Realized P&L
+$191
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
93.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
32,074
lifetime
Volume
$7.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$238
Open exposure
$52.0K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
88% 100% +$380
Politics
12% 0% $-189
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 997 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -25,542 $-25,241 99¢ $-25350 $-109 06-02 07:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +7,859 $7,738 99¢ $7.8K +$47 06-04 09:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +3,700 $3,404 91¢ $3.4K $-37 06-10 00:32
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -3,077 $-2,967 99¢ $-3038 $-71 06-01 13:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -2,357 $-2,378 94¢ $-2227 +$151 06-10 05:44
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -2,798 $-1,688 46¢ $-1273 +$415 06-01 13:41
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,444 $1,241 86¢ $1.2K $-6 06-09 21:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,260 $1,034 85¢ $1.1K +$37 06-08 16:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,214 $-1,044 86¢ $-1050 $-6 05-29 02:29
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $860 90¢ $895 +$35 06-01 11:33
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +920 $862 97¢ $895 +$33 06-05 12:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -645 $-466 89¢ $-572 $-105 06-08 08:00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +707 $530 75¢ $530 $-0 06-09 13:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? No +534 $539 97¢ $517 $-22 06-09 15:59
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No -500 $-494 100¢ $-499 $-5 06-02 00:20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? No +371 $365 98¢ $364 $-1 06-08 15:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes -485 $-184 40¢ $-194 $-10 06-01 09:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? No +206 $214 93¢ $193 $-21 06-09 15:57
Megaquake by June 30? No +200 $188 92¢ $185 $-3 06-09 13:57
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +201 $145 76¢ $153 +$9 06-01 01:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -156 $-146 95¢ $-148 $-2 06-02 01:49
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No +115 $112 99¢ $114 +$1 06-01 09:30
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +105 $101 97¢ $102 +$1 06-01 09:31
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$1 06-01 09:31
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -97 $-96 100¢ $-96 $-0 06-02 00:19
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? No -38 $-36 94¢ $-36 +$0 06-02 00:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $24 18¢ $18 $-6 06-01 01:51
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-01 01:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $-75 18¢ $0 +$75 06-08 13:47