Realized P&L
+$129.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.39K
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
1,418
Trades
28,382
lifetime
Volume
$6.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$81.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 239 days
Categories
Politics
68%
70%
+$208,414
Other
31%
64%
-$83,749
Sports
0%
61%
+$3,391
Tech
0%
90%
+$476
Crypto
0%
83%
+$512
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk
• peak 716 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 307 | $231.3K | 669,747 | 594,747 | +75,000 | Yes | +$124,623 | 06-17 00:09 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 646 | $175.2K | 441,548 | 441,548 | +0 | No | -$1,418 | 04-28 10:43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 468 | $162.5K | 910,987 | 932,389 | -21,402 | No | -$25,592 | 05-28 14:14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 635 | $148.4K | 751,359 | 693,900 | +57,458 | No | -$9,583 | 05-27 00:31 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 52 | $133.6K | 91,240 | 91,240 | +0 | Yes | +$945 | 04-08 20:44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 281 | $108.0K | 279,314 | 272,613 | +6,701 | No | +$1,857 | 05-31 19:56 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 187 | $85.4K | 382,951 | 287,592 | +95,359 | No | +$22,224 | 05-15 10:17 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 108 | $78.1K | 137,486 | 137,486 | +0 | Yes | +$8,621 | 02-28 08:02 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 258 | $73.7K | 502,792 | 176,985 | +325,806 | No | -$10,417 | 04-30 08:33 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 53 | $68.2K | 55,000 | 55,000 | +0 | Yes | +$5,223 | 08-26 16:55 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 254 | $64.7K | 243,285 | 243,285 | +0 | No | -$10,050 | 04-21 21:41 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 260 | $59.8K | 539,838 | 539,912 | -74 | No | -$7,577 | 06-07 16:19 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148 | 15 | $55.6K | 180,277 | 180,277 | +0 | No | -$3,001 | 08-09 11:07 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 364 | $52.6K | 225,085 | 224,085 | +1,000 | No | -$1,455 | 06-28 19:46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 146 | $48.3K | 337,641 | 337,641 | +0 | No | +$611 | 05-11 17:39 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 74 | $45.5K | 52,550 | 47,800 | +4,750 | No | +$5,793 | 06-21 14:43 |
| us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31 | 94 | $45.0K | 25,000 | 21,565 | +3,434 | Yes | +$629 | 02-03 23:54 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 66 | $44.4K | 93,185 | 93,185 | +0 | Yes | +$18,620 | 04-19 21:53 |
| iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31 | 189 | $44.1K | 28,000 | 28,000 | +0 | No | +$4,380 | 07-14 18:13 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 26 | $40.8K | 28,200 | 28,200 | +0 | No | +$77 | 05-26 01:01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | 247 | $38.7K | 533,169 | 192,248 | +340,921 | No | -$6,766 | 05-22 21:21 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 30 | $38.6K | 40,013 | 40,013 | +0 | Yes | +$619 | 04-09 18:56 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 24 | $37.2K | 30,000 | 15,000 | +15,000 | Yes | +$1,741 | 07-28 16:49 |
| will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026 | 68 | $35.9K | 22,564 | 16,041 | +6,523 | No | +$1,174 | 03-08 21:56 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243 | 24 | $34.6K | 32,689 | 2,000 | +30,689 | Yes | +$82 | 08-03 05:54 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | 57 | $34.1K | 20,696 | 20,696 | +0 | No | +$787 | 05-08 14:38 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 122 | $31.8K | 52,170 | 52,049 | +121 | Yes | -$3,778 | 08-11 12:32 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 1,830 | $31.6K | 435,000 | 435,000 | +0 | No | -$19,242 | 08-26 18:30 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 63 | $31.4K | 35,248 | 35,248 | +0 | Yes | +$6,130 | 06-14 22:20 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | 13 | $30.9K | 51,631 | 0 | +51,631 | No | +$6,018 | 05-24 22:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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