Gullible-Grassland 0x72a22d…8e7b65
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.05K
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
19,476
lifetime
Volume
$9.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$462
Open exposure
$106.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
57% 50% $-6,451
Other
40% 83% +$102
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +17,500 $17,415 100¢ $17.5K +$68 06-18 17:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -9,511 $-9,112 96¢ $-9126 $-14 06-20 16:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +8,694 $8,577 100¢ $8.7K +$108 06-24 19:02
Trump out as President by June 30? No +7,500 $7,442 100¢ $7.5K +$51 06-20 10:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +7,405 $6,762 99¢ $7.4K +$603 06-30 22:28
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +7,076 $7,034 100¢ $7.1K +$34 06-27 01:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +4,562 $4,443 100¢ $4.6K +$114 06-26 13:34
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -4,356 $-4,359 100¢ $-4351 +$8 06-30 00:20
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +3,938 $3,900 100¢ $3.9K +$34 06-17 05:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,500 $-4,170 86¢ $-3848 +$323 06-26 05:58
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +3,494 $3,278 99¢ $3.5K +$187 06-27 16:47
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +3,081 $3,058 100¢ $3.1K +$10 06-30 21:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +3,000 $2,978 100¢ $3.0K +$19 06-24 13:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +2,567 $2,481 100¢ $2.6K +$73 06-29 21:18
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,952 100¢ $-1998 $-46 06-10 02:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -1,876 $-1,868 100¢ $-1874 $-5 06-24 23:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,690 86¢ $1.7K +$40 06-30 07:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2,000 $-1,720 86¢ $-1730 $-10 06-18 18:24
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +1,619 $1,442 99¢ $1.6K +$162 06-30 23:45
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +1,581 $1,559 100¢ $1.6K +$21 06-16 18:45
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No +1,454 $1,442 100¢ $1.4K +$6 06-24 13:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +1,383 $1,376 100¢ $1.4K +$6 06-18 23:51
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +1,295 $1,291 100¢ $1.3K +$3 06-25 02:16
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +1,041 $1,036 100¢ $1.0K +$4 06-27 07:33
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +1,000 $993 100¢ $997 +$4 06-28 17:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,000 $927 95¢ $947 +$20 06-22 18:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,341 $733 66¢ $878 +$146 06-26 00:50
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +802 $791 100¢ $800 +$9 06-17 00:12
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No +745 $750 100¢ $744 $-6 06-28 14:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +685 $570 96¢ $656 +$86 06-28 16:41