0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd14…6c0029
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$191
Unrealized P&L
-$217
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
32,992
lifetime
Volume
$8.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$246
Open exposure
$62.9K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
88% 100% +$380
Politics
11% 0% $-189
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +18,463 $16,862 91¢ $16.8K $-24 07-21 14:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +17,462 $14,838 84¢ $14.7K $-169 07-21 14:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -13,543 $-13,203 98¢ $-13224 $-22 07-14 12:36
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +11,974 $6,665 64¢ $7.7K +$1,057 07-02 11:46
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +7,149 $2,829 36¢ $2.5K $-291 07-13 16:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +2,069 $1,795 90¢ $1.9K +$57 07-07 19:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +1,860 $1,643 94¢ $1.8K +$114 07-20 12:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,214 $-1,044 94¢ $-1147 $-103 05-29 02:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +1,267 $973 78¢ $988 +$16 06-24 15:04
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No -799 $-761 96¢ $-766 $-5 07-10 17:12
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -379 $-352 96¢ $-361 $-9 07-02 13:54
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No -190 $-183 97¢ $-184 $-1 06-26 06:54
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -185 $-174 97¢ $-180 $-6 06-26 19:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -156 $-146 97¢ $-152 $-6 06-02 01:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +179 $123 72¢ $129 +$6 06-11 22:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +125 $89 74¢ $92 +$3 06-25 12:45
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +71 $51 78¢ $55 +$5 07-01 07:34
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +216 $951 18¢ $38 $-912 07-14 12:33
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? No -38 $-36 98¢ $-37 $-1 06-02 00:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -32 $-31 96¢ $-31 +$0 06-26 19:03
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-30 97¢ $-31 $-0 07-05 07:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -217 $-26 8¢ $-18 +$8 07-03 10:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 06-25 12:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $24 11¢ $11 $-13 06-01 01:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +114 $4 9¢ $10 +$6 07-07 19:26
Obama federally charged before 2027? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 07-02 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $-75 28¢ $0 +$75 06-08 13:47