Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

446

Trades

6,254

lifetime

Volume

$3.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$551

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-05 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Politics

79% 82% -$16,435

Other

21% 79% +$4,174

Crypto

0% 67% -$700

Tech

0% 100% +$77

Sports

0% 0% -$68

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	225	$114.8K	59,864	72,000	-12,136	Yes	+$118	02-04 10:25
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	25	$86.1K	88,518	0	+88,518	No	+$2,428	02-28 07:03
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	34	$80.8K	81,826	0	+81,826	No	+$987	02-25 14:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	69	$80.3K	82,542	31,111	+51,431	Yes	-$17,533	02-28 07:28
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	22	$74.6K	65,000	10,000	+55,000	No	+$365	02-15 02:55
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	25	$74.1K	75,411	0	+75,411	No	+$1,333	02-27 00:00
will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	83	$70.3K	32,573	40,448	-7,875	No	+$2,131	03-03 14:18
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	20	$68.5K	62,000	7,000	+55,000	No	+$517	02-18 01:34
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	8	$68.5K	34,391	34,391	+0	No	+$260	02-12 16:00
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	32	$63.1K	62,285	2,000	+60,285	No	+$1,129	02-06 17:11
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	55	$62.3K	62,942	0	+62,942	No	+$633	02-03 07:45
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	45	$62.1K	33,000	35,000	-2,000	No	+$40	01-21 14:39
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	46	$60.4K	61,553	0	+61,553	No	+$1,176	02-24 23:57
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	5	$58.7K	59,593	0	+59,593	No	+$877	02-23 15:39
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	64	$58.3K	62,619	2,000	+60,619	No	+$2,340	02-21 03:31
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	14	$57.8K	58,375	500	+57,875	No	+$1,045	02-23 04:07
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	30	$57.0K	60,458	7,422	+53,037	No	+$676	02-13 20:38
will the us next strike iran on february 2 2026 et	61	$55.1K	27,632	27,632	+0	No	+$138	02-03 08:55
will democrat party dp finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	42	$52.7K	39,680	14,608	+25,072	No	+$1,303	02-09 05:37
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	50	$48.7K	28,349	28,349	+0	Yes	+$2,071	03-02 13:19
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	32	$45.9K	23,158	23,158	+0	No	+$376	02-24 05:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	43	$45.6K	54,811	57,500	-2,690	Yes	-$31,860	03-01 00:43
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	95	$45.5K	23,412	22,637	+775	No	+$552	02-25 07:22
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	13	$44.2K	22,214	22,214	+0	No	+$227	02-11 08:42
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	22	$41.6K	42,244	0	+42,244	No	+$659	02-01 21:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	63	$41.2K	28,332	18,841	+9,491	Yes	+$345	01-28 14:38
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	86	$40.5K	45,430	3,950	+41,480	Yes	+$2,243	03-01 09:00
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	22	$38.9K	19,539	19,539	+0	No	+$188	02-19 06:33
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	19	$38.8K	39,706	0	+39,706	No	+$942	02-19 15:22
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	19	$34.9K	35,316	0	+35,316	No	+$429	02-05 11:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-05 15:41:39	Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb4b729…
03-26 03:40:03	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd9ea29…
03-25 13:11:25	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f1deb…
03-25 12:49:19	another us strike on venezuela by march 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x318cba…
03-25 02:02:05	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	1,452	99¢	$1,437	0xe04f53…
03-18 18:04:23	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	Yes	BUY	1,034	98¢	$1,014	0x75132e…
03-18 17:42:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	800	100¢	$799	0x722078…
03-06 07:05:03	will the sp 500 index gain at least 5 on any day in q1	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb417c2…
03-04 17:59:53	will the pheu thai party pt win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x558766…
03-04 17:58:11	will the pheu thai party pt win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f1542…
03-04 17:58:05	will the pheu thai party pt win between 80 and 89 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6cf3a0…
03-03 14:18:33	will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	10,064	99¢	$9,993	0x75fe87…
03-03 05:02:31	will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	4,764	99¢	$4,730	0xa4e7cb…
03-02 22:04:49	will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc3c5f3…
03-02 14:36:57	will the pheu thai party pt win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x4a4de0…
03-02 13:19:35	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	4,871	100¢	$4,866	0xffe7fa…
03-02 13:18:05	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x3dd0dc…
03-02 13:15:45	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x8961c3…
03-02 13:14:57	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	10,705	100¢	$10,694	0x5473b8…
03-02 13:08:43	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	701	100¢	$700	0x2996af…
03-02 13:07:57	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x6e6d89…
03-02 12:51:17	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x26ed24…
03-02 12:51:05	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x869e94…
03-02 12:50:19	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x82d836…
03-02 12:49:41	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x26cef9…
03-02 12:47:55	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x2da5a2…
03-02 12:44:39	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x9e65fc…
03-02 12:44:23	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xa84952…
03-02 12:44:09	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x86988c…
03-02 11:04:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	2,948	100¢	$2,945	0x139cd0…
03-01 16:52:05	will the peoples party pple win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6916ae…
03-01 15:27:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2,510	95¢	$2,377	0x350aca…
03-01 15:19:13	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x2c393f…
03-01 15:08:41	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x31faa7…
03-01 14:21:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x3c3739…
03-01 14:21:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x7b0501…
03-01 14:21:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x0acd76…
03-01 14:21:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	No	BUY	729	96¢	$696	0x3cffbe…
03-01 14:02:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb3709a…
03-01 13:46:41	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0x939e69…
03-01 11:44:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,432	0x23a1c1…
03-01 09:00:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	SELL	3,950	0¢	$12	0x520e5a…
03-01 06:18:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x28954d…
03-01 06:17:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	700	97¢	$678	0x462a83…
03-01 05:19:07	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x0a6e35…
03-01 05:11:11	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	SELL	425	98¢	$415	0xf1da61…
03-01 03:33:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	950	2¢	$15	0x66a5fa…
03-01 00:43:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	40,000	3¢	$1,095	0xa0149b…
03-01 00:10:37	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8487b5…
02-28 23:58:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2,658	94¢	$2,499	0xe38709…
02-28 23:57:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	209	94¢	$196	0x0276e3…
02-28 23:56:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0x23d81b…
02-28 23:56:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,997	94¢	$1,877	0x9f9214…
02-28 23:51:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3,771	94¢	$3,545	0xedb6fe…
02-28 23:19:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,596	95¢	$1,511	0x188283…
02-28 23:19:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xfbd98f…
02-28 23:19:33	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x13ccce…
02-28 23:17:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	189	95¢	$179	0x86dbab…
02-28 23:17:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x2951d8…
02-28 23:17:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0x18ec8f…
02-28 23:16:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	104	95¢	$98	0x9db98b…
02-28 23:16:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	736	89¢	$655	0x62208f…
02-28 23:16:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,022	95¢	$967	0x5fefd6…
02-28 23:16:19	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	189	95¢	$179	0xfd6476…
02-28 23:15:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x6b9ebf…
02-28 23:14:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x37f293…
02-28 23:14:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,488	95¢	$1,409	0xa45854…
02-28 23:14:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xa2a3ee…
02-28 23:10:29	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x73d7af…
02-28 23:10:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0xf0dd80…
02-28 23:10:11	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	BUY	191	92¢	$176	0x9e15cc…
02-28 22:37:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	891	95¢	$847	0xfde4a1…
02-28 22:04:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x39219c…
02-28 21:56:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3ff5b9…
02-28 21:38:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5b422e…
02-28 21:35:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	290	91¢	$264	0xd5b324…
02-28 21:31:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x74b115…
02-28 21:31:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xc517ef…
02-28 21:28:53	will iran strike israel in march	Yes	BUY	162	92¢	$149	0x6c3b9d…
02-28 21:26:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	333	91¢	$303	0x329362…
02-28 21:26:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x89b17d…
02-28 21:25:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x737fc6…
02-28 21:22:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xe0ffe0…
02-28 21:22:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	277	91¢	$252	0x6fbd9b…
02-28 21:21:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0xde3f30…
02-28 21:15:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	577	2¢	$12	0xf8392e…
02-28 21:14:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x29403b…
02-28 21:11:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xac1aba…
02-28 21:11:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x150d75…
02-28 21:08:57	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xf5726d…
02-28 21:05:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0xc01d4d…
02-28 21:05:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 1st	No	BUY	620	95¢	$589	0x4bb621…
02-28 21:04:49	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x4085d7…
02-28 21:03:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xad58e4…
02-28 20:51:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	911	2¢	$18	0x597c57…
02-28 20:36:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xda6797…
02-28 20:36:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	968	95¢	$919	0x666539…
02-28 20:35:13	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	560	95¢	$532	0x1c85c4…
02-28 20:34:39	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xb447f8…
02-28 20:33:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfc30ae…