Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095dcf…4352cf
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$140
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
42,024
lifetime
Volume
$12.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$306
Open exposure
$99.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-6,604
Other
48% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -55,518 $-50,525 94¢ $-52465 $-1,940 06-28 08:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30,423 $-27,714 90¢ $-27228 +$486 07-02 15:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -7,721 $-6,967 88¢ $-6756 +$210 07-20 10:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -2,991 $-2,862 96¢ $-2861 +$1 07-21 05:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,659 $2,337 92¢ $2.5K +$122 07-20 06:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,176 $-2,146 96¢ $-2081 +$65 07-04 04:55
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,457 $1,230 86¢ $1.2K +$16 07-20 22:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,508 $-2,078 74¢ $-1123 +$955 07-17 20:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -2,649 $-748 42¢ $-1099 $-351 07-02 21:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +744 $507 70¢ $525 +$18 07-11 06:43
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -486 $-432 88¢ $-428 +$5 07-14 13:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -505 $-338 68¢ $-341 $-3 07-20 08:58
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +355 $312 94¢ $332 +$20 07-13 19:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -994 $-351 14¢ $-134 +$217 06-09 15:28
US recession by end of 2026? No +140 $115 87¢ $122 +$7 06-05 11:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +160 $71 60¢ $95 +$25 06-20 20:07
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +94 $81 85¢ $80 $-1 07-11 00:00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -65 $-63 96¢ $-63 +$0 07-15 10:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-0 06-17 12:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -7 $53 66¢ $-5 $-58 06-17 14:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $-66 96¢ $0 +$67 07-07 19:36