Gullible-Grassland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

22,788

lifetime

Volume

$9.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$426

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% $-6,451

Other

40% 83% +$102

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	437	$406.1K	208,765	207,062	+1,703	open	—	03-04 16:17
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	69	$259.1K	131,032	132,003	-971	open	—	01-02 18:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	802	$254.2K	191,548	161,256	+30,292	open	—	02-03 17:26
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	69	$233.6K	131,932	103,205	+28,727	open	—	01-04 23:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	330	$226.1K	158,051	77,336	+80,715	open	—	03-04 16:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	240	$202.5K	92,485	121,499	-29,014	open	—	03-30 02:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	87	$190.1K	105,194	89,518	+15,676	open	—	01-28 22:41
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	91	$186.3K	128,710	60,329	+68,381	open	—	01-08 03:11
netanyahu out by march 31 854	163	$183.6K	87,590	101,044	-13,454	open	—	04-01 09:47
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	179	$151.7K	107,805	49,466	+58,339	open	—	02-25 00:29
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	230	$131.4K	78,755	57,374	+21,381	open	—	02-07 03:17
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	184	$128.4K	91,834	42,780	+49,055	open	—	02-21 01:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	60	$126.7K	107,362	20,312	+87,050	open	—	02-03 22:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	126	$105.6K	54,153	54,436	-282	open	—	05-24 23:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	141	$103.3K	55,498	60,140	-4,642	open	—	02-01 04:52
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	108	$102.8K	81,393	24,084	+57,309	open	—	02-24 02:35
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	135	$100.8K	83,945	20,926	+63,019	open	—	02-22 03:51
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	81	$99.3K	82,178	21,285	+60,893	open	—	02-28 03:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	176	$96.6K	81,300	25,921	+55,379	open	—	03-12 17:53
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	90	$91.3K	78,037	17,015	+61,022	open	—	02-23 03:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	106	$91.2K	90,798	17,338	+73,460	open	—	06-03 21:26
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	168	$89.6K	55,518	60,370	-4,853	open	—	01-15 03:09
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	101	$81.9K	47,011	38,179	+8,832	open	—	01-31 04:47
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	99	$81.7K	57,682	26,186	+31,495	open	—	02-10 02:53
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	77	$80.8K	65,722	15,722	+50,000	open	—	02-06 04:10
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	115	$79.1K	64,064	16,192	+47,872	open	—	02-05 02:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$77.2K	77,500	0	+77,500	open	—	04-08 14:33
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	97	$75.1K	50,500	25,044	+25,456	open	—	07-25 22:37
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	94	$73.0K	66,658	7,339	+59,319	open	—	02-11 03:30
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	25	$71.9K	61,143	11,379	+49,763	open	—	02-27 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:39:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x04ec58…
08-10 21:03:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x7db096…
08-10 20:37:33	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,980	0x1e572a…
08-10 20:26:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x0c8276…
08-10 20:24:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x0fb4fe…
08-10 20:21:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xa2f9bd…
08-10 20:15:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	215	27¢	$58	0x63faa7…
08-10 20:11:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xd55b48…
08-10 19:58:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdc90be…
08-10 19:17:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	291	94¢	$274	0x4b8d52…
08-10 19:14:34	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	78	66¢	$51	0xac8a67…
08-10 19:12:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$159	0x0882d9…
08-10 19:08:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	798	57¢	$455	0x334181…
08-10 19:04:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	423	58¢	$246	0x489603…
08-10 18:26:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xbe4861…
08-10 18:22:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xb767dd…
08-10 18:13:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x36027a…
08-10 18:09:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x550cf4…
08-10 18:09:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x647945…
08-10 17:48:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x07e522…
08-10 17:45:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x1debed…
08-10 17:38:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	117	88¢	$103	0x753c30…
08-10 17:32:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x1b8218…
08-10 17:23:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0d491e…
08-10 17:18:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6574b6…
08-10 17:14:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	87	88¢	$77	0x61ffb1…
08-10 17:13:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x6daf27…
08-10 17:10:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	157	99¢	$156	0x1bc175…
08-10 17:10:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x1031d8…
08-10 17:04:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x01c442…
08-10 17:04:13	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0xbc2f76…
08-10 17:01:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xb00e51…
08-10 17:00:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x785671…
08-10 16:52:49	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xfedfde…
08-10 16:50:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	306	99¢	$304	0x67a358…
08-10 16:42:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xfe24c6…
08-10 16:37:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaeaf63…
08-10 16:33:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x303307…
08-10 16:31:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	BUY	198	90¢	$178	0x1e4c33…
08-10 16:26:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	282	98¢	$276	0x8f534c…
08-10 16:05:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xad6e83…
08-10 15:57:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0xcf4670…
08-10 15:43:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	149	46¢	$68	0x4478a2…
08-10 15:28:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xd3da5f…
08-10 15:28:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	351	46¢	$162	0xfb8845…
08-10 15:26:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x8e3de1…
08-10 15:24:21	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x816b76…
08-10 15:24:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	370	46¢	$170	0x271d05…
08-10 15:19:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	203	93¢	$188	0x3982b8…
08-10 15:12:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	101	46¢	$47	0xc1b324…
08-10 15:12:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xf1ee9c…
08-10 15:09:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x975c05…
08-10 15:08:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	811	99¢	$804	0x663e18…
08-10 15:07:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x850e51…
08-10 15:07:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xafd8e0…
08-10 15:06:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x3a2ed8…
08-10 14:57:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0x7c61c7…
08-10 14:56:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	116	61¢	$71	0xa43d36…
08-10 14:56:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	800	63¢	$504	0x7610f6…
08-10 14:54:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0xd1e9ed…
08-10 14:48:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	196	82¢	$161	0x49e6b2…
08-10 14:33:58	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	93	77¢	$71	0x6db26c…
08-10 14:30:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7708ff…
08-10 14:29:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x311bfa…
08-10 14:24:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x64de23…
08-10 14:17:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	84	61¢	$51	0x4a8570…
08-10 14:14:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x2ef32a…
08-10 14:14:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x67d903…
08-10 14:08:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xfab0b8…
08-10 13:57:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x6fb1e0…
08-10 13:57:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	210	77¢	$162	0x90339a…
08-10 13:54:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x6b299a…
08-10 13:53:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0x2d260e…
08-10 13:45:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5bcebb…
08-10 13:43:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0xe10041…
08-10 13:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x5e06d9…
08-10 13:35:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x3dec8d…
08-10 13:13:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbfef26…
08-10 13:07:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcde515…
08-10 13:07:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8ad94e…
08-10 13:07:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7d855e…
08-10 12:44:36	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x9891fe…
08-10 12:42:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	503	87¢	$438	0xec51b8…
08-10 12:41:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x8f9894…
08-10 12:40:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2,013	87¢	$1,751	0x7531fe…
08-10 12:39:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	149	91¢	$136	0x8e054c…
08-10 12:31:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	206	83¢	$170	0x466999…
08-10 12:30:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	400	96¢	$385	0xd8ba0f…
08-10 12:28:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,492	0xd73d02…
08-10 12:11:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x198a65…
08-10 12:09:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x1f0ed4…
08-10 12:09:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x87542a…
08-10 09:59:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xc81e70…
08-10 09:13:55	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x41c971…
08-10 07:35:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	92¢	$644	0x55a022…
08-10 07:13:45	will neuralinks valuation hit low 25b by december 31	No	BUY	51	91¢	$47	0x5a0b6e…
08-10 05:01:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x266e9b…
08-10 00:59:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x17fc5e…
08-10 00:57:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	315	99¢	$311	0xdce48c…
08-09 23:25:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xb05d01…