,742	447	02-12 23:16
(anonymous) 0x46b2…0ce0	Yes	+34,687	$139	$139	6	02-12 18:52
Flipadelphia 0x4488…e319	No	+33,041	$32,573	$32,573	20	02-13 06:41
Scaly-Hedge 0x5e30…1ebd	Yes	+32,268	$161	$161	1	02-12 14:43
(anonymous) 0x5fbd…fb37	No	+31,431	$30,954	$30,954	40	02-11 16:49
(anonymous) 0x378b…4ce4	Yes	+31,188	$545	$545	1	02-11 05:51
0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b 0xfffa…864b	No	+29,655	$29,219	$29,219	1	02-10 20:24
(anonymous) 0xa54d…f1f6	Yes	+28,656	$435	$435	17	02-11 03:28
SILF 0x7d5d…91d8	No	+28,218	$27,953	$47,432	20	02-13 05:27
(anonymous) 0x54bb…59c7	Yes	+28,135	$201	$201	46	02-12 22:11
(anonymous) 0x0523…e38b	No	+27,502	$27,337	$27,337	29	02-12 18:32
Sophisticated-Gander 0xd814…7f65	No	+25,895	$25,776	$49,954	33	02-13 03:04
(anonymous) 0xaf74…b16c	Yes	+25,381	$250	$250	5	02-12 01:12
Parallel-Steamroller 0x5188…c804	No	+25,000	$24,900	$24,900	13	02-12 21:23
Plump-Talk 0x0d05…6a81	Yes	+24,896	$181	$181	24	02-12 10:50
(anonymous) 0x8284…86f0	Yes	+24,232	$500	$500	1	02-10 18:51
Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc	No	+24,000	$23,927	$23,927	8	02-13 02:12
(anonymous) 0x3fb5…4f02	Yes	+23,367	$300	$300	7	02-12 15:21
Orderly-Venture 0xd48a…6e90	No	+23,091	$22,811	$38,189	5	02-13 06:12
(anonymous) 0x4b17…3117	Yes	+22,222	$400	$400	1	02-10 18:05
(anonymous) 0xeef4…520d	Yes	+22,222	$111	$111	1	02-12 12:54
Knowing-Democracy 0xddff…52d6	No	+20,849	$20,766	$60,606	6	02-12 17:23
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	No	+20,740	$20,441	$20,441	14	02-12 23:51
SwissMiss 0xdbad…9c95	No	+20,356	$20,073	$20,073	4	02-11 22:00
Nifty-Corruption 0x9cfe…294c	Yes	+20,000	$100	$100	1	02-12 22:34
Playful-Mayonnaise 0xa2a2…b04d	Yes	+20,000	$220	$220	6	02-11 18:50
Torn-Hazel 0x58a0…2b5b	Yes	+18,189	$200	$200	1	02-11 20:30
Determined-Slaw 0x4fdf…4452	Yes	+18,144	$236	$4,071	271	02-12 12:54
(anonymous) 0x932c…2951	Yes	+17,136	$200	$200	2	02-11 18:44
Mixed-Sofa 0xb20a…d09d	No	+16,805	$16,721	$16,721	1	02-12 12:54
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	Yes	+16,687	$110	$110	32	02-13 03:48
(anonymous) 0x858d…1047	No	+16,510	$16,444	$16,743	2	02-12 17:23
(anonymous) 0xc09d…f2ec	Yes	+16,196	$186	$186	1	02-11 23:56
Lucky-Quiche 0x152f…c7e7	Yes	+16,093	$97	$97	1	02-12 05:33
Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397	No	+14,000	$13,852	$13,852	7	02-12 15:18
(anonymous) 0xfe2a…7962	Yes	+13,900	$97	$97	1	02-12 02:53
Conventional-Coffee 0x0a79…8e05	No	+13,657	$13,586	$13,586	8	02-12 21:59
(anonymous) 0xaa40…8b4f	Yes	+13,000	$39	$39	5	02-12 23:17
(anonymous) 0x9b54…5e38	No	+12,491	$12,488	$32,448	3	02-13 01:14
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	No	+12,092	$11,953	$11,953	4	02-12 01:10
Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33	No	+11,865	$11,629	$11,629	26	02-12 12:44
Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4	No	+11,784	$11,726	$11,726	5	02-13 01:36
(anonymous) 0x37be…4dd9	No	+11,550	$11,400	$11,400	6	02-11 05:10