0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$191

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

33,125

lifetime

Volume

$8.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$248

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$380

Politics

11% 0% $-189

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6,402	$1.22M	6,904,362	1,982,299	+4,922,064	open	—	03-18 16:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3,668	$806.6K	1,888,484	6,040,699	-4,152,215	open	—	03-18 16:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,200	$699.8K	623,799	4,775,788	-4,151,988	open	—	04-26 15:38
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1,185	$692.6K	751,214	2,342,531	-1,591,316	open	—	01-28 07:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3,899	$601.1K	4,205,993	2,157,650	+2,048,343	open	—	04-28 11:00
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3,187	$492.2K	3,550,376	2,120,811	+1,429,565	open	—	01-28 16:55
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1,396	$456.6K	566,581	4,264,721	-3,698,140	open	—	03-18 16:39
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	361	$228.8K	114,982	119,095	-4,113	open	—	03-28 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	203	$179.7K	91,349	91,317	+32	open	—	04-17 17:41
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	190	$163.7K	82,454	84,484	-2,029	open	—	03-23 13:55
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	158	$151.3K	95,999	59,606	+36,392	open	—	03-30 04:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	52	$149.7K	46,071	104,659	-58,588	open	—	06-25 14:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	388	$126.4K	59,950	73,629	-13,679	open	—	07-14 12:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	232	$122.5K	64,552	64,552	+0	open	—	03-10 12:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	435	$120.9K	61,286	60,953	+333	open	—	05-18 14:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$120.4K	62,494	62,494	+0	open	—	05-15 07:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	236	$107.2K	65,666	63,196	+2,471	open	—	05-19 16:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	208	$94.7K	88,414	68,275	+20,139	open	—	02-12 17:13
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	76	$90.3K	44,867	53,990	-9,123	open	—	03-30 04:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	434	$84.0K	77,611	96,172	-18,561	open	—	02-13 20:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	116	$79.8K	40,747	40,709	+38	open	—	04-25 05:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	132	$75.5K	53,700	30,538	+23,162	open	—	08-10 20:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	108	$71.7K	45,229	38,250	+6,979	open	—	08-10 18:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	242	$64.5K	51,895	43,337	+8,559	open	—	05-23 19:59
Fed rate hike in 2026?	221	$61.4K	73,011	52,913	+20,098	open	—	07-27 20:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	109	$42.8K	28,800	25,269	+3,531	open	—	05-23 20:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	64	$38.4K	19,580	19,580	+0	open	—	05-18 18:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1,703	$36.6K	3,004,953	7,387,063	-4,382,110	open	—	04-27 16:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	32	$35.6K	16,306	19,547	-3,241	open	—	06-27 00:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	18	$33.4K	18,303	18,303	-0	open	—	03-10 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:55:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xd3e1c7…
08-10 18:13:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	711	88¢	$626	0x722e94…
08-10 17:59:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	6,270	88¢	$5,517	0x5710fd…
08-10 17:47:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0x21a9f9…
08-09 11:55:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	102	80¢	$81	0xb609ee…
08-09 11:47:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1,268	81¢	$1,028	0xfc5f50…
08-09 11:47:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xd566d9…
08-09 11:47:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1,165	80¢	$928	0x72dd53…
08-09 11:38:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	346	86¢	$297	0xe53b0b…
08-08 23:27:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd4ca03…
08-08 23:27:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$103	0x668772…
08-08 18:19:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1,718	94¢	$1,606	0xd65d48…
08-08 17:26:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	288	94¢	$269	0x1c3b3d…
08-08 17:25:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	498	94¢	$466	0x68d0e6…
08-08 17:13:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	384	94¢	$359	0xeec52a…
08-08 17:11:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	112	94¢	$104	0x64eafb…
08-08 16:47:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0xb5d6d7…
08-08 16:23:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	485	37¢	$179	0xd581c7…
08-08 16:11:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x2c3cd4…
08-05 19:49:14	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by october 31	Yes	BUY	196	96¢	$189	0xf49abd…
08-05 15:43:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$135	0x9cbbda…
08-05 15:35:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x4b4f15…
08-05 15:35:23	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	949	96¢	$912	0x7aec48…
08-04 15:19:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0x7ac128…
08-04 14:04:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	244	96¢	$234	0xdb3676…
08-04 14:03:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0xba344a…
08-04 13:59:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	244	96¢	$234	0x538c2e…
08-04 13:57:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	610	96¢	$585	0x83fa85…
08-04 12:40:14	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	178	96¢	$171	0x651386…
08-04 10:39:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0xda42ec…
08-04 08:39:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb7bd2d…
08-03 18:28:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	494	95¢	$470	0x37d11d…
08-03 18:08:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6de743…
08-03 13:25:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	95	91¢	$87	0x10c5fd…
08-03 05:01:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcb6432…
08-03 01:38:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4245df…
08-02 21:50:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2,629	87¢	$2,288	0x33f52d…
08-02 21:49:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	1,929	95¢	$1,840	0x787bb3…
08-02 19:09:29	will hyperliquid reach 68 in august	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xd6523d…
08-02 19:08:39	will googl dip to 280 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xe6cd0b…
08-02 19:08:02	will meta dip to 460 in august 2026	No	BUY	168	93¢	$157	0xcb8d71…
08-02 19:06:51	will msft dip to 375 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6bf732…
08-02 19:05:36	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x431a48…
08-02 19:04:59	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x20920d…
08-02 19:04:44	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3f6a65…
08-02 19:03:33	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x88fe2d…
08-02 19:03:24	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	191	97¢	$185	0xdcaf51…
08-02 19:01:47	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x00e779…
08-02 19:01:33	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	74	87¢	$64	0x495d82…
08-02 18:59:57	will chainlink dip to 2 in august	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0xc634b9…
08-02 18:59:26	will chainlink dip to 2 in august	No	BUY	99	97¢	$95	0x70cb1e…
08-02 18:58:57	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x02cea9…
08-02 18:57:30	will aapl reach 360 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xe8cdb1…
08-02 18:56:36	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0x8f9e42…
08-02 18:55:54	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	399	97¢	$387	0xf02a24…
08-02 18:55:12	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x7dbdba…
08-02 18:17:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	231	87¢	$201	0xd24c45…
08-02 11:00:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x15147d…
08-02 10:59:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x97fbe8…
08-02 10:26:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	58	87¢	$51	0x94b292…
08-02 09:57:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0x97689e…
08-02 09:56:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	1,017	95¢	$970	0x086041…
08-02 02:13:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xfcbf1d…
08-02 02:07:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x100d12…
08-02 02:07:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	267	95¢	$253	0xae3850…
08-01 19:39:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	610	76¢	$463	0x9a7d1a…
08-01 18:30:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	711	91¢	$647	0x658ffc…
08-01 13:37:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	2,200	95¢	$2,090	0x2d3b5b…
08-01 13:04:32	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	219	95¢	$209	0x508538…
08-01 12:58:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	103	95¢	$97	0xc30b20…
08-01 12:40:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	211	95¢	$201	0xdcf822…
07-29 18:42:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf5340f…
07-29 15:55:23	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	952	93¢	$886	0x3d737a…
07-29 15:53:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	187	64¢	$120	0x10155c…
07-29 11:30:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x43b2f5…
07-29 10:59:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x9688ec…
07-28 22:21:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x2103f2…
07-28 22:17:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	214	86¢	$184	0xbfc174…
07-28 22:15:31	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	169	86¢	$146	0xd85b42…
07-28 00:24:57	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	250	96¢	$240	0x2fd8c0…
07-28 00:23:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	82	96¢	$78	0x8cc100…
07-28 00:16:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	102	96¢	$97	0xac0413…
07-28 00:15:51	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xb3e6f7…
07-27 23:40:28	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3c91e4…
07-27 23:19:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	520	96¢	$498	0x3e87a2…
07-27 23:15:04	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xe4a4fe…
07-27 20:50:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	28¢	$560	0x44e60a…
07-27 18:56:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	1,500	94¢	$1,402	0x08bba1…
07-27 18:19:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	108	94¢	$101	0xc01822…
07-27 18:18:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xd28583…
07-27 13:41:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	59	87¢	$51	0xdd4ff6…
07-27 13:39:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1,622	87¢	$1,411	0x36a575…
07-27 13:33:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	422	87¢	$367	0x800194…
07-27 12:07:40	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x444363…
07-27 11:45:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	769	87¢	$669	0x1af97e…
07-27 11:19:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2,090	87¢	$1,818	0x99fb15…
07-27 06:57:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$969	0x9e361e…
07-27 06:55:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	34¢	$680	0x3090c9…
07-27 04:01:52	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	708	91¢	$644	0x8de992…
07-27 03:04:39	wta escorih lansere 2026 07 27	Sofya Lansere	SELL	156	39¢	$61	0xc4a69f…