Realized P&L
-$7.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.57K
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
61,034
lifetime
Volume
$11.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$186
Open exposure
$160.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
83%
43%
$-4,060
Other
17%
33%
$-3,300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 931 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 590 | $460.3K | 463,869 | 385,546 | +78,323 | open | — | 02-28 07:50 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 838 | $346.7K | 421,761 | 354,112 | +67,648 | open | — | 02-27 22:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 718 | $321.7K | 666,000 | 580,842 | +85,157 | open | — | 05-31 16:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 536 | $285.7K | 799,674 | 788,680 | +10,994 | open | — | 02-28 21:29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 587 | $258.7K | 284,593 | 227,580 | +57,013 | open | — | 04-22 02:16 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 1,426 | $229.3K | 928,792 | 591,887 | +336,906 | open | — | 04-22 14:01 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 335 | $223.3K | 159,066 | 128,237 | +30,829 | open | — | 04-28 10:53 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 336 | $217.1K | 272,247 | 232,966 | +39,281 | open | — | 04-19 22:21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 624 | $204.9K | 660,426 | 511,847 | +148,578 | open | — | 05-26 23:22 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 470 | $199.8K | 190,935 | 189,795 | +1,140 | open | — | 05-31 03:08 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 214 | $189.8K | 146,565 | 143,967 | +2,598 | open | — | 05-30 12:36 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 261 | $174.2K | 566,213 | 499,444 | +66,769 | open | — | 02-26 23:09 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 402 | $170.4K | 158,088 | 119,015 | +39,073 | open | — | 02-01 03:55 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 573 | $156.1K | 197,106 | 149,486 | +47,621 | open | — | 02-27 22:28 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 312 | $143.8K | 163,532 | 135,201 | +28,331 | open | — | 02-27 18:22 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 405 | $142.9K | 267,448 | 224,396 | +43,053 | open | — | 02-12 01:13 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 602 | $137.0K | 88,145 | 88,555 | -410 | open | — | 04-21 14:40 |
| us strikes iraq by february 28 | 236 | $130.3K | 128,242 | 124,149 | +4,093 | open | — | 03-03 22:14 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 303 | $128.2K | 126,192 | 73,686 | +52,505 | open | — | 03-08 21:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 356 | $122.3K | 487,645 | 251,360 | +236,285 | open | — | 04-28 15:01 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 581 | $107.6K | 760,865 | 286,933 | +473,932 | open | — | 03-28 18:51 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 304 | $104.7K | 119,943 | 102,670 | +17,273 | open | — | 04-25 19:09 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 284 | $104.3K | 131,900 | 108,135 | +23,765 | open | — | 04-16 16:59 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 604 | $101.7K | 142,853 | 108,217 | +34,637 | open | — | 04-27 14:45 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 202 | $101.3K | 55,589 | 59,000 | -3,411 | open | — | 01-27 02:45 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 175 | $101.2K | 136,423 | 100,989 | +35,434 | open | — | 04-22 02:27 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 324 | $96.9K | 176,746 | 169,752 | +6,994 | open | — | 05-24 12:28 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 157 | $90.0K | 83,008 | 66,504 | +16,504 | open | — | 05-31 21:35 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337 | 283 | $86.8K | 125,093 | 72,029 | +53,063 | open | — | 06-09 16:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553 | 154 | $82.7K | 84,739 | 73,655 | +11,084 | open | — | 02-21 01:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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