Realized P&L
+$191
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
32,074
lifetime
Volume
$7.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$238
Open exposure
$52.0K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
88%
100%
+$380
Politics
12%
0%
$-189
Crypto
1%
—
—
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 997 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 6,402 | $1.22M | 6,904,362 | 1,982,299 | +4,922,064 | open | — | 03-18 16:37 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 3,668 | $806.6K | 1,888,484 | 6,040,699 | -4,152,215 | open | — | 03-18 16:38 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 1,200 | $699.8K | 623,799 | 4,775,788 | -4,151,988 | open | — | 04-26 15:38 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,185 | $692.6K | 751,214 | 2,342,531 | -1,591,316 | open | — | 01-28 07:34 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 3,899 | $601.1K | 4,205,993 | 2,157,650 | +2,048,343 | open | — | 04-28 11:00 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 3,187 | $492.2K | 3,550,376 | 2,120,811 | +1,429,565 | open | — | 01-28 16:55 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1,396 | $456.6K | 566,581 | 4,264,721 | -3,698,140 | open | — | 03-18 16:39 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 361 | $228.8K | 114,982 | 119,095 | -4,113 | open | — | 03-28 13:36 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | 203 | $179.7K | 91,349 | 91,317 | +32 | open | — | 04-17 17:41 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 190 | $163.7K | 82,454 | 84,484 | -2,029 | open | — | 03-23 13:55 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692 | 158 | $151.3K | 95,999 | 59,606 | +36,392 | open | — | 03-30 04:02 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 232 | $122.5K | 64,552 | 64,552 | +0 | open | — | 03-10 12:34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 435 | $120.9K | 61,286 | 60,953 | +333 | open | — | 05-18 14:29 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 9 | $120.4K | 62,494 | 62,494 | +0 | open | — | 05-15 07:40 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 236 | $107.2K | 65,666 | 63,196 | +2,471 | open | — | 05-19 16:23 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 208 | $94.7K | 88,414 | 68,275 | +20,139 | open | — | 02-12 17:13 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 76 | $90.3K | 44,867 | 53,990 | -9,123 | open | — | 03-30 04:42 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 434 | $84.0K | 77,611 | 96,172 | -18,561 | open | — | 02-13 20:42 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | 116 | $79.8K | 40,747 | 40,709 | +38 | open | — | 04-25 05:36 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 242 | $64.5K | 51,895 | 43,337 | +8,559 | open | — | 05-23 19:59 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | 109 | $42.8K | 28,800 | 25,269 | +3,531 | open | — | 05-23 20:04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 64 | $38.4K | 19,580 | 19,580 | +0 | open | — | 05-18 18:59 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 217 | $37.8K | 19,312 | 21,669 | -2,357 | open | — | 06-10 05:44 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 1,703 | $36.6K | 3,004,953 | 7,387,063 | -4,382,110 | open | — | 04-27 16:03 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | 18 | $33.4K | 18,303 | 18,303 | -0 | open | — | 03-10 19:53 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | 26 | $32.6K | 19,427 | 14,387 | +5,040 | open | — | 04-24 10:06 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 43 | $29.1K | 15,989 | 15,989 | +0 | open | — | 03-30 20:07 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 20 | $27.3K | 1,031 | 26,572 | -25,542 | open | — | 06-02 07:49 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 25 | $26.8K | 15,000 | 15,000 | +0 | open | — | 03-30 23:40 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | 18 | $26.6K | 26,528 | 115,711 | -89,183 | open | — | 02-11 11:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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