Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5c8…22ac33
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$424
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
50
Trades
18,008
lifetime
Volume
$4.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$254
Open exposure
$111.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
45% 89% $-1,384
Politics
31% 67% $-14,409
Crypto
19% 100% +$103
Sports
3% 100% +$60
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 609 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +22,175 $21,093 95¢ $21.2K +$62 06-09 21:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +18,227 $17,454 98¢ $17.8K +$327 06-09 19:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +18,377 $17,247 94¢ $17.2K $-65 06-06 16:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,042 $14,137 82¢ $14.1K $-77 06-09 22:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -8,079 $-8,004 99¢ $-8018 $-14 06-08 17:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +7,684 $5,497 72¢ $5.5K $-3 06-09 15:10
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +4,537 $4,325 97¢ $4.4K +$65 06-07 18:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +3,701 $3,586 98¢ $3.6K +$24 06-08 10:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,472 $3,134 72¢ $3.2K +$108 06-06 22:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2,026 $1,812 92¢ $1.9K +$42 06-06 02:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1,887 $1,753 94¢ $1.8K +$31 06-02 19:13
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1,688 $1,614 95¢ $1.6K $-5 06-04 20:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1,322 $1,217 96¢ $1.3K +$58 06-07 19:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +1,332 $1,194 84¢ $1.1K $-69 06-02 18:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -1,008 $-867 88¢ $-887 $-20 06-10 01:43
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +899 $859 96¢ $866 +$6 06-04 20:51
Megaquake by June 30? No +901 $816 93¢ $838 +$22 06-09 22:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,284 $895 62¢ $790 $-105 06-08 10:46
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +801 $770 96¢ $770 $-0 06-04 20:52
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +797 $698 88¢ $697 $-1 06-05 13:26
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +666 $639 98¢ $655 +$15 06-03 10:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? No +544 $500 93¢ $505 +$5 06-09 15:57
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +444 $432 98¢ $433 +$1 06-04 20:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +565 $388 68¢ $381 $-6 06-09 22:58
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? No +369 $344 91¢ $336 $-8 06-02 20:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +433 $290 75¢ $325 +$35 06-05 22:52
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +444 $380 72¢ $317 $-62 06-02 05:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,887 $-381 16¢ $-311 +$69 06-06 15:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +333 $299 86¢ $285 $-14 06-08 15:49
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes +283 $278 100¢ $282 +$4 06-06 01:54