Mixed-Sofa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$896

Unrealized P&L

+$345

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,523

lifetime

Volume

$2.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$801

Open exposure

$8.29K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

86% 100% +$748

Other

13% 100% +$122

Sports

1% 100% +$26

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+7,223	$6,944	100¢	$7.2K	+$243	06-27 18:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+1,110	$1,004	100¢	$1.1K	+$102	06-28 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$100.3K	59,656	42,383	+17,273	open	—	04-08 01:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	17	$60.2K	30,431	30,431	+0	open	—	05-24 12:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$54.7K	24,162	31,129	-6,968	open	—	05-25 13:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	17	$52.8K	23,544	29,782	-6,238	open	—	05-23 21:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	90	$49.5K	26,376	25,759	+617	open	—	04-18 17:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	50	$48.8K	24,484	24,484	+0	Yes	+$122	05-04 10:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	45	$46.4K	24,520	22,588	+1,932	open	—	05-21 02:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	101	$45.5K	30,554	17,095	+13,459	open	—	04-16 03:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$43.0K	21,581	21,581	+0	open	—	04-08 01:23
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$38.8K	19,692	19,692	+0	open	—	02-25 03:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	51	$38.4K	26,903	11,805	+15,098	open	—	04-27 02:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	14	$38.0K	19,159	19,159	+0	open	—	02-24 02:52
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	34	$37.8K	19,061	18,862	+199	open	—	03-04 07:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	23	$36.1K	19,274	17,155	+2,119	open	—	04-14 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	17	$35.9K	25,858	10,141	+15,716	No	+$85	05-11 19:02
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$34.0K	17,059	17,059	+0	open	—	02-16 03:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$33.9K	18,902	18,902	+0	open	—	03-02 07:50
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	136	$33.9K	18,083	16,973	+1,110	open	—	06-28 19:04
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	15	$33.3K	16,737	16,737	+0	open	—	02-12 03:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	37	$33.1K	16,504	17,004	-500	open	—	02-01 02:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	84	$32.1K	23,556	9,000	+14,556	open	—	04-25 17:39
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	11	$31.9K	16,010	16,010	+0	open	—	02-09 07:26
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$30.9K	15,496	15,496	+0	open	—	02-05 03:48
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	14	$30.3K	15,311	15,137	+174	open	—	02-03 01:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	40	$30.0K	14,759	15,305	-546	open	—	04-28 17:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	57	$28.9K	28,568	31,314	-2,746	open	—	05-26 01:30
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	19	$28.5K	13,155	15,403	-2,248	open	—	02-04 00:36
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	11	$28.3K	21,522	7,437	+14,085	open	—	02-19 13:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	31	$28.2K	20,156	8,200	+11,956	No	+$140	05-06 02:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	97	$25.9K	27,417	0	+27,417	open	—	05-15 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 19:04:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xd2d56c…
06-28 18:30:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	292	99¢	$289	0x7d8531…
06-28 17:33:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0xe01b76…
06-28 17:21:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9e56a6…
06-28 17:21:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	275	99¢	$272	0xe0d081…
06-28 16:38:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	580	99¢	$575	0x02b48a…
06-28 16:29:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf70056…
06-28 16:10:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbd4b1…
06-28 16:10:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x401ec1…
06-28 13:25:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	711	98¢	$699	0x5aa19e…
06-28 11:45:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x5a8d39…
06-28 09:31:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	220	98¢	$217	0x276429…
06-28 08:07:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	172	98¢	$169	0xa5e9e7…
06-28 08:01:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x4fd03f…
06-28 07:46:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x106838…
06-28 07:45:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	546	98¢	$537	0x0213c0…
06-28 07:03:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	646	98¢	$634	0xedaded…
06-28 02:58:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0x17bf38…
06-28 00:20:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2,543	97¢	$2,477	0x212fc3…
06-28 00:18:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	710	98¢	$693	0x3cee40…
06-27 22:45:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	565	98¢	$553	0xb484bb…
06-27 21:35:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	462	98¢	$452	0x1d9e6c…
06-27 18:47:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4b4b5c…
06-27 18:47:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa1510e…
06-27 18:47:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x51832b…
06-27 18:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0x1ed6ef…
06-27 18:24:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$86	0x35cafa…
06-27 17:31:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	205	97¢	$199	0x524a45…
06-27 17:12:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	586	97¢	$568	0xb6bdcc…
06-27 16:43:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1340db…
06-27 16:43:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7e956b…
06-27 16:43:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x89b913…
06-27 16:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	898	97¢	$870	0xa8fb99…
06-27 14:03:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	407	96¢	$392	0x11030d…
06-27 13:44:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0x18e533…
06-27 13:39:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa8214c…
06-27 13:36:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x8b84d1…
06-27 13:30:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	148	96¢	$143	0x73017d…
06-27 12:47:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x29b289…
06-27 12:45:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	393	96¢	$377	0x1cab67…
06-27 12:44:47	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2,417	97¢	$2,349	0x2d2159…
06-27 12:44:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1,697	97¢	$1,651	0x38b928…
06-27 12:40:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$961	0xd94ebd…
06-27 11:39:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$961	0x498876…
06-27 11:13:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe948b4…
06-27 11:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0x19b969…
06-27 11:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xab0245…
06-27 11:07:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xa603db…
06-27 11:07:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x75c69d…
06-27 11:05:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3d2ac…
06-27 11:02:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d436c…
06-27 11:01:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6ef535…
06-27 10:58:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x98ed38…
06-27 10:25:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,500	96¢	$1,436	0x75a618…
06-27 10:00:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	389	95¢	$372	0xc93be5…
06-27 09:55:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	301	95¢	$288	0xc5e4b5…
06-27 09:55:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$52	0x3bfd73…
06-27 09:50:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0xe4751f…
06-27 09:49:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0xc90620…
06-27 09:49:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x59712a…
06-27 09:48:35	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	5,437	98¢	$5,317	0xb38e76…
06-27 09:48:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x98d403…
06-27 09:47:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x9d2288…
06-24 12:22:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	232	98¢	$227	0x84e13d…
06-24 12:18:14	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x088140…
06-23 21:11:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x5c1a2e…
06-23 20:55:44	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x399f0f…
06-23 20:38:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0x56cbbe…
06-23 20:35:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf343b0…
06-23 20:08:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x532287…
06-23 17:33:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	179	97¢	$173	0xde67f0…
06-23 16:42:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x2c955a…
06-23 16:25:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x373783…
06-23 15:36:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x4424b2…
06-23 15:36:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x28112d…
06-23 15:19:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xcba9fe…
06-23 15:16:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe430d0…
06-23 15:16:59	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x957202…
06-23 15:16:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x373736…
06-23 14:47:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xabcb75…
06-23 14:47:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x0246dd…
06-23 14:29:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09a90b…
06-23 11:15:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	489	97¢	$473	0x411e19…
06-23 10:00:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0xe79b73…
06-23 10:00:20	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x5ef400…
06-23 09:55:02	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x306fe2…
06-23 09:36:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xbe73a0…
06-23 09:01:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb5aeab…
06-23 08:56:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xba0783…
06-23 08:55:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13d8d1…
06-23 08:42:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xd1900e…
06-23 08:34:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8cc6de…
06-23 07:43:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x611479…
06-23 07:42:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc64b68…
06-23 07:42:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x44b482…
06-23 07:41:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x4375a7…
06-23 07:38:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x5860e8…
06-23 07:07:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x269356…
06-23 06:54:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x69b728…
06-23 06:53:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4e97af…