Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.2K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
68,247
lifetime
Volume
$14.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$25.9K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-20 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
78% 43% $-4,060
Other
22% 33% $-3,300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 838 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +26,762 $18,669 74¢ $19.7K +$1,002 07-20 20:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,526 $2,360 100¢ $3.5K +$1,162 06-20 20:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,000 $690 78¢ $780 +$90 06-09 00:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,377 $-1,225 26¢ $-630 +$595 07-17 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -1,208 $-6,429 46¢ $-550 +$5,879 07-10 14:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +277 $223 84¢ $231 +$8 06-16 04:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,000 $140 22¢ $220 +$80 06-15 03:06
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +1,379 $138 15¢ $205 +$68 07-07 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +47 $-2,900 98¢ $46 +$2,946 06-24 17:46
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2,724 $626 $3 $-624 06-18 03:44