Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$41.8K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
67,387
lifetime
Volume
$14.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$209
Open exposure
$71.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-30 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
78% 43% $-4,060
Other
22% 33% $-3,300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 931 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +26,937 $2,342 99¢ $26.8K +$24,447 06-27 23:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +9,808 $6,075 99¢ $9.7K +$3,640 06-30 15:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +7,908 $7,662 100¢ $7.9K +$227 06-25 18:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -4,404 $-3,952 100¢ $-4400 $-448 06-10 19:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -4,200 $-3,538 100¢ $-4185 $-647 06-09 13:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,526 $2,360 100¢ $3.5K +$1,162 06-20 20:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +19,742 $2,043 18¢ $3.5K +$1,412 06-22 01:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,840 100¢ $-1997 $-157 05-27 20:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,857 $847 100¢ $1.9K +$1,003 06-09 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,173 $338 86¢ $1.0K +$677 06-11 20:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,000 $690 90¢ $905 +$215 06-09 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +885 $-313 100¢ $883 +$1,196 06-12 05:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +880 $-820 100¢ $879 +$1,699 06-14 15:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -700 $-684 100¢ $-699 $-15 05-30 03:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,123 $495 14¢ $557 +$62 06-15 03:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -490 $-524 100¢ $-490 +$35 06-09 21:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -450 $-433 100¢ $-450 $-17 06-02 22:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -425 $-419 100¢ $-425 $-6 06-10 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +47,976 $4,941 $264 $-4,677 06-30 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -249 $-1,208 100¢ $-248 +$959 06-10 19:37
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +277 $223 82¢ $227 +$3 06-16 04:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +175,554 $9,555 $176 $-9,379 06-21 17:55
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -116 $-3,660 100¢ $-115 +$3,544 06-16 04:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,000 $140 10¢ $95 $-45 06-15 03:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +91,858 $901 $92 $-809 06-21 17:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +24,343 $-16,410 $61 +$16,471 06-21 21:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +15,222 $436 $38 $-398 06-25 19:00
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +21,466 $874 $32 $-842 06-10 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +47 $-2,900 66¢ $31 +$2,930 06-24 17:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,738 $459 $20 $-439 06-11 20:24