Ecstatic-Longitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$383

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

41,997

lifetime

Volume

$705.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% 0% $-10

Other

32% 20% $-373

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	361	$46.5K	35,372	34,262	+1,110	open	—	05-31 23:19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	193	$42.2K	21,577	21,543	+34	open	—	05-30 18:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	173	$38.5K	20,238	21,030	-793	open	—	03-31 17:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	75	$36.3K	20,710	17,396	+3,314	open	—	03-17 13:35
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	327	$35.6K	496,008	424,897	+71,111	open	—	02-24 04:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	175	$32.1K	17,164	18,427	-1,263	open	—	06-13 03:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	136	$23.2K	17,407	15,631	+1,776	open	—	06-12 13:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	105	$17.8K	8,151	10,930	-2,780	open	—	05-22 22:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	111	$15.6K	10,055	9,848	+207	open	—	08-06 21:12
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	134	$13.2K	7,700	9,177	-1,478	open	—	01-10 20:41
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	68	$12.9K	6,468	7,902	-1,434	open	—	07-29 23:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	61	$12.4K	7,259	7,859	-600	open	—	04-25 16:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	136	$12.0K	38,231	38,730	-499	open	—	04-09 00:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$11.8K	6,654	5,900	+754	open	—	04-06 16:02
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	52	$10.4K	4,784	6,039	-1,256	open	—	01-23 21:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	53	$10.2K	5,207	5,417	-210	open	—	07-01 07:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	32	$9.0K	5,489	3,957	+1,532	open	—	04-14 14:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	16	$8.7K	4,166	5,166	-1,000	open	—	03-11 06:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	34	$8.6K	4,920	3,930	+990	open	—	04-28 20:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	87	$8.2K	5,087	7,422	-2,334	open	—	04-09 01:13
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	717	$8.1K	755,433	698,704	+56,729	open	—	02-21 07:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$8.1K	4,059	4,259	-200	open	—	03-27 05:55
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	362	$6.7K	614,070	301,101	+312,969	open	—	02-23 07:07
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	455	$6.5K	395,573	322,408	+73,165	open	—	02-20 07:25
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	372	$6.4K	260,964	234,593	+26,371	open	—	02-27 00:29
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	27	$6.2K	2,611	3,611	-1,000	open	—	03-04 13:16
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	518	$5.9K	403,899	371,636	+32,263	open	—	02-19 04:26
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	644	$5.7K	430,610	425,677	+4,933	open	—	02-02 03:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	22	$5.4K	3,444	2,044	+1,400	open	—	07-19 02:06
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	618	$5.4K	256,536	236,545	+19,991	open	—	01-28 02:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 00:20:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x88306e…
08-11 21:48:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xe03199…
08-11 21:22:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x0f5269…
08-11 21:04:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	421	5¢	$21	0xd28e85…
08-11 21:03:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	601	5¢	$30	0x75a1cd…
08-11 20:09:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x56ddd5…
08-11 20:01:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x5bcf1d…
08-11 20:00:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xc67e45…
08-11 20:00:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x29ba9a…
08-11 20:00:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0x610e21…
08-11 20:00:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x60d7c6…
08-11 20:00:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x42746c…
08-11 20:00:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0ac90d…
08-11 20:00:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xc7c2e2…
08-11 20:00:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf5a147…
08-11 20:00:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5c4926…
08-11 20:00:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x41215e…
08-11 19:46:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x87a4f5…
08-11 19:30:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x18477b…
08-11 19:30:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xc28a77…
08-11 19:29:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x1fa334…
08-11 19:28:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x9424cc…
08-11 19:27:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb15ba5…
08-11 19:27:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb9becc…
08-11 19:27:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x397b6c…
08-11 19:26:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9ec73b…
08-11 19:25:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb96e32…
08-11 19:25:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8ccd01…
08-11 19:23:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xce1e87…
08-11 19:23:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x2de50f…
08-11 19:22:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x614198…
08-11 19:22:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x51a2eb…
08-11 19:22:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7fc7ed…
08-11 19:22:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x84c61b…
08-11 19:22:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x2f1174…
08-11 19:22:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcffedd…
08-11 19:22:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0xb7ec32…
08-11 19:22:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x549c16…
08-11 19:22:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xfd5d3f…
08-11 19:21:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x08613e…
08-11 19:21:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0cd3db…
08-11 19:21:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xfbb56d…
08-11 19:21:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xc37ad7…
08-11 15:09:15	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0x3e7d77…
08-11 14:40:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x11ba47…
08-11 11:47:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8ebbf7…
08-11 11:04:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa8d24b…
08-11 10:59:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd861be…
08-11 08:05:01	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by december 31 20260629164744652	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xe46911…
08-11 07:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x830619…
08-11 06:30:24	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x9e866c…
08-11 06:29:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x12ec7e…
08-11 03:48:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x70f355…
08-11 03:41:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	377	7¢	$26	0x27b2d8…
08-11 03:30:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	222	7¢	$16	0x9669b2…
08-11 03:02:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x0be80a…
08-11 01:10:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x3a45c8…
08-11 00:40:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x563497…
08-10 22:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x03c720…
08-10 21:30:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x162fd6…
08-10 21:22:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0xe68fad…
08-10 16:37:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	405	7¢	$28	0x1b3970…
08-10 16:20:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xe433e7…
08-10 16:18:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x538f07…
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	444	7¢	$31	0xde72e1…
08-10 11:27:07	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	125	85¢	$107	0x715917…
08-10 11:17:09	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xabeb4d…
08-10 01:52:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	187	9¢	$17	0x2680ce…
08-10 01:01:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x2b4faa…
08-10 00:50:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xec3c41…
08-09 22:51:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x846313…
08-09 22:16:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x5005fb…
08-09 21:50:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0x5f9dfc…
08-09 21:50:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x774de9…
08-09 21:50:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x5150ea…
08-09 21:40:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x807c4b…
08-09 21:37:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4ba856…
08-09 21:30:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0xdbbbcd…
08-09 21:27:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xb4d1e2…
08-09 21:23:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	163	11¢	$18	0x1e5e0d…
08-09 21:22:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0xe9e31f…
08-09 21:08:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0xbae67f…
08-09 16:59:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x9bafe4…
08-09 16:58:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	184	9¢	$17	0x9756fa…
08-09 15:02:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xffd8ea…
08-09 06:39:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	111	98¢	$108	0x196049…
08-09 03:50:27	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9bdac2…
08-09 02:01:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4113dd…
08-09 02:01:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1e0bab…
08-09 01:01:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x22cdbc…
08-09 00:19:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x04ab7a…
08-08 23:18:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x502bc2…
08-08 16:05:51	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xdacf3d…
08-08 13:33:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	533	15¢	$80	0xabe0d6…
08-08 13:20:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x61dbf1…
08-08 13:14:13	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x3d4015…
08-07 23:34:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x0b0183…
08-07 21:27:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	333	13¢	$43	0x107460…
08-07 11:07:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xd70b0b…
08-07 08:47:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xd0e30b…