Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5c8…22ac33
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.54K
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
50
Trades
20,261
lifetime
Volume
$5.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$194.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
44% 89% $-1,384
Politics
33% 67% $-14,409
Crypto
19% 100% +$103
Sports
3% 100% +$60
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -44,972 $-44,721 100¢ $-44927 $-206 06-19 22:54
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +23,875 $22,698 100¢ $23.8K +$1,141 06-11 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +20,440 $19,267 100¢ $20.4K +$1,132 06-23 16:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,854 $17,141 86¢ $18.0K +$897 06-12 17:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +17,111 $16,240 100¢ $17.1K +$854 06-30 01:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -11,632 $-11,533 100¢ $-11620 $-87 06-13 22:54
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,036 $6,469 84¢ $7.5K +$1,076 06-13 02:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6,390 $4,424 76¢ $4.8K +$400 06-22 00:02
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +4,663 $4,446 100¢ $4.6K +$203 06-11 15:52
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +4,649 $4,384 100¢ $4.6K +$256 06-18 23:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,627 $4,396 100¢ $4.6K +$210 06-30 00:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +4,478 $4,344 100¢ $4.5K +$128 06-13 00:22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +3,210 $2,987 100¢ $3.2K +$210 06-21 11:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +3,194 $2,945 100¢ $3.2K +$233 06-25 08:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,430 $2,219 100¢ $2.4K +$205 06-19 01:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1,965 $1,884 100¢ $2.0K +$79 06-19 04:40
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +1,935 $1,895 100¢ $1.9K +$32 06-26 11:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,806 $1,901 100¢ $1.8K $-100 06-22 15:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,763 $1,739 100¢ $1.8K +$18 06-25 17:02
Megaquake by June 30? No +1,751 $1,645 98¢ $1.7K +$76 06-25 01:56
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +1,472 $1,268 100¢ $1.5K +$198 06-27 13:29
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,367 $2,000 100¢ $1.4K $-634 06-20 22:59
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +1,312 $1,208 99¢ $1.3K +$94 06-22 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,260 $1,070 82¢ $1.0K $-31 06-25 13:05
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +1,029 $967 99¢ $1.0K +$49 06-19 18:55
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +877 $857 100¢ $876 +$19 06-28 01:44
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -666 $-665 100¢ $-665 $-1 06-26 19:28
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +666 $639 100¢ $663 +$23 06-03 10:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? No +544 $500 100¢ $541 +$41 06-09 15:57
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +551 $479 92¢ $505 +$26 06-27 13:34