0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved

Trades

994

lifetime

Volume

$4.09M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.12K

Open exposure

$11.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-29 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-190

Politics

41% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$184

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+12,234	$11,549	95¢	$11.6K	+$18	05-28 04:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$556.8K	557,310	0	+557,310	open	—	04-22 06:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	90	$530.2K	624,440	740	+623,700	open	—	03-08 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$367.2K	371,976	0	+371,976	open	—	04-28 21:53
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$313.7K	319,213	0	+319,213	open	—	02-06 19:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$197.0K	104,062	104,062	+0	open	—	03-06 09:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$195.8K	215,224	0	+215,224	open	—	01-05 09:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$194.4K	195,000	0	+195,000	open	—	04-30 21:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$143.8K	83,376	83,376	+0	open	—	04-09 14:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	78	$142.3K	168,097	0	+168,097	open	—	04-07 10:09
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$122.9K	125,181	0	+125,181	open	—	02-16 11:12
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$105.3K	110,397	0	+110,397	open	—	01-08 17:41
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	7	$104.4K	117,313	0	+117,313	open	—	01-12 18:08
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	198	$95.5K	55,074	55,074	+0	open	—	04-11 12:53
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$77.6K	80,000	0	+80,000	open	—	02-10 20:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$59.1K	60,998	0	+60,998	open	—	05-26 17:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	20	$57.6K	31,526	31,526	+0	open	—	03-03 20:05
tur ant tra 2026 01 30 ant	88	$56.7K	43,761	43,760	+0	open	—	01-30 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$54.6K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	05-29 09:04
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$47.7K	48,955	0	+48,955	open	—	02-14 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$46.1K	24,647	24,647	-0	open	—	05-07 13:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$40.0K	40,425	0	+40,425	open	—	04-21 14:45
wta sabalen rybakin 2026 01 31	32	$36.3K	36,370	36,370	+0	open	—	01-31 09:48
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	6	$32.4K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	02-01 11:46
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$29.2K	29,655	0	+29,655	open	—	02-10 20:24
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$28.4K	30,321	0	+30,321	open	—	04-28 10:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$25.6K	14,442	14,442	+0	open	—	05-29 13:32
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	15	$24.2K	30,347	0	+30,347	open	—	04-06 12:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	19	$23.8K	15,560	9,955	+5,605	open	—	05-29 14:36
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	9	$22.8K	12,068	12,068	+0	open	—	02-11 09:21
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	18	$22.0K	16,114	16,114	+0	open	—	03-08 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 14:36:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,267	91¢	$1,153	0x1c520f…
05-29 14:34:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x29ba21…
05-29 14:33:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xd0dd87…
05-29 14:33:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x4997d1…
05-29 14:33:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	19	91¢	$18	0x6728b9…
05-29 14:32:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	442	91¢	$403	0x640749…
05-29 14:32:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,689	91¢	$1,537	0x398c13…
05-29 13:40:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	91¢	$910	0x9ba5c1…
05-29 13:40:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	594	91¢	$541	0x9f80fa…
05-29 13:34:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x951f79…
05-29 13:34:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x68cd1d…
05-29 13:34:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,565	91¢	$1,424	0x7f2e83…
05-29 13:32:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	8,432	86¢	$7,293	0x8bde74…
05-29 13:32:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	187	91¢	$170	0x19ce9c…
05-29 13:32:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x1e38c9…
05-29 13:31:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x39f08e…
05-29 11:45:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe4734f…
05-29 09:09:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$173	0x47f8fb…
05-29 09:08:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xd5dc18…
05-29 09:06:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xabe7e9…
05-29 09:06:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,998	91¢	$2,740	0xf985e9…
05-29 09:05:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5,797	87¢	$5,017	0xa7289e…
05-29 09:05:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0c4e6a…
05-29 09:04:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30,000	90¢	$27,000	0x5d7d68…
05-28 04:47:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	12,234	94¢	$11,549	0x1b2398…
05-28 04:45:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30,000	92¢	$27,600	0x77d4a8…
05-28 04:43:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	14,442	91¢	$13,147	0xf4f8c7…
05-28 04:42:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15,560	95¢	$14,732	0x1a9696…
05-26 17:22:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	48,000	97¢	$46,560	0x284bb5…
05-26 17:21:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12,998	97¢	$12,567	0x6f9e79…
05-16 12:26:01	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,778	94¢	$1,672	0xe9ec78…
05-16 12:15:01	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	94¢	$80	0xeb58d8…
05-16 12:12:20	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	94¢	$200	0xff3042…
05-16 12:04:56	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x6702da…
05-16 12:03:35	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x71e442…
05-16 11:47:52	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	94¢	$100	0x0e9cb8…
05-16 11:47:21	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x5b7491…
05-16 11:37:48	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	94¢	$433	0xe1bb90…
05-10 14:42:09	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x202c93…
05-10 14:41:59	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5,134	95¢	$4,877	0x5edbe2…
05-07 18:26:14	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x5bd79f…
05-07 15:32:57	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5,987	90¢	$5,401	0x8622f6…
05-07 13:26:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	23,089	92¢	$21,253	0xda2855…
05-07 13:26:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,558	93¢	$1,449	0xdbba3b…
05-06 23:51:08	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0xe4512c…
05-06 20:39:24	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x76e132…
05-06 20:39:13	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	3,669	95¢	$3,486	0x5913dd…
05-06 20:32:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$2	0x36cf6e…
05-06 13:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	228	95¢	$217	0xb86888…
05-06 13:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	359	95¢	$341	0x7bcea7…
05-06 13:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	24,045	95¢	$22,802	0xb97665…
05-06 13:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x566448…
05-06 13:15:22	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x0a77c9…
05-06 02:21:54	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbc0a2b…
05-04 16:22:56	Will Switzerland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	342	97¢	$332	0x466005…
05-04 16:22:38	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xf69d98…
05-04 16:22:32	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,736	81¢	$2,217	0x0314be…
05-04 16:21:46	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	92¢	$1,104	0x3f2638…
05-03 16:05:24	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x33af09…
05-03 07:37:50	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	113	90¢	$101	0x74a74b…
05-03 07:37:28	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	459	90¢	$413	0x8eaf83…
05-03 07:29:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,396	94¢	$4,122	0x746bd5…
04-30 21:23:58	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	195,000	100¢	$194,415	0xe7a9ec…
04-30 18:31:28	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,466	100¢	$1,463	0x0cdf46…
04-30 18:31:04	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,221	100¢	$1,217	0x4b4026…
04-30 18:29:46	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	BUY	16,392	100¢	$16,364	0xe69307…
04-30 18:29:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,592	92¢	$1,469	0xfaf763…
04-29 13:45:04	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,729	96¢	$4,539	0x63bfc2…
04-29 08:31:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4,278	95¢	$4,082	0xc02520…
04-29 08:31:20	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	485	94¢	$456	0x7ae6e8…
04-28 21:53:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	299,257	100¢	$298,060	0x2a4c32…
04-28 10:46:56	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,657	89¢	$1,474	0x987037…
04-25 13:05:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30,973	99¢	$30,528	0x2dc947…
04-24 19:35:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16,473	98¢	$16,075	0x9a3a33…
04-24 19:34:22	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	5,545	91¢	$5,046	0x7ae044…
04-24 19:34:20	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	1,360	91¢	$1,238	0xc2b86f…
04-24 19:34:20	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	1,978	91¢	$1,800	0x857a56…
04-24 19:34:18	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	142	91¢	$129	0xd1d463…
04-24 19:34:18	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xad7ddc…
04-24 19:34:18	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	4,700	91¢	$4,277	0x80a944…
04-24 19:34:16	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	307	91¢	$279	0x391197…
04-24 19:34:02	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x9c8816…
04-24 19:33:56	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x0e9e3a…
04-24 19:33:52	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x97f32a…
04-24 19:33:48	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x2f2512…
04-24 19:33:44	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x1b4b2b…
04-24 19:33:42	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xe55e60…
04-24 19:33:38	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 bet	No	BUY	1,364	91¢	$1,241	0xb6a111…
04-22 06:40:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	557,310	100¢	$556,753	0x351d29…
04-22 06:38:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x97db24…
04-22 06:37:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	10,424	88¢	$9,173	0xbe0338…
04-22 06:36:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x95a900…
04-22 06:36:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14,579	99¢	$14,433	0xf5673e…
04-22 06:34:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	25,272	89¢	$22,492	0xc2e600…
04-21 14:45:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	40,425	99¢	$39,994	0x943990…
04-11 12:53:01	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	21,110	86¢	$18,154	0x35332d…
04-11 10:06:21	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x35ad13…
04-11 09:17:11	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xb00e2f…
04-11 09:10:03	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x27ca0c…
04-11 09:10:03	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	137	86¢	$118	0x13faed…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	63	$213.8K	17,311	06-01 02:10
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	62	$634.8K	10,816	06-01 00:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	61	$140.9K	1,198	05-30 21:18
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	60	$18.2M	27,779	06-04 03:36
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	56	$5.80K	1,070	05-30 10:12
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	54	$159.1K	16,647	05-29 23:05
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	54	$9.14K	3,848	05-29 04:04
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	49	$36.0K	3,145	05-29 22:06