Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095dcf…4352cf
whale cold 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$450.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.78K
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
535
Trades
51,508
lifetime
Volume
$13.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$163.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-20 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
52% 82% -$528,421
Other
47% 92% +$77,032
Crypto
1% 100% +$493
Tech
0% 90% +$315
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$159
Sports
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -55,518 -$50,525 96¢ $-53381 -$2,856 06-28 08:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30,423 -$27,714 94¢ $-28445 -$731 07-02 15:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +21,698 $18,053 94¢ $20.3K +$2,235 08-10 11:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +16,081 $10,340 97¢ $15.6K +$5,218 07-28 13:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -17,858 -$12,734 86¢ $-15304 -$2,570 07-08 10:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,692 $5,181 82¢ $7.1K +$1,903 07-17 20:01
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,666 $3,794 100¢ $4.7K +$865 06-05 12:00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -3,959 -$3,787 98¢ $-3878 -$90 08-10 17:29
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,672 $2,399 97¢ $2.6K +$202 08-10 12:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,176 -$2,146 98¢ $-2131 +$15 07-04 04:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,203 $1,889 95¢ $2.1K +$209 08-14 04:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2,546 $1,686 82¢ $2.1K +$390 07-11 06:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,788 $1,566 97¢ $1.7K +$167 08-20 08:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +2,026 $1,317 74¢ $1.5K +$173 06-03 18:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -836 -$558 78¢ $-648 -$90 08-16 15:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +559 $482 97¢ $540 +$58 06-13 19:14
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -486 -$432 97¢ $-470 -$38 07-14 13:17
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -237 -$236 92¢ $-217 +$19 07-10 23:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +180 $144 92¢ $166 +$22 06-05 11:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +150 $124 90¢ $136 +$11 06-17 12:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +160 $71 83¢ $133 +$62 06-20 20:07
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +94 $81 88¢ $83 +$2 07-11 00:00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -65 -$63 95¢ $-62 +$1 07-15 10:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +60 $49 92¢ $55 +$6 06-20 15:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20 $11 34¢ $7 -$4 06-02 13:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 -$66 98¢ $0 +$67 07-07 19:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$531 96¢ $0 +$531 06-11 21:20