Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5c8…22ac33
whale hot 17W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$105.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.5K
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
4,975
Trades
34,930
lifetime
Volume
$8.76M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$251
Open exposure
$358.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
49% 93% +$123,184
Politics
32% 87% +$8,112
Crypto
14% 97% -$23,863
Sports
3% 92% -$8,869
Tech
1% 93% +$3,380
Pop-Culture
1% 92% +$3,436
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 318 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +177,881 $141,105 82¢ $146.8K +$5,647 10-30 03:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +37,472 $34,894 94¢ $35.4K +$517 10-29 17:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +36,756 $28,843 86¢ $31.8K +$2,951 10-29 17:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +28,630 $23,836 90¢ $25.6K +$1,788 10-29 17:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +14,688 $13,904 98¢ $14.3K +$417 10-29 02:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +12,881 $11,712 92¢ $11.9K +$203 10-31 02:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +14,037 $11,278 82¢ $11.4K +$162 10-29 20:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,176 $7,654 100¢ $8.2K +$522 10-30 03:43
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,956 $7,149 90¢ $7.2K +$51 10-29 20:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6,595 $7,027 99¢ $6.5K -$498 10-31 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +6,223 $5,528 97¢ $6.0K +$487 10-30 03:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +6,575 $5,194 70¢ $4.6K -$559 10-28 21:47
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +4,824 $4,385 92¢ $4.5K +$77 10-30 02:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +4,687 $4,321 94¢ $4.4K +$108 10-29 12:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +4,322 $3,316 88¢ $3.8K +$509 10-30 03:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,720 94¢ $3.8K +$60 10-29 17:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +4,036 $3,030 74¢ $3.0K -$23 10-29 22:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,352 $2,669 86¢ $2.9K +$204 10-01 21:02
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +2,907 $2,742 96¢ $2.8K +$52 10-29 14:23
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2,833 $2,718 99¢ $2.8K +$74 10-29 21:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,893 $2,907 63¢ $2.5K -$454 10-29 21:03
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +2,645 $2,175 82¢ $2.2K +$7 10-01 21:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,566 $2,127 84¢ $2.2K +$31 09-08 17:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +2,673 $1,467 80¢ $2.2K +$685 09-02 08:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,290 $1,828 90¢ $2.0K +$221 10-02 05:21
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +2,033 $2,000 98¢ $2.0K -$5 10-28 18:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2,220 $1,596 88¢ $2.0K +$365 08-20 13:40
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2,633 $2,180 74¢ $2.0K -$222 10-10 07:59
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +2,149 $1,758 88¢ $1.9K +$143 10-05 20:56
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2,469 $1,812 74¢ $1.8K +$27 10-07 18:40