Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.57K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
61,034
lifetime
Volume
$11.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$186
Open exposure
$160.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
83% 43% $-4,060
Other
17% 33% $-3,300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 931 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -86,735 $-40,644 64¢ $-55944 $-15,300 06-09 13:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +19,312 $14,764 75¢ $14.5K $-280 06-10 03:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +16,498 $12,233 76¢ $12.6K +$388 06-10 05:45
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +10,317 $6,324 96¢ $9.9K +$3,622 06-09 21:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +10,287 $7,884 88¢ $9.0K +$1,117 06-09 19:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +8,773 $7,101 94¢ $8.3K +$1,190 06-09 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +20,300 $6,350 32¢ $6.6K +$248 06-09 21:09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +151,303 $7,166 $6.3K $-887 06-09 15:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5,972 $4,342 88¢ $5.3K +$913 06-10 01:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +23,107 $2,457 16¢ $3.8K +$1,355 06-09 15:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -4,200 $-3,538 90¢ $-3801 $-263 06-09 13:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -3,804 $-3,409 93¢ $-3536 $-127 06-09 13:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +4,796 $2,932 60¢ $2.9K $-55 06-10 00:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,900 $1,743 84¢ $2.4K +$679 05-29 16:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +3,901 $4,407 62¢ $2.4K $-2,008 06-09 16:51
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -2,000 $-1,840 95¢ $-1908 $-68 05-27 20:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +7,604 $-6,731 20¢ $1.5K +$8,213 06-09 22:20
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +4,200 $1,157 34¢ $1.4K +$271 05-31 02:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,857 $847 76¢ $1.4K +$574 06-09 02:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +28,919 $1,234 $1.3K +$96 06-10 05:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +2,287 $746 40¢ $915 +$169 06-09 15:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,000 $690 72¢ $715 +$25 06-09 00:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No -700 $-684 99¢ $-691 $-7 05-30 03:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +2,823 $-2,263 22¢ $607 +$2,870 06-10 03:11
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +9,100 $619 $500 $-118 06-05 15:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +9,000 $1,020 $495 $-525 06-01 19:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -490 $-524 97¢ $-476 +$49 06-09 21:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -450 $-433 98¢ $-443 $-10 06-02 22:26
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +1,020 $494 28¢ $280 $-213 05-29 14:05
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +7,787 $622 $273 $-349 05-29 09:09