Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095dcf…4352cf Create alert
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.17K
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved (7d)
8
Trades (7d)
0
51,508 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$13.8M lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$158.7K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-20 08:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
52% 82% -$526,466
Other
47% 92% +$77,032
Crypto
1% 100% +$493
Tech
0% 90% +$315
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$159
Sports
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -55,518 -$50,525 98¢ $-54325 -$3,800 06-28 08:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30,423 -$27,714 97¢ $-29556 -$1,841 07-02 15:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +21,698 $18,053 98¢ $21.3K +$3,201 08-10 11:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -17,858 -$12,734 91¢ $-16188 -$3,454 07-08 10:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +16,081 $10,340 97¢ $15.6K +$5,299 07-28 13:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8,692 $5,181 88¢ $7.7K +$2,512 07-17 20:01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -3,959 -$3,787 98¢ $-3899 -$112 08-10 17:29
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +2,546 $1,686 88¢ $2.2K +$555 07-11 06:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -2,176 -$2,146 98¢ $-2139 +$7 07-04 04:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,203 $1,889 97¢ $2.1K +$247 08-14 04:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,788 $1,566 98¢ $1.7K +$182 08-20 08:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -836 -$558 99¢ $-825 -$268 08-16 15:40
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -486 -$432 97¢ $-473 -$40 07-14 13:17
US recession by end of 2026? No +180 $144 96¢ $172 +$27 06-05 11:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +150 $124 96¢ $145 +$20 06-17 12:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +160 $71 62¢ $99 +$29 06-20 20:07
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +94 $81 94¢ $88 +$7 07-11 00:00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -65 -$63 98¢ $-64 -$1 07-15 10:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 -$66 98¢ $0 +$67 07-07 19:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$531 98¢ $0 +$531 06-11 21:20