Thin-Tiara — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,906

lifetime

Volume

$6.90M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-20 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

56% 79% $-2,254

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$51

Sports

2% 100% +$32

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$122.7K	70,694	54,543	+16,151	open	—	05-30 06:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$84.8K	29,901	55,052	-25,151	open	—	01-28 21:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$70.6K	39,645	31,856	+7,789	open	—	04-01 13:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$67.1K	59,504	10,200	+49,304	open	—	05-31 13:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	22	$60.8K	61,020	0	+61,020	open	—	02-07 02:56
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	8	$60.0K	60,135	0	+60,135	open	—	02-06 04:24
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$58.2K	58,445	0	+58,445	open	—	01-19 02:37
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	3	$58.0K	58,154	0	+58,154	open	—	01-18 02:13
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	7	$57.8K	58,030	0	+58,030	open	—	02-14 03:29
new stranger things episode released by january 14 741	1	$57.6K	57,613	0	+57,613	open	—	01-14 11:10
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	14	$57.5K	33,903	23,903	+10,000	open	—	02-10 04:31
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$57.0K	57,277	0	+57,277	open	—	01-08 01:54
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$56.9K	57,023	0	+57,023	open	—	01-03 02:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$50.5K	50,626	42	+50,584	open	—	06-03 07:07
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$50.0K	50,222	0	+50,222	open	—	02-05 02:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	03-18 06:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$49.5K	51,008	0	+51,008	open	—	02-01 02:30
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$48.0K	48,173	0	+48,173	open	—	01-30 02:17
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	15	$45.9K	46,000	0	+46,000	open	—	02-22 04:13
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	24	$45.7K	45,816	0	+45,816	open	—	02-20 04:23
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	6	$45.0K	45,186	0	+45,186	open	—	02-02 19:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$42.8K	43,366	0	+43,366	open	—	05-27 03:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	19	$41.3K	41,698	1,939	+39,759	open	—	07-08 23:22
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	5	$41.0K	41,193	0	+41,193	open	—	02-02 01:25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$40.1K	40,252	0	+40,252	open	—	05-12 15:23
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	19	$37.8K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	02-09 02:00
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	6	$37.7K	39,249	1,956	+37,293	open	—	01-09 16:56
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	9	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	02-19 03:22
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$34.0K	17,034	17,034	+0	open	—	01-31 16:46
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	13	$33.5K	33,633	0	+33,633	open	—	02-15 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:17:16	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	817	97¢	$796	0x0c8d30…
07-20 17:40:19	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc8c6f8…
07-20 17:40:00	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	189	95¢	$180	0xded3db…
07-20 02:11:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	697	99¢	$690	0xce50c9…
07-19 22:02:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x412af1…
07-19 22:02:15	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2,985	100¢	$2,981	0xe995f2…
07-19 22:00:12	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	3,453	100¢	$3,443	0x37b9e3…
07-19 21:52:34	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	6,501	100¢	$6,494	0x9af16c…
07-19 21:36:45	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	2,167	100¢	$2,164	0xdc66e4…
07-19 21:17:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	898	99¢	$891	0xd888ac…
07-19 21:01:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1,843	100¢	$1,838	0x061867…
07-19 19:56:01	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	477	98¢	$468	0x4ce75b…
07-19 19:46:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xaa2ccc…
07-19 19:28:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	898	100¢	$893	0x086125…
07-19 19:16:34	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	1,200	97¢	$1,165	0x4e3955…
07-19 19:16:28	will lionel messi score 11 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232523891	No	BUY	338	97¢	$327	0x60e574…
07-18 10:20:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd67c7f…
07-18 03:44:46	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	1,558	100¢	$1,556	0x9c46d9…
07-15 21:03:55	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x7478e1…
07-15 21:03:55	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4,947	100¢	$4,942	0x34d32f…
07-15 21:03:52	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x50052c…
07-15 21:03:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,284	100¢	$1,283	0x44506a…
07-15 17:46:20	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	800	97¢	$779	0x02a0eb…
07-15 17:46:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	758	97¢	$737	0x84473f…
07-14 22:39:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	469	99¢	$465	0xfb2f64…
07-14 20:46:28	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	635	98¢	$622	0xcf806b…
07-13 15:32:52	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	7,842	100¢	$7,834	0x8b89ed…
07-13 15:32:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,157	0x40c0fa…
07-13 15:32:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9a4c49…
07-13 15:08:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x81fdf3…
07-13 15:05:01	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xf00d07…
07-13 15:03:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb63a6…
07-13 15:02:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0xcffce2…
07-13 15:02:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	7,940	100¢	$7,932	0x1ed95e…
07-13 15:02:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x9370ed…
07-13 15:00:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x21eb95…
07-13 14:49:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x579bdd…
07-13 14:45:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xba3960…
07-13 14:45:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf22cb…
07-13 14:44:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1a2da1…
07-13 14:43:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e16a3…
07-12 19:56:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	469	95¢	$444	0xd46429…
07-12 08:17:50	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	646	97¢	$629	0xc853a0…
07-11 07:26:25	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd60097…
07-10 21:40:16	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb1f67…
07-10 21:35:17	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57a81d…
07-10 21:33:41	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x3ebfd8…
07-10 21:31:50	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,339	100¢	$1,337	0xefaa52…
07-10 21:22:16	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xa4acf5…
07-10 21:22:13	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf6fad9…
07-10 21:19:53	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x73c6d0…
07-10 21:12:02	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa350af…
07-10 21:05:23	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0x4ef7c6…
07-10 21:03:50	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc4de3a…
07-10 21:02:38	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabae22…
07-10 21:02:25	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1f0d8…
07-10 21:01:56	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeab780…
07-10 20:54:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x9d9cae…
07-10 10:29:11	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game3	LYON	BUY	161	98¢	$158	0xd7da90…
07-10 10:29:11	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game3	LYON	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x96ab2c…
07-10 10:29:10	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game3	LYON	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x8df377…
07-10 09:39:55	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	LYON	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0a56c2…
07-10 08:46:22	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10 game1	LYON	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x26dade…
07-09 21:41:49	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	4,400	98¢	$4,334	0xd1b2db…
07-09 21:41:07	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	4,326	99¢	$4,295	0x10c54a…
07-09 21:35:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xb82c94…
07-09 21:30:44	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,850	100¢	$1,841	0xe48aeb…
07-09 16:29:58	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x47e69e…
07-09 13:42:32	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3ff4f5…
07-09 13:32:32	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7a50b9…
07-09 13:30:29	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x680e9b…
07-09 13:02:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	2,815	100¢	$2,804	0xb01c53…
07-09 12:21:29	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x23ab5a…
07-09 11:43:35	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8e9daf…
07-09 10:38:26	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9a585f…
07-09 10:13:20	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game3	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x5b1981…
07-09 09:32:37	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x20cbab…
07-09 09:23:04	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x6b4d8b…
07-09 06:50:52	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x28ed2a…
07-09 02:05:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	2,471	100¢	$2,469	0x5584f4…
07-08 23:22:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9,300	100¢	$9,291	0x39226f…
07-08 18:30:59	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	1,653	100¢	$1,649	0xbd5898…
07-08 18:10:34	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	3,347	100¢	$3,341	0x0a1eb6…
07-08 18:06:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xe2ba2d…
07-08 18:01:14	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	SELL	309	0¢	$0	0x50c3ec…
07-08 18:01:04	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	3,300	100¢	$3,296	0xe16601…
07-08 14:46:44	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	58	21¢	$13	0x1c95a4…
07-08 14:05:20	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x35a03d…
07-08 13:22:47	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	197	22¢	$42	0x275a47…
07-08 13:18:11	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	SELL	66	13¢	$8	0xe12b37…
07-08 11:50:44	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	No	BUY	66	81¢	$53	0xe0da2a…
07-08 11:36:52	grok 4pt4 released by july 10	Yes	BUY	362	95¢	$342	0xf8a325…
07-08 06:28:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3,212	99¢	$3,170	0x5ef5f7…
07-08 05:20:46	lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	LYON	BUY	112	96¢	$108	0x7c4681…
07-08 05:12:02	lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	LYON	BUY	116	93¢	$108	0x90afd8…
07-08 05:11:59	lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	LYON	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xecfd06…
07-08 05:11:58	lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	LYON	BUY	125	93¢	$116	0xba04e6…
07-08 05:11:55	lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game3	LYON	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd876db…
07-08 02:45:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x5dd497…
07-08 02:26:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x160193…