Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa57966…7aaad0
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$383
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
14.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
41,229
lifetime
Volume
$647.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$6.02K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-10
Other
31% 20% $-373
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 1005 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -1,497 $-1,406 100¢ $-1491 $-85 06-13 03:27
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +1,295 $1,087 84¢ $1.1K $-6 06-30 08:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,093 $1,037 96¢ $1.0K +$12 06-21 02:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -605 $-563 100¢ $-604 $-42 05-28 22:12
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +574 $495 99¢ $570 +$75 06-23 03:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -453 $-382 86¢ $-387 $-6 06-18 21:23
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -438 $-281 58¢ $-256 +$25 06-25 14:04
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -200 $-170 89¢ $-178 $-8 06-04 12:48
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No -117 $-118 100¢ $-117 +$1 06-01 13:22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 06-24 03:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +464 $9 13¢ $59 +$50 06-11 17:53
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +51 $42 84¢ $43 +$1 06-21 14:50
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +50 $35 68¢ $34 $-1 06-11 10:25
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +61 $10 33¢ $20 +$10 06-28 11:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes -100 $-29 18¢ $-18 +$11 06-03 04:14
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +20 $12 70¢ $14 +$2 06-19 11:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $-45 86¢ $6 +$51 06-04 00:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 23¢ $5 +$1 06-08 12:39
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +100 $44 0¢ $0 $-44 05-13 19:41