Mixed-Sofa — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$389

Unrealized P&L

+$92

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,805 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$12.1K

$3.05M lifetime

Avg / trade

$802

Open exposure

$6.64K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Politics

84% 91% -$8,404

Other

14% 92% +$3,563

Sports

1% 75% -$7,267

Crypto

1% 100% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+7,023	$6,545	94¢	$6.6K	+$92	11-02 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	99	$100.3K	59,656	42,383	+17,273	Yes	+$4,619	04-08 01:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	17	$60.2K	30,431	30,431	+0	Yes	+$649	05-24 12:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	18	$54.7K	24,162	31,129	-6,968	Yes	+$518	05-25 13:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	17	$52.8K	23,544	29,782	-6,238	Yes	+$427	05-23 21:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	90	$49.5K	26,376	25,759	+617	No	+$341	04-18 17:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	50	$48.8K	24,484	24,484	+0	Yes	+$122	05-04 10:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	46	$48.4K	24,520	24,588	-68	No	+$446	05-21 02:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	101	$45.5K	30,554	17,095	+13,459	No	-$474	04-16 03:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	137	$45.2K	29,441	16,973	+12,468	No	+$118	07-01 16:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$43.0K	21,581	21,581	+0	Yes	+$43	04-08 01:23
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	5	$38.8K	19,692	19,692	+0	No	+$532	02-25 03:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	51	$38.4K	26,903	11,805	+15,098	No	+$54	04-27 02:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	14	$38.0K	19,159	19,159	+0	No	+$287	02-24 02:52
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	34	$37.8K	19,061	18,862	+199	Yes	+$13	03-04 07:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	23	$36.1K	19,274	17,155	+2,119	No	+$212	04-14 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	17	$35.9K	25,858	10,141	+15,716	No	+$85	05-11 19:02
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$34.0K	17,059	17,059	+0	No	+$51	02-16 03:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	14	$33.9K	18,902	18,902	+0	Yes	-$2,538	03-02 07:50
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	15	$33.3K	16,737	16,737	+0	No	+$100	02-12 03:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	37	$33.1K	16,504	17,004	-500	No	+$79	02-01 02:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	62	$32.4K	32,061	31,314	+746	No	-$26,476	05-26 01:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	84	$32.1K	23,556	9,000	+14,556	No	+$451	04-25 17:39
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	11	$31.9K	16,010	16,010	+0	No	+$102	02-09 07:26
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$30.9K	15,496	15,496	+0	No	+$93	02-05 03:48
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	14	$30.3K	15,311	15,137	+174	No	+$138	02-03 01:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	40	$30.0K	14,759	15,305	-546	No	-$1	04-28 17:01
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	19	$28.5K	13,155	15,403	-2,248	No	+$77	02-04 00:36
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	11	$28.3K	21,522	7,437	+14,085	No	+$349	02-19 13:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	33	$28.2K	20,177	8,200	+11,977	No	+$140	05-06 02:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	38	$27.0K	28,132	0	+28,132	No	+$1,102	05-21 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:37:37	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	675	95¢	$641	0x1159b4…
10-29 15:14:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4,992	93¢	$4,642	0x0040be…
10-29 15:14:08	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0xd2fd1e…
10-29 15:14:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	93¢	$72	0xaf836f…
10-29 15:13:56	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x0a6e0d…
10-29 15:13:50	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	117	93¢	$109	0xbbb58b…
10-29 15:13:44	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	78	93¢	$72	0x71e6c2…
10-29 15:13:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	258	93¢	$240	0x2622ee…
10-29 15:13:34	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	553	93¢	$514	0x246cba…
10-28 10:27:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	420	95¢	$398	0xffd768…
10-27 17:03:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x8d1252…
10-27 17:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x72838a…
10-27 17:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2cce09…
10-27 16:17:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xbeab1f…
10-27 16:13:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	94¢	$189	0xaf587c…
10-27 16:13:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	799	94¢	$752	0xd581ff…
10-27 13:39:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x0100a7…
10-27 13:39:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	654	94¢	$611	0x9ad430…
10-27 12:11:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	265	93¢	$246	0xa17970…
10-27 11:34:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	322	92¢	$298	0xca8b0e…
10-27 10:50:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$925	0x8551e4…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	199	94¢	$186	0x9fa28a…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6e95f3…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x2f88a7…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0e7cec…
10-27 09:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x07588b…
10-27 09:58:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	94¢	$185	0xf3b468…
10-27 09:58:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa8a2bf…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	418	94¢	$391	0xe9d268…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	252	94¢	$236	0xa61f5f…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x65204a…
10-27 09:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	399	94¢	$373	0x061bff…
10-27 09:58:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$131	0xd23267…
10-26 17:35:32	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,378	99¢	$1,371	0xbb3e7f…
10-26 17:06:20	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xed4902…
10-26 17:03:42	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x766a02…
10-26 17:02:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xe2306c…
10-26 17:02:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3a8760…
10-26 17:01:21	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x09d623…
10-26 16:47:21	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	356	98¢	$350	0x58572a…
10-26 16:44:44	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x14f14f…
10-24 18:29:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,015	99¢	$1,001	0x98a496…
10-23 15:39:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	467	98¢	$459	0x0fb21c…
10-23 15:38:54	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfac763…
10-23 15:28:59	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x9ad951…
10-23 15:28:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xa00e29…
10-23 04:23:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0x7e5908…
10-07 03:32:41	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3,164	100¢	$3,148	0xfb09bb…
07-17 14:51:51	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x50776a…
07-07 23:11:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8,199	0¢	$8	0x147ace…
07-07 18:10:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	107	96¢	$103	0x4a4158…
07-07 17:47:22	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x2ea1d2…
07-07 17:45:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,373	95¢	$2,254	0xec4ce3…
07-07 17:10:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	785	90¢	$707	0x79f77f…
07-07 17:09:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd22d78…
07-07 17:09:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xeb4dfd…
07-07 17:08:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x12a42d…
07-07 17:08:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x38445e…
07-07 17:08:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	189	90¢	$170	0x0c8fbf…
07-07 17:07:47	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4a8ab4…
07-07 17:01:05	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x944b25…
07-07 16:59:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,509	88¢	$2,208	0x8842ff…
07-07 15:54:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,010	84¢	$1,688	0xf33cea…
07-07 11:32:08	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x39d26e…
07-07 09:40:10	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7bf287…
07-06 23:00:40	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xec524f…
07-06 22:59:44	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x5dc8ee…
07-06 22:58:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0xb33d4e…
07-06 22:58:35	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0xd31883…
07-06 22:58:11	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	1,843	100¢	$1,836	0x9dc1f1…
07-06 22:55:47	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	2,228	100¢	$2,220	0xb79bd6…
07-06 22:55:31	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	658	100¢	$655	0x839fdd…
07-06 22:54:59	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x8417f4…
07-06 22:54:44	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x5dce0a…
07-06 22:53:13	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	308	100¢	$306	0xcc844f…
07-06 22:53:04	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x7f6a71…
07-06 22:50:23	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x981d8b…
07-06 22:49:34	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	5,496	100¢	$5,485	0x8f6c8b…
07-06 03:45:59	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	7,213	100¢	$7,185	0x6e4851…
07-05 16:47:28	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xc1c31f…
07-05 10:37:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	7,942	92¢	$7,310	0x07fd29…
07-04 14:20:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x2658eb…
07-04 14:20:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	99	98¢	$98	0x402783…
07-04 14:20:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x1adb14…
07-04 14:19:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	393	98¢	$386	0x42908a…
07-04 13:31:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0x526772…
07-04 09:21:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	410	98¢	$403	0x817837…
07-04 04:18:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	4,500	98¢	$4,414	0x73d023…
07-04 04:17:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	1,891	98¢	$1,853	0x31f7f9…
07-03 17:56:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	12,725	61¢	$7,791	0x4050d0…
07-03 10:21:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	2,098	99¢	$2,083	0x10c417…
07-03 09:15:43	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	2,093	99¢	$2,064	0xb4848d…
07-03 09:15:23	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbc0292…
07-02 16:41:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,052	99¢	$1,043	0x2baecb…
07-02 15:26:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,484	0x24eac7…
07-02 14:52:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,951	99¢	$1,931	0x965c71…
07-02 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,479	0x87f70c…
07-02 10:38:50	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0467b5…
07-02 10:25:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	184	99¢	$182	0x7aea9c…
07-02 10:15:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf93449…