Realized P&L (30d)
-$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.01K
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved (30d)
20
Trades (30d)
191
72,918 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$111.8K
$16.3M lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$108.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-30 15:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Politics
78% 44% +$168,911
Other
22% 46% +$19,410
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +53,050 $20,982 90¢ $47.5K +$26,498 08-30 19:54
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +17,027 $9,183 94¢ $15.9K +$6,737 10-30 20:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,350 $4,188 96¢ $9.0K +$4,788 10-16 15:43
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +58,259 $12,612 11¢ $6.4K -$6,203 10-30 00:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +52,570 $18,358 11¢ $5.5K -$12,839 08-30 19:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +76,340 $10,857 4¢ $3.1K -$7,804 10-24 18:54
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +3,236 $2,672 87¢ $2.8K +$144 09-22 18:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 No +6,352 $2,283 38¢ $2.4K +$99 10-14 22:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,762 $1,713 82¢ $2.3K +$538 07-23 00:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,900 $1,368 96¢ $1.8K +$456 09-05 18:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +1,800 $324 98¢ $1.8K +$1,449 10-23 22:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,000 $1,320 86¢ $1.7K +$390 10-21 19:38
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,300 $1,060 86¢ $1.1K +$52 09-29 02:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +2,118 $709 52¢ $1.1K +$393 09-26 00:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +16,733 $3,171 6¢ $1.1K -$2,084 10-30 00:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +1,000 $1,030 90¢ $905 -$125 10-21 21:02
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +987 $873 86¢ $849 -$25 10-29 17:41
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +7,000 $420 11¢ $770 +$350 10-19 12:10
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +6,000 $1,140 6¢ $390 -$750 09-22 23:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +328 $635 94¢ $310 -$324 05-24 04:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -324 -$288 94¢ $-306 -$18 06-15 01:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +7,529 $1,369 4¢ $301 -$1,068 10-21 21:00
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +277 $223 92¢ $256 +$33 06-16 04:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +23,667 $4,387 1¢ $237 -$4,150 10-29 23:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +3,000 $390 6¢ $180 -$210 09-27 15:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +1,379 $138 10¢ $137 -$1 07-07 23:22
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +145 $51 86¢ $126 +$75 10-29 17:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $180 6¢ $110 -$70 10-19 12:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +300 $102 26¢ $80 -$23 10-08 03:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +99 -$650 57¢ $56 +$707 10-29 17:55