Realized P&L
-$6.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.26K
Hit rate
49.2%
Resolved
14
Trades
21,540
lifetime
Volume
$9.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$440
Open exposure
$36.1K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% $-6,451
Other
40% 83% +$102
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -7,511 $-7,184 96¢ $-7245 $-61 07-20 15:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No +6,250 $5,740 92¢ $5.8K +$41 07-18 21:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,500 $4,961 90¢ $4.9K $-38 07-19 00:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2,000 $1,908 96¢ $1.9K +$2 07-19 01:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,000 $1,895 95¢ $1.9K +$6 07-19 21:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,916 92¢ $-1830 +$86 07-08 17:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,807 $-1,881 98¢ $-1764 +$117 07-18 18:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2,000 $-1,720 86¢ $-1710 +$10 06-18 18:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,000 $-1,003 96¢ $-956 +$47 07-20 18:44
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $940 96¢ $955 +$15 07-20 13:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -2,467 $-1,133 37¢ $-913 +$220 07-19 15:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $880 90¢ $895 +$15 07-16 17:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -800 $-784 94¢ $-756 +$28 07-09 01:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +926 $215 74¢ $690 +$475 07-20 18:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $510 56¢ $555 +$45 07-18 04:30
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +501 $476 95¢ $476 +$0 07-15 16:50
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +503 $437 88¢ $445 +$8 07-16 15:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +505 $439 88¢ $442 +$3 07-16 14:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $368 92¢ $370 +$2 07-17 19:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +506 $117 68¢ $342 +$225 07-17 21:04
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +335 $328 98¢ $327 $-1 07-16 19:18
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +261 $216 88¢ $229 +$12 07-14 16:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? No +231 $220 96¢ $221 +$1 07-12 18:23
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +156 $152 98¢ $154 +$2 07-20 16:15
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +115 $112 97¢ $111 $-1 07-18 04:23
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +81 $79 97¢ $79 $-1 07-16 19:20
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +74 $70 94¢ $70 +$0 07-11 04:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +75 $53 78¢ $59 +$6 07-14 15:32