Realized P&L
-$126.1K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
133
Trades
2,415
lifetime
Volume
$5.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.14K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
62%
82%
-$78,619
Other
26%
40%
+$34,266
Crypto
10%
51%
-$82,797
Sports
2%
29%
+$1,052
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 58 | $560.5K | 317,225 | 245,365 | +71,860 | No | +$254 | 02-10 03:47 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 77 | $342.2K | 223,750 | 129,800 | +93,950 | Yes | +$7,675 | 01-28 17:12 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 54 | $319.3K | 159,867 | 159,867 | +0 | No | +$137 | 02-02 04:26 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 46 | $296.5K | 205,601 | 218,101 | -12,500 | No | +$228 | 03-24 19:24 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 17 | $220.9K | 112,500 | 112,500 | +0 | No | +$3,825 | 02-28 04:44 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 51 | $218.3K | 153,080 | 66,478 | +86,602 | Yes | +$187 | 03-16 14:11 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 93 | $216.3K | 109,000 | 109,000 | +0 | No | +$1,469 | 02-27 04:41 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 1 | $199.4K | 200,000 | 0 | +200,000 | No | +$600 | 01-01 19:54 |
| us strikes iran by february 7 2026 | 39 | $178.4K | 95,591 | 83,399 | +12,192 | No | +$368 | 02-08 04:28 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 31 | $152.5K | 113,000 | 40,000 | +73,000 | No | +$156 | 02-07 03:00 |
| will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936 | 75 | $144.7K | 75,400 | 75,400 | +0 | No | +$55 | 02-26 14:48 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 43 | $143.7K | 159,048 | 0 | +159,048 | No | +$15,381 | 01-23 22:38 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 120 | $124.9K | 130,000 | 40,000 | +90,000 | Yes | -$43,450 | 02-26 18:46 |
| us strikes iran by february 4 2026 | 34 | $105.1K | 52,666 | 52,666 | +0 | No | +$65 | 02-05 03:39 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 2 | $99.2K | 100,383 | 0 | +100,383 | No | +$1,143 | 01-07 20:12 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 20 | $99.0K | 85,663 | 85,663 | +0 | Yes | -$69,974 | 04-07 22:56 |
| us strikes iran by february 24 2026 | 7 | $87.5K | 44,272 | 44,272 | +0 | No | +$971 | 02-25 03:31 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 44 | $87.3K | 43,976 | 43,976 | +0 | Yes | +$286 | 03-10 19:47 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 45 | $87.2K | 50,000 | 50,000 | +0 | No | -$3,777 | 03-16 14:08 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 11 | $82.8K | 40,000 | 60,000 | -20,000 | No | +$7,831 | 03-10 15:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 27 | $78.0K | 94,500 | 0 | +94,500 | No | +$16,470 | 03-24 19:51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 2 | $75.4K | 82,845 | 0 | +82,845 | Yes | +$7,406 | 07-21 15:16 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 16 | $74.5K | 75,000 | 0 | +75,000 | No | +$450 | 02-13 17:55 |
| us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664 | 1 | $74.0K | 74,250 | 0 | +74,250 | No | +$223 | 02-11 20:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 8 2026 | 27 | $73.3K | 73,695 | 0 | +73,695 | No | +$442 | 02-08 19:56 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 53 | $68.7K | 99,135 | 99,135 | +0 | No | -$63,890 | 05-26 14:22 |
| us strikes iran by february 3 2026 | 3 | $61.6K | 41,200 | 20,500 | +20,700 | No | +$21 | 02-04 02:34 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 113 | $61.4K | 46,000 | 45,990 | +10 | Yes | -$31 | 02-02 18:13 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 4 | $54.3K | 28,500 | 28,500 | +0 | Yes | +$1,910 | 02-25 16:13 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935 | 26 | $43.5K | 28,500 | 28,500 | +0 | No | +$2,260 | 02-06 19:47 |
| Time | Market | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 15:16:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | BUY | 55,999 | 89¢ | $49,668 | 0xe60040… |
| 07-17 01:49:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | BUY | 26,846 | 96¢ | $25,772 | 0xbe6cf0… |
| 07-17 01:47:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | 27,000 | 42¢ | $11,205 | 0x4da5fe… |
| 07-17 01:47:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | 26,000 | 58¢ | $15,158 | 0xf5d086… |
| 06-26 14:49:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 14¢ | $138 | 0x9c8da9… |
| 06-26 14:48:53 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 15¢ | $304 | 0x14ca12… |
| 06-26 14:48:34 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 19¢ | $380 | 0x35c0c7… |
| 06-26 14:48:13 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | 20,000 | 6¢ | $1,160 | 0x02db8c… |
| 06-11 02:03:03 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | 25,000 | 5¢ | $1,325 | 0xdbf988… |
| 06-11 01:54:10 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | SELL | 25,000 | 5¢ | $1,250 | 0xbdff2c… |
| 06-11 01:18:55 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 5,000 | 22¢ | $1,100 | 0x5f7df8… |
| 06-11 01:15:39 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0x6650f7… |
| 06-11 01:15:37 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 1,715 | 27¢ | $463 | 0xd350f4… |
| 06-11 01:15:37 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 685 | 27¢ | $185 | 0x010523… |
| 06-11 01:11:52 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 2,500 | 31¢ | $775 | 0xb2c15b… |
| 06-11 01:08:01 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 5,000 | 36¢ | $1,800 | 0x35565e… |
| 06-11 01:04:16 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x974d06… |
| 06-11 01:04:15 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 31 | 38¢ | $12 | 0xf42d06… |
| 06-11 01:04:15 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 192 | 38¢ | $73 | 0x447dd5… |
| 06-11 01:04:15 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 902 | 38¢ | $343 | 0x08bb12… |
| 06-11 01:04:13 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 161 | 38¢ | $61 | 0xdbfc7c… |
| 06-11 01:04:13 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xb8e830… |
| 06-11 01:04:13 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xb37a81… |
| 06-11 01:04:12 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 32 | 38¢ | $12 | 0xcd6ae7… |
| 06-11 01:03:54 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 1,000 | 38¢ | $380 | 0x9c0cd1… |
| 06-11 01:03:52 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 48 | 38¢ | $18 | 0xb788d4… |
| 06-11 01:03:52 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xa84c74… |
| 06-11 01:03:51 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 160 | 38¢ | $61 | 0xec2e96… |
| 06-11 01:03:51 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 161 | 38¢ | $61 | 0xd8a29a… |
| 06-11 01:03:51 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 159 | 38¢ | $60 | 0x9bd955… |
| 06-11 01:03:51 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 159 | 38¢ | $60 | 0x169e25… |
| 06-11 01:03:49 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 39 | 38¢ | $15 | 0x9d4421… |
| 06-11 01:03:49 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x66ef19… |
| 06-11 01:03:49 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x5566e3… |
| 06-11 01:03:48 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xbfafcd… |
| 06-11 01:03:48 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 187 | 38¢ | $71 | 0x9046a2… |
| 06-11 01:03:48 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x7f587d… |
| 06-11 01:03:48 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 477 | 38¢ | $181 | 0x6f2611… |
| 06-11 01:03:46 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xec4201… |
| 06-11 01:03:46 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 398 | 38¢ | $151 | 0xbc539d… |
| 06-11 01:03:46 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 42 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x4e420c… |
| 06-11 01:03:45 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xa513f4… |
| 06-11 01:03:45 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 200 | 38¢ | $76 | 0x95b841… |
| 06-11 01:03:45 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x8ed4fa… |
| 06-11 01:03:45 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x16395a… |
| 06-11 01:03:43 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 26 | 38¢ | $10 | 0x18be44… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 229 | 38¢ | $87 | 0xf9adfb… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 692 | 38¢ | $263 | 0xe130fb… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xd6e5f8… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 190 | 38¢ | $72 | 0xc5029e… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 619 | 38¢ | $235 | 0x49ea8b… |
| 06-11 01:03:42 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 525 | 38¢ | $200 | 0x3f5679… |
| 06-11 01:03:40 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | BUY | 3,199 | 38¢ | $1,215 | 0x44afc1… |
| 06-11 01:01:25 | nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | Knicks | SELL | 10,000 | 50¢ | $5,000 | 0x6f4234… |
| 06-11 00:58:51 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0xf785ca… |
| 06-11 00:58:51 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xc59e4e… |
| 06-11 00:58:51 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x7d3c8b… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 73 | 45¢ | $33 | 0xdbfb2e… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 165 | 45¢ | $74 | 0xd507aa… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xcc6128… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 65 | 45¢ | $29 | 0xc11be9… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0xbdd989… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xa440f9… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 963 | 45¢ | $433 | 0x771744… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x643f93… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x4b034a… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 62 | 45¢ | $28 | 0x2fb10f… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 107 | 45¢ | $48 | 0x2eb00b… |
| 06-11 00:58:48 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x14f842… |
| 06-11 00:58:46 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xbb85ce… |
| 06-11 00:58:46 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x44992e… |
| 06-11 00:58:46 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 42 | 45¢ | $19 | 0x22b695… |
| 06-11 00:58:46 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x02a97c… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xfa7199… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xc94739… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xaf2b29… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 218 | 45¢ | $98 | 0x9130b6… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 67 | 45¢ | $30 | 0x6bfe89… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x47f7c6… |
| 06-11 00:58:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 1,304 | 45¢ | $587 | 0x017c20… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 148 | 45¢ | $67 | 0xf8e3cf… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 159 | 45¢ | $72 | 0xf58a79… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 106 | 45¢ | $48 | 0xee5c96… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 41 | 45¢ | $19 | 0xce5456… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 150 | 45¢ | $68 | 0xc42ffc… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xb75503… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 62 | 45¢ | $28 | 0xb15d85… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 106 | 45¢ | $48 | 0xa68e54… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 213 | 45¢ | $96 | 0x63eb0e… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 54 | 45¢ | $24 | 0x50a185… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 67 | 45¢ | $30 | 0x4503d1… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 31 | 45¢ | $14 | 0x3ae821… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 23 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x2a3a62… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 21 | 45¢ | $10 | 0x20908c… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 127 | 45¢ | $57 | 0x18435a… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x0e65e1… |
| 06-11 00:58:42 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x0ab973… |
| 06-11 00:58:40 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xcfcf17… |
| 06-11 00:58:40 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x991889… |
| 06-11 00:58:40 | Spurs vs. Knicks | Knicks | SELL | 4 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x34cb05… |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||