Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095dcf…4352cf
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$179
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
40,261
lifetime
Volume
$12.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$317
Open exposure
$388.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-6,604
Other
48% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 821 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -167,367 $-166,890 100¢ $-167199 $-309 06-25 16:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -52,638 $-52,547 100¢ $-52585 $-38 06-25 23:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -55,518 $-50,525 92¢ $-50799 $-275 06-28 08:46
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -38,694 $-38,884 100¢ $-38655 +$229 06-26 01:07
Trump out as President by June 30? No -12,926 $-12,942 100¢ $-12913 +$29 06-26 04:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +9,259 $9,117 100¢ $9.2K +$132 06-22 05:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +8,686 $8,613 100¢ $8.7K +$64 06-19 16:07
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -8,629 $-8,632 100¢ $-8620 +$12 06-25 23:55
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -8,627 $-8,665 100¢ $-8619 +$47 06-26 17:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5,030 $4,726 94¢ $4.7K +$12 06-19 03:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,103 $3,680 90¢ $3.7K +$33 06-21 22:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +7,805 $4,793 48¢ $3.7K $-1,085 06-17 19:22
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +3,577 $3,549 100¢ $3.6K +$24 06-17 08:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,928 $2,411 88¢ $2.6K +$151 06-21 13:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,627 $2,252 86¢ $2.3K +$7 06-20 09:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,200 $1,700 86¢ $1.9K +$203 06-12 18:03
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No -1,524 $-1,520 100¢ $-1521 $-2 06-08 07:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,484 $1,328 100¢ $1.5K +$154 06-09 12:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,400 $1,306 95¢ $1.3K +$20 06-18 17:12
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +952 $922 100¢ $949 +$27 06-12 05:24
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +848 $594 84¢ $708 +$114 06-13 06:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +773 $674 90¢ $700 +$26 06-13 11:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +501 $468 100¢ $500 +$33 06-12 22:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +466 $416 94¢ $436 +$20 06-12 20:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No +221 $218 100¢ $221 +$3 06-12 16:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +200 $189 100¢ $200 +$11 06-12 10:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -994 $-351 20¢ $-194 +$157 06-09 15:28
US recession by end of 2026? No +140 $115 88¢ $124 +$9 06-05 11:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +160 $71 52¢ $84 +$13 06-20 20:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-1 06-17 12:56