Mixed-Sofa — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$794

Unrealized P&L

+$42

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

109

3,867 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$54.8K

$3.09M lifetime

Avg / trade

$799

Open exposure

$5.35K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Politics

84% 90% -$8,067

Other

14% 92% +$3,563

Sports

1% 75% -$7,267

Crypto

1% 100% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+5,500	$5,306	97¢	$5.3K	+$42	11-06 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$100.3K	59,656	42,383	+17,273	Yes	+$4,619	04-08 01:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	17	$60.2K	30,431	30,431	+0	Yes	+$649	05-24 12:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$54.7K	24,162	31,129	-6,968	Yes	+$518	05-25 13:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	17	$52.8K	23,544	29,782	-6,238	Yes	+$427	05-23 21:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	90	$49.5K	26,376	25,759	+617	No	+$341	04-18 17:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	50	$48.8K	24,484	24,484	+0	Yes	+$122	05-04 10:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	46	$48.4K	24,520	24,588	-68	No	+$446	05-21 02:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	101	$45.5K	30,554	17,095	+13,459	No	-$474	04-16 03:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	137	$45.2K	29,441	16,973	+12,468	No	+$118	07-01 16:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$43.0K	21,581	21,581	+0	Yes	+$43	04-08 01:23
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$38.8K	19,692	19,692	+0	No	+$532	02-25 03:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	51	$38.4K	26,903	11,805	+15,098	No	+$54	04-27 02:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	14	$38.0K	19,159	19,159	+0	No	+$287	02-24 02:52
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	34	$37.8K	19,061	18,862	+199	Yes	+$13	03-04 07:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	23	$36.1K	19,274	17,155	+2,119	No	+$212	04-14 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	17	$35.9K	25,858	10,141	+15,716	No	+$85	05-11 19:02
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$34.0K	17,059	17,059	+0	No	+$51	02-16 03:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$33.9K	18,902	18,902	+0	Yes	-$2,538	03-02 07:50
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	15	$33.3K	16,737	16,737	+0	No	+$100	02-12 03:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	37	$33.1K	16,504	17,004	-500	No	+$79	02-01 02:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	62	$32.4K	32,061	31,314	+746	No	-$26,476	05-26 01:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	84	$32.1K	23,556	9,000	+14,556	No	+$451	04-25 17:39
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	11	$31.9K	16,010	16,010	+0	No	+$102	02-09 07:26
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$30.9K	15,496	15,496	+0	No	+$93	02-05 03:48
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	14	$30.3K	15,311	15,137	+174	No	+$138	02-03 01:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	40	$30.0K	14,759	15,305	-546	No	-$1	04-28 17:01
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	19	$28.5K	13,155	15,403	-2,248	No	+$77	02-04 00:36
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	11	$28.3K	21,522	7,437	+14,085	No	+$349	02-19 13:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	33	$28.2K	20,177	8,200	+11,977	No	+$140	05-06 02:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	38	$27.0K	28,132	0	+28,132	No	+$1,102	05-21 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 07:39:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	97¢	$1,450	0x14a042…
11-04 18:41:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,856	0xfdc124…
11-04 06:48:04	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,425	86¢	$5,501	0xc1916a…
11-04 06:37:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x041f72…
11-04 06:27:33	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0xc2f6d4…
11-04 06:26:37	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc6c4b3…
11-04 06:16:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x797052…
11-04 05:57:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x4ad9c7…
11-04 05:56:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x8ed39f…
11-04 05:50:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	93¢	$339	0xd53a1f…
11-04 05:50:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	635	93¢	$591	0xd501cd…
11-04 05:46:39	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x0c4a8a…
11-04 05:44:43	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x86f242…
11-04 05:44:13	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	948	92¢	$872	0x623452…
11-04 05:44:09	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	92¢	$111	0xa616d6…
11-04 05:40:13	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	92¢	$2,760	0x8ac5ae…
11-04 05:06:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,115	97¢	$6,877	0x3b6e62…
11-04 04:23:25	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	98¢	$111	0x0ba286…
11-04 04:22:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xb865de…
11-04 04:21:45	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x260dfc…
11-04 04:15:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	99¢	$148	0xd9b57f…
11-04 04:15:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9f278c…
11-04 04:15:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	99¢	$246	0x37beff…
11-04 04:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0xdf61d5…
11-04 04:03:31	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x0afffa…
11-04 03:58:07	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x25236c…
11-04 03:54:28	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	499	98¢	$490	0xbfab77…
11-04 03:54:27	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x297209…
11-04 03:51:10	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x63992c…
11-04 03:47:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3440e7…
11-04 03:47:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5d435a…
11-04 03:44:52	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	98¢	$271	0xff68b3…
11-04 03:41:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0x5f8eb0…
11-04 03:40:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,055	98¢	$1,036	0x5e026b…
11-04 03:39:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	98¢	$207	0x6f772b…
11-04 03:39:39	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff6d32…
11-04 03:39:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x6b004a…
11-04 03:37:58	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xe6a33e…
11-04 03:35:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xdea4fe…
11-04 03:35:19	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$119	0xdac060…
11-04 03:35:19	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x16ca11…
11-04 03:35:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	99¢	$249	0x2ffeff…
11-04 03:35:15	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	449	99¢	$443	0xee4071…
11-04 03:35:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf3440f…
11-04 03:35:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8217c8…
11-04 03:35:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	99¢	$543	0x625e69…
11-04 03:35:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x56d395…
11-04 03:35:13	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x2d5547…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfaed7c…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf870a6…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd6f78e…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	99¢	$938	0xd3774a…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xae7483…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xadf996…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9b67e3…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5916e7…
11-04 03:35:12	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x48b420…
11-04 03:33:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xd7acfc…
11-04 03:26:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2155cb…
11-04 03:25:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1e2b6f…
11-04 03:24:46	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	98¢	$344	0xcf5879…
11-04 03:23:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7,023	100¢	$7,009	0x08dc3e…
11-02 13:37:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	675	95¢	$641	0x1159b4…
10-29 15:14:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,992	93¢	$4,642	0x0040be…
10-29 15:14:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0xd2fd1e…
10-29 15:14:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	93¢	$72	0xaf836f…
10-29 15:13:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x0a6e0d…
10-29 15:13:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0xbbb58b…
10-29 15:13:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	93¢	$72	0x71e6c2…
10-29 15:13:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0x2622ee…
10-29 15:13:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	553	93¢	$514	0x246cba…
10-28 10:27:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	420	95¢	$398	0xffd768…
10-27 17:03:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x8d1252…
10-27 17:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x72838a…
10-27 17:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2cce09…
10-27 16:17:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xbeab1f…
10-27 16:13:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0xaf587c…
10-27 16:13:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	799	94¢	$752	0xd581ff…
10-27 13:39:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x0100a7…
10-27 13:39:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	654	94¢	$611	0x9ad430…
10-27 12:11:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	265	93¢	$246	0xa17970…
10-27 11:34:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	322	92¢	$298	0xca8b0e…
10-27 10:50:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$925	0x8551e4…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	199	94¢	$186	0x9fa28a…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6e95f3…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x2f88a7…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0e7cec…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x07588b…
10-27 09:58:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	94¢	$185	0xf3b468…
10-27 09:58:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa8a2bf…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	418	94¢	$391	0xe9d268…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	252	94¢	$236	0xa61f5f…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x65204a…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	399	94¢	$373	0x061bff…
10-27 09:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$131	0xd23267…
10-26 17:35:32	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,378	99¢	$1,371	0xbb3e7f…
10-26 17:06:20	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xed4902…
10-26 17:03:42	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x766a02…
10-26 17:02:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xe2306c…
10-26 17:02:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3a8760…