Realized P&L
-$5.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$278
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
1,829
Trades
80,647
lifetime
Volume
$1.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$2.31K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Politics
44% 71% -$3,764
Other
30% 67% +$6,704
Crypto
27% 81% -$8,395
Sports
0% 80% +$442
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,272 $1,228 96¢ $1.2K -$1 10-27 07:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +531 $178 82¢ $433 +$255 09-27 07:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +400 $366 92¢ $370 +$4 10-27 07:08
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +186 $130 70¢ $131 +$1 10-27 07:11
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +92 $91 82¢ $75 -$17 10-25 23:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +56 $28 48¢ $27 -$1 10-03 11:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +1,048 $22 2¢ $20 -$2 09-26 08:08
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +41 -$8 23¢ $9 +$17 09-29 03:15
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -112 -$32 8¢ $-8 +$24 09-06 20:21
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $12 10¢ $5 -$7 10-19 18:46
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +159 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 10-10 23:15
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +24 $8 5¢ $1 -$7 10-19 08:19
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 -$11 97¢ $0 +$11 06-07 22:48