0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,983

lifetime

Volume

$5.55M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.80K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-08 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-190

Politics

42% — —

Sports

10% 100% +$184

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$556.8K	557,310	0	+557,310	open	—	04-22 06:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	90	$530.2K	624,440	740	+623,700	open	—	03-08 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$367.2K	371,976	0	+371,976	open	—	04-28 21:53
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	62	$327.4K	360,332	0	+360,332	open	—	07-21 06:46
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$313.7K	319,213	0	+319,213	open	—	02-06 19:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	84	$200.2K	12,234	196,119	-183,884	open	—	06-16 09:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$197.0K	104,062	104,062	+0	open	—	03-06 09:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$195.8K	215,224	0	+215,224	open	—	01-05 09:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$194.4K	195,000	0	+195,000	open	—	04-30 21:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$143.8K	83,376	83,376	+0	open	—	04-09 14:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	78	$142.3K	168,097	0	+168,097	open	—	04-07 10:09
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$122.9K	125,181	0	+125,181	open	—	02-16 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$108.7K	110,525	0	+110,525	open	—	06-28 12:52
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$105.3K	110,397	0	+110,397	open	—	01-08 17:41
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	7	$104.4K	117,313	0	+117,313	open	—	01-12 18:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	176	$101.2K	0	111,212	-111,212	open	—	07-02 02:45
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	34	$98.2K	96,363	15,000	+81,363	open	—	07-23 00:21
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	198	$95.5K	55,074	55,074	+0	open	—	04-11 12:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$86.4K	90,000	0	+90,000	open	—	06-19 23:31
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$77.6K	80,000	0	+80,000	open	—	02-10 20:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$59.1K	60,998	0	+60,998	open	—	05-26 17:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	20	$57.6K	31,526	31,526	+0	open	—	03-03 20:05
tur ant tra 2026 01 30 ant	88	$56.7K	43,761	43,760	+0	open	—	01-30 17:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$54.6K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	05-29 09:04
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$47.7K	48,955	0	+48,955	open	—	02-14 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$46.1K	24,647	24,647	-0	open	—	05-07 13:26
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	48	$43.3K	24,632	24,632	+0	open	—	07-14 20:37
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	57	$41.0K	24,374	24,374	+0	open	—	07-07 13:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$40.0K	40,425	0	+40,425	open	—	04-21 14:45
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	48	$39.2K	45,056	0	+45,056	open	—	08-08 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 22:28:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x397c2e…
08-08 21:17:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x926e85…
08-08 19:16:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1,627	98¢	$1,595	0xe2dcf6…
08-08 19:16:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1,826	98¢	$1,790	0x438242…
08-08 19:09:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	623	98¢	$611	0x99f887…
08-08 13:53:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,470	0x71c1b9…
08-08 09:56:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x4dd8a5…
08-08 08:01:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xa7c2b4…
08-08 07:30:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	5,736	98¢	$5,621	0xf10e49…
08-07 17:56:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	392	76¢	$298	0x1acc67…
08-07 17:55:12	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x05e2d9…
08-07 14:31:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x2b2357…
08-07 13:55:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc6f267…
08-07 13:55:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7f012f…
08-07 13:55:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x77a27d…
08-07 13:55:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6b4140…
08-07 12:21:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x7644cd…
08-07 11:29:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xa62872…
08-07 09:30:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9dcea1…
08-07 09:22:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	2,626	98¢	$2,573	0xad440c…
08-05 15:32:51	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x949bd3…
08-05 12:16:12	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2fac55…
08-05 11:03:54	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x3dbe76…
08-05 10:02:18	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xf96664…
08-05 10:02:18	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xba8e9c…
08-05 02:10:15	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xde5312…
08-04 22:35:35	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x17f5df…
08-04 21:04:20	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3d4002…
08-04 20:29:00	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc2fc75…
08-04 20:01:18	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x02933d…
08-04 18:22:17	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x2fcf80…
08-04 17:18:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	1,799	96¢	$1,726	0xd2b779…
08-02 23:17:29	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x4fa08e…
08-02 23:17:29	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x3d00cb…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf4df9b…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x9d66b4…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x639d08…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	530	94¢	$499	0x3820cb…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0x306259…
08-02 23:17:27	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x293ff0…
08-02 23:17:26	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0x1b00c3…
08-02 22:28:44	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x3e858c…
08-02 22:23:54	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	202	94¢	$190	0xa1634f…
08-02 21:26:20	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	329	94¢	$309	0x0163ba…
08-02 15:00:45	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x2f42e7…
08-02 15:00:45	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	392	65¢	$255	0x189c87…
08-02 14:55:35	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	812	94¢	$763	0x1272bd…
07-30 08:55:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2,651	54¢	$1,432	0x0948e6…
07-30 08:53:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	177	54¢	$96	0x9995e0…
07-30 08:52:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x07be16…
07-30 08:33:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x9ef9b2…
07-30 01:04:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xb786d8…
07-30 00:58:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xfaa72e…
07-30 00:58:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x03cc85…
07-30 00:58:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xb01f2f…
07-30 00:58:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x1cb559…
07-30 00:57:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xcc586d…
07-30 00:57:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x5feb9c…
07-30 00:57:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9ca41a…
07-30 00:57:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9b38aa…
07-30 00:57:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6ce3b1…
07-30 00:57:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x00325d…
07-30 00:56:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0x505a05…
07-30 00:56:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	179	54¢	$96	0xec61aa…
07-30 00:56:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x5f6497…
07-30 00:56:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xf62b19…
07-30 00:56:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x3ae5d7…
07-30 00:56:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xdd7bcb…
07-29 23:58:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x204adb…
07-29 22:04:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	45	54¢	$24	0xb7adf6…
07-29 21:16:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0xb6df75…
07-29 19:45:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x5c426a…
07-29 13:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	248	22¢	$55	0xc95899…
07-29 13:30:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	472	54¢	$255	0xe7708c…
07-29 13:29:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2,252	22¢	$495	0xab73ef…
07-27 10:54:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,500	55¢	$1,375	0xdadc28…
07-27 10:54:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	3,627	70¢	$2,525	0xda3be5…
07-23 00:21:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,908	89¢	$1,698	0x4477f6…
07-22 22:51:48	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x010a0e…
07-22 21:32:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xa427c6…
07-22 20:03:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	909	89¢	$809	0x7c7abe…
07-22 20:00:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,818	89¢	$1,618	0xc1a864…
07-22 19:21:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	455	89¢	$405	0x225832…
07-22 19:05:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x7f0101…
07-22 18:25:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xdb161d…
07-22 18:24:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xd96bdc…
07-22 17:48:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,818	89¢	$1,618	0x3086e0…
07-22 17:46:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x820ba1…
07-22 17:43:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xe69f6d…
07-22 17:23:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	630	89¢	$561	0x80d422…
07-22 16:55:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xca822e…
07-22 16:40:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x411310…
07-22 16:16:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,600	89¢	$1,424	0xa9d77f…
07-22 16:12:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1,810	89¢	$1,611	0x1cc742…
07-22 15:51:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xb23849…
07-22 15:22:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x517139…
07-22 14:45:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x88f573…
07-22 13:53:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	149	83¢	$124	0x8245a1…
07-22 13:41:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x74b2b1…
07-22 13:34:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	2,727	89¢	$2,427	0xac8a6c…