Realized P&L
-$415.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$147
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
8,879
Trades
60,204
lifetime
Volume
$32.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$536
Open exposure
$16.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Sports
70% 57% -$216,594
Other
24% 66% -$32,785
Politics
5% 78% -$168,409
Tech
0% 100% +$12,279
Crypto
0% 63% -$10,304
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$327
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 480 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5,753 -$3,367 76¢ $-4401 -$1,033 09-13 09:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5,487 -$3,879 64¢ $-3539 +$340 08-14 05:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3,704 -$3,297 94¢ $-3463 -$167 07-19 02:31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -2,020 -$1,596 96¢ $-1945 -$349 08-14 05:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -1,176 -$1,098 96¢ $-1134 -$36 07-19 10:50
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -755 -$627 97¢ $-729 -$102 08-14 05:04
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -4,412 -$1,062 12¢ $-507 +$555 10-11 19:20
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No -427 -$377 97¢ $-414 -$37 08-14 05:04
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -5,002 -$827 7¢ $-350 +$477 10-11 19:21
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -5,692 -$725 4¢ $-199 +$525 10-11 19:20
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,250 -$89 2¢ $-116 -$27 10-11 19:21