Thin-Tiara — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,663

lifetime

Volume

$6.61M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

58% 79% $-2,254

Politics

38% — —

Crypto

4% 100% +$51

Sports

0% 100% +$32

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$122.7K	70,694	54,543	+16,151	open	—	05-30 06:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$84.8K	29,901	55,052	-25,151	open	—	01-28 21:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$70.6K	39,645	31,856	+7,789	open	—	04-01 13:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$67.1K	59,504	10,200	+49,304	open	—	05-31 13:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	22	$60.8K	61,020	0	+61,020	open	—	02-07 02:56
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	8	$60.0K	60,135	0	+60,135	open	—	02-06 04:24
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	3	$58.2K	58,445	0	+58,445	open	—	01-19 02:37
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	3	$58.0K	58,154	0	+58,154	open	—	01-18 02:13
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	7	$57.8K	58,030	0	+58,030	open	—	02-14 03:29
new stranger things episode released by january 14 741	1	$57.6K	57,613	0	+57,613	open	—	01-14 11:10
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	14	$57.5K	33,903	23,903	+10,000	open	—	02-10 04:31
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$57.0K	57,277	0	+57,277	open	—	01-08 01:54
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$56.9K	57,023	0	+57,023	open	—	01-03 02:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$50.5K	50,626	42	+50,584	open	—	06-03 07:07
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$50.0K	50,222	0	+50,222	open	—	02-05 02:15
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	03-18 06:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$49.5K	51,008	0	+51,008	open	—	02-01 02:30
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$48.0K	48,173	0	+48,173	open	—	01-30 02:17
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	15	$45.9K	46,000	0	+46,000	open	—	02-22 04:13
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	24	$45.7K	45,816	0	+45,816	open	—	02-20 04:23
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	6	$45.0K	45,186	0	+45,186	open	—	02-02 19:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$42.8K	43,366	0	+43,366	open	—	05-27 03:27
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	5	$41.0K	41,193	0	+41,193	open	—	02-02 01:25
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$40.1K	40,252	0	+40,252	open	—	05-12 15:23
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	19	$37.8K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	02-09 02:00
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	6	$37.7K	39,249	1,956	+37,293	open	—	01-09 16:56
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	9	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	02-19 03:22
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$34.0K	17,034	17,034	+0	open	—	01-31 16:46
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	13	$33.5K	33,633	0	+33,633	open	—	02-15 02:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$32.9K	32,200	1,200	+31,000	open	—	06-17 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:32:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x247083…
07-01 03:30:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x058d69…
07-01 03:17:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	362	98¢	$355	0x4f0deb…
07-01 02:30:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xd607be…
07-01 02:30:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xedcde7…
07-01 02:21:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0xdf14e7…
07-01 02:17:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	168	98¢	$165	0x46fe64…
07-01 02:16:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	2,278	100¢	$2,275	0x25fe6e…
06-30 18:40:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	6,364	100¢	$6,351	0xba7690…
06-30 16:51:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	746	100¢	$744	0xd5617b…
06-30 13:14:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	548	97¢	$531	0x508ee7…
06-30 10:07:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	400	96¢	$383	0x5a7fcc…
06-30 01:55:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	4,998	100¢	$4,978	0x199744…
06-30 01:55:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	94	69¢	$65	0x858fbc…
06-30 01:53:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	4,038	100¢	$4,025	0xcff334…
06-29 18:58:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x21b43e…
06-29 18:57:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x335c9e…
06-29 18:46:31	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x308014…
06-29 17:45:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x815ba7…
06-29 17:44:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	310	99¢	$306	0xcedd4d…
06-29 15:15:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x8eff40…
06-29 09:05:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	307	99¢	$304	0x54adcd…
06-28 21:41:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	1,729	98¢	$1,694	0x70ce45…
06-28 19:10:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	1,075	94¢	$1,010	0x498105…
06-28 15:37:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$965	0x109cb1…
06-28 10:56:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9bedad…
06-28 10:54:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40a2bc…
06-28 10:53:02	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd145de…
06-28 10:48:52	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9ffdc…
06-28 10:48:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,900	100¢	$7,884	0x9c4a72…
06-28 10:46:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ff67…
06-28 10:44:29	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcabace…
06-28 10:42:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc02281…
06-28 10:40:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x164fd0…
06-28 10:38:08	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x360d71…
06-28 10:33:59	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4579a5…
06-28 10:33:01	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaae33c…
06-28 10:29:04	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb590e8…
06-28 10:26:53	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76e029…
06-28 10:23:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98050d…
06-28 10:21:13	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82c317…
06-28 10:21:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x3aad99…
06-28 10:18:17	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x204629…
06-28 10:14:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,995	100¢	$1,985	0x0c26aa…
06-28 09:47:25	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x8dd7cc…
06-28 09:37:23	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,198	0x7f6f0b…
06-28 09:29:47	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa79f56…
06-28 09:29:31	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xb1db45…
06-28 09:29:11	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x7d3523…
06-28 09:29:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xea9e06…
06-28 09:28:56	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xd8b74c…
06-28 08:03:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	126	97¢	$123	0x211822…
06-28 07:20:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	No	BUY	1,295	95¢	$1,232	0x971109…
06-27 14:15:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x4a97f8…
06-26 20:58:10	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	279	96¢	$268	0xda74ef…
06-26 20:57:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	650	97¢	$630	0x179986…
06-25 07:09:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	2,989	99¢	$2,947	0xc587ea…
06-25 03:28:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x8eaf0c…
06-25 02:48:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,976	0x12aa4f…
06-25 02:48:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	99¢	$1,019	0x2ba2bd…
06-25 02:48:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	9,914	100¢	$9,884	0x64c9b9…
06-24 20:57:37	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0x95a32f…
06-24 08:16:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,074	99¢	$1,066	0x6dbfc1…
06-23 18:54:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5,448	100¢	$5,443	0x5960e0…
06-23 18:48:20	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x0a1dc9…
06-23 18:47:29	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	1,650	100¢	$1,645	0xdc7b43…
06-23 17:39:44	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	SELL	930	90¢	$837	0x06bc38…
06-23 11:52:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,059	99¢	$2,036	0x3e0b9f…
06-22 18:59:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1f6aa7…
06-22 18:59:29	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,782	99¢	$1,764	0x7f98d9…
06-22 18:59:25	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xe82da8…
06-22 18:59:05	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x7bd0cc…
06-22 18:56:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	960	100¢	$958	0x6a1b3c…
06-22 18:30:46	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	760	98¢	$744	0x7a98dc…
06-22 10:35:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0x321df1…
06-22 07:33:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,880	0x878039…
06-21 20:40:47	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x35559b…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x213835…
06-21 17:57:52	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1,257	99¢	$1,244	0x7f909c…
06-21 17:56:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdfe502…
06-21 17:56:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbad5e8…
06-21 17:56:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x693fd6…
06-21 17:56:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x13076f…
06-21 17:56:05	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x96b14b…
06-21 17:56:05	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x83476c…
06-21 17:56:05	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x42a84c…
06-21 17:56:05	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x268f9f…
06-21 17:56:05	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x0099dc…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	240	98¢	$235	0xf27ccb…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0xf204f6…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	230	98¢	$225	0xdebfe2…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xa68408…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x911c3b…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x42be61…
06-21 17:56:04	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x2bc30b…
06-21 17:56:02	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	187	98¢	$184	0x522782…
06-21 17:47:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	626	100¢	$625	0x9fc6a0…
06-21 17:46:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9c8fbb…
06-21 17:45:20	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	1,727	100¢	$1,722	0x4d8c3d…
06-21 17:32:40	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	1,778	100¢	$1,772	0xd98356…