Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5c8…22ac33
whale hot 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$97.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.8K
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
4,931
Trades
34,871
lifetime
Volume
$8.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$382.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 05:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
49% 93% +$123,483
Politics
32% 87% +$681
Crypto
14% 97% -$24,027
Sports
3% 92% -$8,869
Tech
1% 93% +$2,766
Pop-Culture
1% 92% +$3,264
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +177,881 $141,105 82¢ $146.8K +$5,647 10-30 03:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +37,472 $34,894 93¢ $34.8K -$45 10-29 17:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +36,756 $28,843 86¢ $31.4K +$2,583 10-29 17:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +28,630 $23,836 88¢ $25.3K +$1,502 10-29 17:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No — +14,688 $13,904 92¢ $13.6K -$317 10-29 02:19
iran leadership change by october 31 No +11,525 $11,473 100¢ $11.5K +$6 10-29 03:22
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +12,451 $11,321 90¢ $11.3K -$53 10-29 17:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +14,037 $11,278 79¢ $11.1K -$189 10-29 20:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,176 $7,654 96¢ $7.8K +$195 10-30 03:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7,816 $4,337 99¢ $7.7K +$3,393 10-29 20:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +7,333 $6,574 98¢ $7.2K +$612 10-29 09:11
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,956 $7,149 86¢ $6.9K -$268 10-29 20:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6,185 $6,626 92¢ $5.7K -$936 10-30 05:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +6,223 $5,528 90¢ $5.6K +$45 10-30 03:41
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +5,146 $4,329 99¢ $5.1K +$742 09-21 12:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,575 $5,194 72¢ $4.8K -$427 10-28 21:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +4,824 $4,385 92¢ $4.4K +$29 10-30 02:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +4,687 $4,321 94¢ $4.4K +$62 10-29 12:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +4,201 $1,024 100¢ $4.2K +$3,164 10-28 20:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,720 94¢ $3.7K +$20 10-29 17:10
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3,646 $3,436 99¢ $3.6K +$166 10-29 09:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +3,611 $3,622 99¢ $3.6K -$47 10-29 23:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +4,322 $3,316 82¢ $3.6K +$250 10-30 03:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,036 $3,030 76¢ $3.1K +$38 10-29 22:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,352 $2,669 85¢ $2.9K +$196 10-01 21:02
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No — +2,907 $2,742 96¢ $2.8K +$59 10-29 14:23
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2,833 $2,718 98¢ $2.8K +$60 10-29 21:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,893 $2,907 60¢ $2.3K -$571 10-29 21:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +2,220 $2,120 100¢ $2.2K +$100 10-29 17:46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +2,429 $2,346 89¢ $2.2K -$184 10-29 09:23