Realized P&L (30d)
-$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.01K
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved (30d)
20
Trades (30d)
191
72,918 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$111.8K
$16.3M lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$108.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 10-30 15:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Politics
78%
44%
+$168,911
Other
22%
46%
+$19,410
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk
• peak 52 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 783 | $746.0K | 507,357 | 442,692 | +64,664 | No | +$14,144 | 06-30 01:28 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 978 | $683.5K | 1,493,755 | 1,356,449 | +137,306 | Yes | +$78,502 | 06-16 01:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 590 | $460.3K | 463,869 | 385,546 | +78,323 | Yes | -$20,659 | 02-28 07:50 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 838 | $346.7K | 421,761 | 354,112 | +67,648 | Yes | +$4,026 | 02-27 22:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 742 | $326.2K | 681,729 | 604,244 | +77,485 | No | -$6,643 | 05-31 16:31 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 873 | $287.1K | 347,029 | 329,010 | +18,019 | Yes | +$18,682 | 06-15 01:48 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 536 | $285.7K | 799,674 | 788,680 | +10,994 | Yes | +$138,594 | 02-28 21:29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 587 | $258.7K | 284,593 | 227,580 | +57,013 | No | -$783 | 04-22 02:16 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 1,426 | $229.3K | 928,792 | 591,887 | +336,906 | No | -$15,439 | 04-22 14:01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 666 | $228.1K | 720,219 | 550,864 | +169,355 | No | -$13,753 | 05-26 23:22 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 613 | $225.7K | 419,580 | 382,245 | +37,334 | Yes | +$20,934 | 06-15 13:59 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 335 | $223.3K | 159,066 | 128,237 | +30,829 | No | +$10,043 | 04-28 10:53 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | 963 | $221.0K | 393,994 | 347,712 | +46,282 | Yes | +$14,522 | 06-19 23:11 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 336 | $217.1K | 272,247 | 232,966 | +39,281 | Yes | -$10,123 | 04-19 22:21 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | 487 | $208.0K | 198,628 | 198,156 | +473 | No | +$12,150 | 05-31 03:08 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 236 | $196.9K | 152,011 | 149,368 | +2,644 | No | +$8,904 | 05-30 12:36 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337 | 624 | $184.6K | 303,608 | 228,089 | +75,519 | Yes | -$16,345 | 06-14 20:43 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 261 | $174.2K | 566,213 | 499,444 | +66,769 | No | +$13,781 | 02-26 23:09 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 402 | $170.4K | 158,088 | 119,015 | +39,073 | No | +$10,659 | 02-01 03:55 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 573 | $156.1K | 197,106 | 149,486 | +47,621 | Yes | -$4,935 | 02-27 22:28 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 312 | $143.8K | 163,532 | 135,201 | +28,331 | Yes | +$2,437 | 02-27 18:22 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 405 | $142.9K | 267,448 | 224,396 | +43,053 | No | -$2,820 | 02-12 01:13 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 602 | $137.0K | 88,145 | 88,555 | -410 | Yes | +$9,441 | 04-21 14:40 |
| us strikes iraq by february 28 | 236 | $130.3K | 128,242 | 124,149 | +4,093 | Yes | -$5,948 | 03-03 22:14 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 303 | $128.2K | 126,192 | 73,686 | +52,505 | Yes | +$15,748 | 03-08 21:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 356 | $122.3K | 487,645 | 251,360 | +236,285 | No | -$7,273 | 04-28 15:01 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 581 | $107.6K | 760,865 | 286,933 | +473,932 | No | -$20,557 | 03-28 18:51 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 304 | $104.7K | 119,943 | 102,670 | +17,273 | No | +$4,549 | 04-25 19:09 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 284 | $104.3K | 131,900 | 108,135 | +23,765 | Yes | -$12,534 | 04-16 16:59 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14 | 298 | $102.7K | 105,168 | 83,898 | +21,270 | Yes | +$35,954 | 06-14 22:46 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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