Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa57966…7aaad0
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$383
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
14.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
40,907
lifetime
Volume
$606.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$4.79K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-10
Other
31% 20% $-373
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1005 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1,032 $942 91¢ $936 $-7 06-09 20:28
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +1,018 $853 84¢ $850 $-3 06-09 15:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -806 $-765 90¢ $-721 +$44 06-10 02:18
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -605 $-563 98¢ $-590 $-28 05-28 22:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +400 $375 95¢ $378 +$3 06-08 13:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -448 $-367 78¢ $-352 +$15 06-09 07:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +400 $314 84¢ $334 +$20 06-10 02:52
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -200 $-170 88¢ $-176 $-6 06-04 12:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +200 $148 80¢ $159 +$11 06-09 13:05
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No -117 $-118 100¢ $-116 +$1 06-01 13:22
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +134 $69 56¢ $75 +$5 06-02 14:11
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +49 $37 82¢ $40 +$3 06-08 12:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -100 $-29 29¢ $-29 +$0 06-03 04:14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -50 $-19 36¢ $-18 +$1 06-06 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $-45 82¢ $6 +$51 06-04 00:41
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +7 $6 84¢ $6 +$0 06-07 01:26
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 $-0 06-08 12:39
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +99 $2 3¢ $3 +$1 06-07 21:33
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-08 12:45
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +100 $44 0¢ $0 $-44 05-13 19:41