Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.6%

Resolved

143

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 03-03 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 9% -$972

Politics

39% 0% -$1,986

Other

13% 0% -$696

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 04:30 UTC	6	$430	513	513	+0	Down	+$390	02-11 04:44
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	3	$251	8,314	0	+8,314	No	-$251	01-24 04:21
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$221	221,110	0	+221,110	No	-$221	01-28 16:35
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$150	3,990	0	+3,990	No	-$150	02-01 05:01
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$150	9,191	0	+9,191	No	-$150	02-20 13:53
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$150	6,846	0	+6,846	No	-$150	01-25 15:26
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$144	20,571	0	+20,571	No	-$144	01-14 15:30
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$111	22,222	0	+22,222	No	-$111	02-12 12:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:30 UTC	3	$110	143	143	+0	Down	+$90	02-10 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 02:15 UTC	3	$106	2,095	95	+2,001	Down	+$27	02-02 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	3	$102	1,111	110	+1,001	Down	+$42	02-10 22:15
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$100	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$100	02-19 13:36
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	-$100	02-28 17:17
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$100	3,387	0	+3,387	No	-$100	01-29 16:02
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$81	3,064	0	+3,064	No	-$81	01-16 14:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 11:15 UTC	3	$71	5,305	0	+5,305	Up	-$71	02-12 11:28
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$67	9,983	0	+9,983	No	-$67	02-16 15:10
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$57	16,273	0	+16,273	No	-$57	02-11 10:06
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	2	$57	3,741	0	+3,741	No	-$57	02-07 19:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 15:45 UTC	6	$56	44	44	+1	Up	+$16	01-16 15:57
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$52	2,087	2,087	+0	No	-$48	01-27 02:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$50	23,413	0	+23,413	Yes	-$50	03-03 01:48
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	No	-$50	01-28 16:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$50	16,667	0	+16,667	No	-$50	01-28 16:36
will company f be accused of insider trading	1	$50	22,399	0	+22,399	No	-$50	02-24 13:23
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$50	4,175	0	+4,175	No	-$50	02-18 07:01
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	1	$50	2,948	0	+2,948	No	-$50	02-24 11:52
will grayscale be accused of insider trading	1	$50	25,000	0	+25,000	No	-$50	02-24 11:53
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	1	$50	2,080	0	+2,080	No	-$50	01-08 15:31
will binance be accused of insider trading	1	$50	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$50	02-24 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 01:48:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	20,080	0¢	$40	0x4a4e1b…
03-01 06:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x842b5b…
03-01 06:44:41	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,043	1¢	$10	0x9f0b86…
03-01 06:41:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x5ddd85…
02-28 17:17:23	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x2b9341…
02-28 00:42:37	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	625	2¢	$15	0x9faa4f…
02-27 18:09:43	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xb46735…
02-25 02:50:56	will flashbots be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	15,220	0¢	$50	0x7a8a2a…
02-24 13:27:54	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	6,578	1¢	$50	0x449834…
02-24 13:23:50	will company f be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	22,399	0¢	$50	0x9554d2…
02-24 11:54:18	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	2,083	2¢	$50	0x2e161c…
02-24 11:53:34	will grayscale be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0x03e857…
02-24 11:52:58	will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	2,948	2¢	$50	0xd92d3a…
02-22 18:27:38	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3,569	1¢	$50	0xf2754f…
02-20 13:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x36c3a8…
02-20 13:53:32	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	2,941	2¢	$50	0x9cd648…
02-20 09:51:12	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0xf7889a…
02-19 14:57:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8f1d79…
02-19 14:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5d8cdc…
02-19 14:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xc06437…
02-19 13:36:30	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0x9a301f…
02-19 00:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	760	1¢	$8	0xd46bf4…
02-18 16:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb169f8…
02-18 16:06:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x00be2b…
02-18 10:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x45e678…
02-18 10:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x69750b…
02-18 10:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x97f4d1…
02-18 08:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xbfa924…
02-18 08:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x075810…
02-18 08:00:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x579630…
02-18 07:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x7936e1…
02-18 07:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x13fce7…
02-18 07:01:10	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4,175	1¢	$50	0x7af727…
02-18 06:59:58	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x0689ea…
02-18 06:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0xc75006…
02-18 06:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xb98e26…
02-18 06:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x51f419…
02-18 06:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x4d8ce4…
02-18 06:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7d94c7…
02-18 06:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x3b79d5…
02-17 07:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	31¢	$16	0x15130e…
02-17 00:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7f7d78…
02-16 23:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6e0843…
02-16 23:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x14b662…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0xbbdade…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x768028…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x7472a8…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	612	1¢	$6	0x6668a5…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2fa7bf…
02-16 15:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x18ca30…
02-16 15:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	682	3¢	$18	0xa1ba94…
02-16 15:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x942699…
02-16 15:10:39	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	9,983	1¢	$67	0x69c865…
02-12 13:15:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,900	1¢	$19	0x957a85…
02-12 13:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x7bc867…
02-12 12:57:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	918	2¢	$18	0x325c38…
02-12 12:54:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x836796…
02-12 12:54:07	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	22,222	0¢	$111	0x0e02f7…
02-12 11:28:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4,517	1¢	$31	0x2e3c52…
02-12 11:26:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0xfe3ded…
02-12 11:23:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4d43ee…
02-12 09:31:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x66c301…
02-12 08:58:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xb23433…
02-12 07:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	77	10¢	$8	0x95d307…
02-12 07:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xeab124…
02-12 07:27:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x9b45e8…
02-12 07:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xe697da…
02-12 07:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	25¢	$10	0x8cea2a…
02-12 06:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x736488…
02-12 06:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2b1dbe…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xf79636…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0xec3a92…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xe7cabe…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb8d9fb…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x7fe88b…
02-12 06:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x4d3935…
02-12 05:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfb7c92…
02-12 05:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x91958a…
02-12 04:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfea380…
02-12 04:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,225	1¢	$12	0x25daac…
02-11 16:43:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	666	3¢	$20	0x1df7b1…
02-11 16:35:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb7b05c…
02-11 16:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x775491…
02-11 15:59:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe643b8…
02-11 15:53:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb6767e…
02-11 15:42:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa58067…
02-11 14:29:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x61f4df…
02-11 14:27:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,471	2¢	$25	0xeeaa32…
02-11 14:14:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf5be65…
02-11 11:59:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc650b9…
02-11 11:45:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x79550b…
02-11 11:13:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc39d8a…
02-11 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	254	1¢	$3	0xf030e5…
02-11 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	568	1¢	$6	0xa521b1…
02-11 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x96c4be…
02-11 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x1dfd15…
02-11 10:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe3a157…
02-11 10:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd40397…
02-11 10:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x609c70…
02-11 10:58:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	187	1¢	$2	0x2aec83…