Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa57966…7aaad0
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$383
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
14.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
41,599
lifetime
Volume
$681.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$4.28K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-10
Other
33% 20% $-373
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,007 $1,467 70¢ $1.4K $-52 07-20 19:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -1,055 $-907 86¢ $-913 $-5 07-21 16:46
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +840 $693 92¢ $768 +$75 07-07 13:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +493 $460 97¢ $476 +$17 07-01 07:12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -438 $-283 60¢ $-261 +$22 07-12 17:40
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -200 $-170 96¢ $-191 $-21 06-04 12:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 06-24 03:03
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +51 $42 86¢ $44 +$2 06-21 14:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +50 $35 78¢ $39 +$4 06-11 10:25
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +464 $9 7¢ $33 +$24 06-11 17:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -100 $-29 16¢ $-17 +$13 06-03 04:14
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No -42 $-32 33¢ $-14 +$18 07-11 19:48
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +20 $12 66¢ $13 +$1 06-19 11:09
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 12¢ $2 $-1 06-08 12:39
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +100 $44 0¢ $0 $-44 05-13 19:41