Realized P&L
-$11.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.75K
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
25
Trades
21,705
lifetime
Volume
$5.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$243
Open exposure
$33.9K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
74% 45% $-14,128
Other
26% 86% +$2,955
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 316 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +35,000 $20,058 58¢ $20.5K +$417 07-13 16:18
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +4,992 $4,092 84¢ $4.2K +$76 07-13 16:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -5,014 $-2,088 66¢ $-3335 $-1,246 07-15 18:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,370 84¢ $2.5K +$135 07-03 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +150,000 $7,445 $2.0K $-5,420 07-14 20:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10,000 $835 11¢ $1.1K +$215 07-16 10:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +735 $174 20¢ $151 $-23 07-03 20:41
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -1,139 $-171 $-97 +$74 05-30 12:26
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +87 $63 76¢ $66 +$3 06-22 14:12
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +486 $50 11¢ $54 +$4 06-23 22:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +0 $-16 40¢ $0 +$16 07-05 03:26