0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd14…6c0029
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$191
Unrealized P&L
+$1.12K
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
32,454
lifetime
Volume
$7.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$243
Open exposure
$42.9K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
88% 100% +$380
Politics
11% 0% $-189
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -8,374 $-8,252 96¢ $-8018 +$234 07-01 09:51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +7,594 $6,723 94¢ $7.2K +$454 07-01 09:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,082 $4,214 88¢ $4.5K +$283 06-27 11:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +9,694 $4,363 44¢ $4.3K $-49 07-01 10:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +3,860 $3,551 92¢ $3.6K +$20 06-20 07:23
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -3,353 $-3,243 100¢ $-3350 $-107 06-26 18:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No -3,241 $-3,380 100¢ $-3238 +$142 06-27 00:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -2,485 $-2,032 100¢ $-2475 $-443 06-11 22:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,000 $1,358 90¢ $1.8K +$452 06-11 04:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,532 $1,317 90¢ $1.4K +$69 06-24 14:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,214 $-1,044 92¢ $-1123 $-79 05-29 02:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +1,267 $973 82¢ $1.0K +$73 06-24 15:04
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? No -190 $-183 97¢ $-185 $-2 06-26 06:54
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -185 $-174 95¢ $-175 $-1 06-26 19:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -156 $-146 97¢ $-152 $-6 06-02 01:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +179 $123 68¢ $122 $-2 06-11 22:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +125 $89 82¢ $103 +$13 06-25 12:45
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +71 $51 76¢ $53 +$2 07-01 07:34
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? No -38 $-36 95¢ $-36 $-0 06-02 00:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -32 $-31 96¢ $-31 +$0 06-26 19:03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$0 06-25 12:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $24 17¢ $17 $-7 06-01 01:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $-75 15¢ $0 +$75 06-08 13:47