0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd14…6c0029
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$42.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.21K
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
646
Trades
67,862
lifetime
Volume
$18.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$265
Open exposure
$186.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 02:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
89% 77% +$20,768
Politics
8% 71% +$21,829
Sports
2% 25% -$867
Crypto
0% 73% +$342
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% 75% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +104,086 $56,042 32¢ $33.8K -$22,214 09-20 09:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +32,367 $27,708 94¢ $30.3K +$2,556 08-24 12:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -93,214 -$35,990 26¢ $-24702 +$11,288 09-24 10:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +43,812 $20,311 32¢ $14.2K -$6,072 09-24 02:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -43,577 -$17,190 32¢ $-14163 +$3,027 09-24 10:26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +10,286 $11,026 84¢ $8.7K -$2,334 10-28 06:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +10,872 $6,732 74¢ $8.0K +$1,259 08-25 00:50
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 No +7,694 $6,679 100¢ $7.7K +$984 10-17 20:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,400 70¢ $6.9K +$550 10-06 17:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -104,086 -$12,630 6¢ $-6766 +$5,864 09-22 05:04
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $4,731 91¢ $5.5K +$730 10-17 20:51
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +4,864 $3,163 100¢ $4.9K +$1,696 10-23 12:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +49,691 $7,174 8¢ $3.7K -$3,447 09-16 01:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $3,494 30¢ $3.1K -$444 10-08 22:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +2,773 $2,555 97¢ $2.7K +$140 10-14 10:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1,941 -$1,780 92¢ $-1796 -$15 08-04 12:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,006 $1,701 29¢ $1.4K -$275 10-29 02:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -21,265 -$3,402 6¢ $-1382 +$2,020 07-18 02:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -5,000 -$1,460 24¢ $-1225 +$235 09-24 02:10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,452 $1,309 83¢ $1.2K -$100 10-09 19:04
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +1,000 $961 96¢ $962 +$1 10-17 20:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -104,086 -$1,256 1¢ $-781 +$475 09-23 00:04
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -674 -$641 97¢ $-652 -$11 09-15 03:57
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +936 $721 56¢ $529 -$192 10-17 20:51
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +983 $511 52¢ $511 $0 10-15 04:09
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -420 -$405 95¢ $-399 +$6 06-06 16:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +444 $256 68¢ $300 +$44 10-26 10:14
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -300 -$258 84¢ $-254 +$4 08-20 08:22
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +200 $178 97¢ $193 +$15 08-23 06:08
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -200 -$188 95¢ $-191 -$3 09-15 21:18