Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$390.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,038

lifetime

Volume

$1.29M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.24K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-30 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Politics

95% 40% +$426,929

Other

5% 0% -$36,460

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$237.8K	204,248	204,248	+0	Yes	+$169,840	02-28 07:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$153.8K	96,765	106,244	-9,479	Yes	+$48,802	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	13	$86.9K	63,352	72,412	-9,060	Yes	+$48,607	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	4	$68.2K	48,563	51,314	-2,751	Yes	+$31,461	02-28 07:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	7	$67.7K	69,459	69,459	+0	No	+$66,209	05-25 23:14
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$66.7K	54,418	54,418	+0	Yes	+$41,655	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	3	$65.3K	45,407	45,407	+0	Yes	+$25,316	02-28 07:55
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$62.4K	1,217,830	1,075,913	+141,917	No	-$35,960	03-31 06:40
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	5	$53.5K	42,611	42,611	+0	Yes	+$31,525	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	5	$46.3K	36,865	36,865	+0	Yes	+$27,271	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	4	$44.2K	34,229	34,229	+0	Yes	+$24,161	02-28 07:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$37.7K	21,087	21,087	+0	No	+$2,855	03-14 20:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	170	$28.2K	1,651,509	0	+1,651,509	No	-$28,196	02-27 00:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$25.4K	13,793	13,793	+0	No	+$1,437	05-30 18:52
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	28	$24.5K	364,263	0	+364,263	No	-$24,500	02-27 07:03
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	3	$24.4K	18,391	18,391	+0	Yes	+$12,354	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	2	$20.1K	15,151	15,151	+0	Yes	+$10,108	02-28 07:55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$18.1K	20,628	20,628	+0	Yes	+$3,265	02-10 21:05
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	131	$14.6K	618,211	0	+618,211	No	-$14,600	02-25 21:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$14.1K	14,123	14,123	+0	No	+$12,662	05-25 23:14
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	3	$12.1K	6,368	6,368	+0	No	+$134	03-05 12:54
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	97	$11.9K	574,524	0	+574,524	No	-$11,941	02-24 21:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$10.2K	38,052	0	+38,052	No	-$10,250	01-19 11:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$10.1K	5,129	5,129	+0	No	+$74	03-02 06:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$8.5K	51,809	0	+51,809	No	-$8,500	01-07 21:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$8.4K	5,220	5,220	+0	No	+$437	03-14 20:47
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	41	$5.4K	102,250	0	+102,250	No	-$5,385	02-20 18:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$4.6K	2,797	2,797	+0	No	+$582	03-04 19:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$4.3K	2,456	2,456	+0	No	+$309	03-02 15:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$4.2K	2,300	2,300	+0	No	+$185	03-03 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 18:52:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13,793	97¢	$13,437	0xe3ab05…
05-28 19:30:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13,793	87¢	$12,000	0x36a34e…
05-25 23:16:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	557	1¢	$7	0x34c8dc…
05-25 23:14:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	9,793	95¢	$9,339	0xf5f416…
05-25 23:14:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	SELL	14,123	95¢	$13,377	0x28a14e…
05-25 23:12:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	59,666	97¢	$57,596	0xd6719f…
05-25 22:49:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	10,573	2¢	$162	0xe0daa0…
05-25 22:46:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	71,330	1¢	$1,027	0x30b271…
05-25 20:01:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	18,550	1¢	$256	0x0a0305…
05-25 20:01:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	14,123	5¢	$715	0x3ea1af…
05-25 19:33:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	2,127	2¢	$37	0xddb1a7…
05-25 19:29:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	29,534	1¢	$285	0xb5cefb…
05-25 17:26:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	6,224	2¢	$97	0x3d3bba…
05-25 17:26:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	14,821	1¢	$100	0xe4c0f9…
05-25 14:17:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	4,428	1¢	$49	0x5af042…
05-24 23:05:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	14,787	2¢	$288	0x67234e…
05-24 18:48:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	20,040	2¢	$471	0xcae0ae…
05-24 18:08:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	47,632	3¢	$1,321	0x510a1c…
05-24 17:50:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	3,231	16¢	$505	0xe70bd6…
05-24 17:48:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	3,355	10¢	$335	0x1c993a…
03-31 06:40:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x793966…
03-29 20:46:10	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	91,917	1¢	$500	0x8217b0…
03-24 11:50:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	247,014	1¢	$2,284	0x67622b…
03-24 11:50:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	496,900	1¢	$3,837	0x070b3e…
03-19 13:11:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	113,196	4¢	$4,001	0x228afb…
03-19 13:09:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	144,198	3¢	$5,000	0xd55f50…
03-19 13:07:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	150,933	3¢	$5,000	0x8f6719…
03-19 13:07:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	160,305	3¢	$5,000	0x052e3d…
03-16 20:12:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	11,957	5¢	$562	0x421fd5…
03-16 20:12:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	714	75¢	$536	0xaeb1ff…
03-16 20:07:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	163,323	5¢	$7,800	0xd566d5…
03-15 16:03:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xd5df0d…
03-15 14:37:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	332,000	2¢	$7,124	0xfd4426…
03-14 22:32:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	141,499	7¢	$10,000	0xadd837…
03-14 21:47:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	170,156	6¢	$10,000	0x0d2cd5…
03-14 20:48:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	16,393	6¢	$1,000	0x9e8c65…
03-14 20:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5,220	85¢	$4,437	0x4cccea…
03-14 20:47:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	17,926	99¢	$17,785	0x5660dd…
03-14 20:46:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	3,951	6¢	$241	0x1442a7…
03-09 10:42:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5,220	77¢	$4,000	0xa0ab4b…
03-06 18:45:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,685	89¢	$1,500	0x116903…
03-06 18:44:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	SELL	1,179	72¢	$850	0x84f7be…
03-05 12:55:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	5,556	90¢	$5,000	0x8776e0…
03-05 12:54:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	6,368	96¢	$6,134	0x12bdba…
03-04 19:44:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	2,797	92¢	$2,582	0xa2870d…
03-04 13:00:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	4,756	82¢	$3,900	0xce5b62…
03-04 08:30:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	5,928	84¢	$5,000	0x233166…
03-03 17:54:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	5,263	95¢	$5,000	0x3b9022…
03-03 16:38:13	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,057	20¢	$214	0x6ecf59…
03-03 08:18:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	SELL	2,300	95¢	$2,185	0x66bcac…
03-03 08:16:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	3,162	78¢	$2,470	0x25f348…
03-02 21:58:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,250	65¢	$812	0x198f0f…
03-02 15:32:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	2,456	94¢	$2,309	0x5703c0…
03-02 06:26:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	5,129	99¢	$5,074	0xdd803e…
03-01 21:58:01	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,057	19¢	$200	0x07ab75…
03-01 21:54:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	5,129	97¢	$5,000	0xa39823…
03-01 20:29:03	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,654	19¢	$500	0x9ef221…
03-01 20:27:11	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6,382	24¢	$1,500	0x9049e5…
03-01 18:03:35	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	967	21¢	$200	0x2fa6f0…
03-01 18:00:47	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x0d5172…
03-01 18:00:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	1,179	85¢	$1,000	0x652681…
03-01 17:58:47	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,105	90¢	$1,000	0x2b1cdd…
03-01 17:58:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x183a01…
03-01 17:08:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	2,797	72¢	$2,000	0x15d042…
03-01 17:07:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	2,300	87¢	$2,000	0x736ba7…
03-01 17:05:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2,309	65¢	$1,500	0x90d8a9…
03-01 17:04:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	853	59¢	$500	0x58ab15…
03-01 17:03:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	2,456	81¢	$2,000	0x96253f…
02-28 07:55:55	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,151	100¢	$15,108	0x214078…
02-28 07:55:49	US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18,391	100¢	$18,354	0xdc1dd4…
02-28 07:55:43	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34,229	100¢	$34,161	0x7d441e…
02-28 07:55:39	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36,865	100¢	$36,771	0xad4301…
02-28 07:55:31	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42,611	100¢	$42,525	0x086826…
02-28 07:55:27	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45,407	100¢	$45,316	0x4d537e…
02-28 07:55:21	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51,314	100¢	$51,211	0x4365d6…
02-28 07:55:17	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54,418	100¢	$54,155	0xe9232f…
02-28 07:55:09	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72,412	100¢	$72,267	0x2d98d9…
02-28 07:55:05	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106,244	100¢	$106,031	0x6c251c…
02-28 07:54:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	204,248	100¢	$203,840	0x7fe6b4…
02-27 10:42:49	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,959	26¢	$5,000	0x7f44ed…
02-27 07:03:29	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	28,584	3¢	$1,000	0x1c3f4f…
02-27 07:03:23	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	28,582	3¢	$1,000	0xb552a8…
02-27 07:03:13	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	28,597	3¢	$1,000	0x53f5b2…
02-27 06:59:38	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	32,099	3¢	$1,000	0x669196…
02-27 06:58:58	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	39,263	3¢	$1,000	0x3b6c87…
02-27 00:53:36	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	125,000	0¢	$500	0x01dcac…
02-26 23:40:56	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0xbe3976…
02-26 23:40:50	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0xe9d49b…
02-26 23:40:42	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x527a2c…
02-26 23:40:36	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x60c1d1…
02-26 23:40:30	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	14,286	1¢	$100	0x19bf9f…
02-26 23:11:30	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	22,527	1¢	$200	0xe9642e…
02-26 22:55:04	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,116	1¢	$100	0x46d18e…
02-26 22:54:46	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	55,556	1¢	$500	0x8c1581…
02-26 22:54:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,144	1¢	$100	0x932603…
02-26 22:54:32	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0xe78faf…
02-26 22:54:24	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0x03540e…
02-26 22:54:18	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0xd1d6f6…
02-26 22:54:10	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0x5a1a52…
02-26 22:54:04	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	11,113	1¢	$100	0xb17002…