Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3.24K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,475
lifetime
Volume
$229.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.72K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 22:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80%
Other
20%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +276,284 $2,832 $1.8K $-1,036 06-12 21:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +14,314 $501 $315 $-186 06-12 12:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +12,145 $735 $200 $-535 06-12 11:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,158 $1,068 $168 $-900 06-02 23:44
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +19,731 $737 $148 $-589 06-12 15:16
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +5,770 $40 $69 +$29 06-12 15:53
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +1,100 $27 $23 $-4 06-08 08:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -17 $18 $-1 $-19 06-07 20:06